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In CA, Half of Those Voting “For Mitt Romney” Are Actually Voting “Against Barack Obama”; 5 Ballot Measures Examined

SurveyUSA Operations - 09/13/12 10:35 AM

In an election for President of the United States in California today, 09/12/12, Barack Obama defeats Mitt Romney and cements California’s 55 electoral college votes into the Democratic column, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV in Los Angeles, KPIX-TV in San Francisco, KGTV-TV in San Diego, and KFSN-TV in Fresno. 4 weeks until early voting begins, it’s Obama 57%, Romney 35%. Of those Californians voting “for” Romney, 48% tell SurveyUSA that their vote is really a vote “against Barack Obama” more than it is a vote “for” Mitt Romney. By contrast, of those Californians voting “for” Barack Obama, just 18% say that theirs is a vote “against Mitt Romney.”

Obama is backed by 72% of pro-choice voters, 71% of Bay area voters, 67% of Hispanics, and 67% of young voters.

In an election for United States Senator from California today, incumbent Democrat Dianne Feinstein holds her seat, is comfortably re-elected, and defeats Elizabeth Emken 55% to 37%. Feinstein leads among rich and poor, black and white, the least educated and the most educated, and in every region of the state.

On Proposition 30 , which would raise the sales tax to pay for education and public safety, 34% today are certain to vote Yes, 36% are certain to vote No, 29% are not certain how they will vote. The measure could go either way. Republicans oppose Proposition 30. Democrats support.

On Proposition 33 , about auto insurance, 15% are certain to vote Yes, 13% are certain to vote No, 72% are not certain. Voters are not yet focused on 33. Any outcome is possible.

On Proposition 34, which would repeal the death penalty, 30% are certain to vote Yes, 46% are certain to vote No, 23% are not certain how they will vote. Whites, a majority of pro-life voters, and a majority of voters in Greater Los Angeles and the Central Valley oppose the repeal. Only the Bay Area and liberals support the repeal.

On Proposition 36 , which would revise the 3-strikes law, 43% are certain to vote Yes, 23% are certain to vote No, 34% are not certain. Hispanics, blacks, Democrats, and liberals disproportionately support. Republicans, conservatives and Asians disproportionately oppose.

On Proposition 37 , about the labeling on genetically modified food, 51% are certain to vote Yes, 16% are certain to vote No, 33% are not certain. Young voters disproportionately support. Conservatives disproportionately oppose.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 750 California adults 09/09/12 through 09/11/12. Of the adults, 619 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 524 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. In 2008, Obama carried California by 24 points. Today, Obama leads by 22 points.

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