After GOP Senate Debate in NC, Some Movement Away from Harris, Toward Brannon

SurveyUSA Operations - 04/23/14 07:15 PM

SurveyUSA’s latest exclusive poll for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina suggests last night’s 04/22/14 debate among Republican US Senate candidates did little to dent the momentum of frontrunner Thom Tillis. But other shifts in candidate preference were noteworthy. SurveyUSA interviewed 3,200 North Carolina adults 04/23/14, the day after the debate; 749 of the 3,200 NC adults say they watched the debate or heard coverage of it.

Among debate watchers, a majority, 51%, say the debate had no clear winner. 21% say Thom Tillis won the debate; 15% say Greg Brannon; 7% Heather Grant; 6% Mark Harris.

Prior to the debate, 51% of debate watchers who supported a specific Republican candidate said they supported Thom Tillis. After the debate, 49%. Prior to the debate, 18% supported Greg Brannon. After the debate, 26%, up 8 percentage points. Prior to the debate, 21% of debate watchers supported Mark Harris. After the debate, 13% supported Harris, down 8 percentage points. Who finishes in 2nd place is important in the event Tillis does not reach the 40% of the vote necessary to avoid a runoff.

Cell-phone and home-home respondents included in this research, which was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode: Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smart phone, tablet or other electronic device.

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