Women Drift Away from Greuel, Helping Garcetti Maintain Lead in Los Angeles Mayor Contest; Zine Atop Galperin for Controller

SurveyUSA Operations - 04/12/13 10:35 AM

6 weeks till votes are counted in the election for mayor of Los Angeles, Eric Garcetti maintains a single-digit lead over Wendy Greuel, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV. Today it’s Garcetti 49%, Greuel 40%, a slight increase in Garcetti’s favor from an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 2 weeks ago, when Garcetti led by 7.

Two weeks ago, Greuel had led by 5 among Los Angeles’ female voters. Today, women have moved slightly to Garcetti, where he leads by 4, a 9-point swing. Men continue to back Garcetti today, as they had 2 weeks ago. Greuel and Garcetti are tied among voters age 50 to 64, but Garcetti leads among younger and older voters. Garcetti leads among whites and Latinos. Greuel leads among blacks and Asians. Early voting begins 04/22/13, in 11 days.

In the contest for City Attorney of Los Angeles, challenger Mike Feuer leads incumbent Carmen Trutanich today 46% to 34%. 2 weeks ago, Feuer had led by 18 points, today by 12. Feuer leads by 20 points among Democrats, by 20 points among affluent voters, and by 25 points among whites.

In the contest for City Controller, Dennis Zine narrowly leads Ron Galperin, 40% to 34%. Zine runs strongest among older voters and among Los Angeles’ few Republicans. Zine also leads among the most-educated and the most affluent voters. Galperin leads among the youngest voters and among liberal voters. Galperin is effectively tied with Zine among Democrats and among the city’s least affluent voters. Zine and Galperin finished effectively even in the 03/05/13 primary.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 city of Los Angeles adults 04/08/13 through 04/10/13. Of the adults, 840 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 478 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/21/13 runoff. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (82% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (18% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

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