8 Days Till Votes Are Counted, GA’s 16 Electoral Votes Remain Red; Charter Schools Amendment Has Narrow Plurality, But 1 in 3 are Undecided

SurveyUSA Operations - 10/30/12 08:36 AM

In an election in Georgia today for President of the United States, Republican Mitt Romney defeats Democrat Barack Obama 52% to 44%, capturing the state’s 16 electoral votes, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV in Atlanta. Romney is at or above 50% among men and women, voters age 35+, the educated and the less educated and voters earning more than $40,000 a year. Obama leads in greater Atlanta, among pro-choice voters, among African Americans and among moderates. Romney is above 50% among those who have already voted, among those who tell SurveyUSA they will vote before Election Day but have not yet done so, and among those who say they will vote on Election Day. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll from Mid-July 2012, Romney is up 2 points and Obama is up 2 points: Romney had led by 8, still leads by 8.

On Amendment 1, the Georgia Charter Schools Amendment, 38% of voters tell SurveyUSA they are certain to vote Yes, 29% say they are certain to vote No, but 33% are uncertain, 8 days till votes are counted, with a significant percentage of Georgians already having returned a ballot. Young voters support the amendment. Older voters, typically the most reliable, oppose the amendment. Whites support by 5 points. Georgia blacks support by 15 points.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 state of GA adults 10/25/12 through 10/28/12. Of the adults, 628 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 574 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to do so on or before Election Day. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (28% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device. John McCain carried Georgia by 5 points in 2008.

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