Kingston Atop Perdue in GOP Runoff for US Senate and Right to Face Nunn in November; Deal Maintains Lead Over Carter for Governor
6 weeks to the 07/22/14 Georgia Republican Primary, Jack Kingston is 11 points ahead of fellow Republican David Perdue in the battle for the Republican nomination, and the right to face Democrat Michelle Nunn in the 11/04/14 general election, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV, the Gannett owned station in Atlanta.
Today it’s Kingston 52%, Perdue 41%. Encouraging for Perdue is that among seniors, who are the most reliable voters, the contest is tied, 47% to 47%. Encouraging for Kingston is that he is above 50% among men, whites, independents, conservatives, middle and upper income voters, more educated voters, and in all 3 regions of Georgia. In greater Atlanta, Kingston leads by 10, in South Georgia and Eastern Georgia, Kingston leads by 18, and in Northwest Georgia, Kingston leads by 6.
In hypothetical head-to-head November match-ups against Democratic nominee Michelle Nunn, today, 5 months to election day, Kingston defeats Nunn by 6 points and Perdue defeats Nunn by 5 points. The race is for Republican Saxby Chambliss’ seat. Early though it is: the seat at this hour is a Republican “hold,” not a Democratic “takeaway.”
In an election today for Governor of Georgia, Republican Nathan Deal tops Democrat Jason Carter 44% to 38%. This 6-point lead is effectively unchanged from 2 previous SurveyUSA tracking polls, which on 04/28/14 showed Deal 4 points ahead of Carter, and on 04/13/14 showed Deal 6 points ahead of Carter. The 17-point Gender Gap continues to be striking: Deal leads by 13 points among men; Carter leads by 4 points among women. Republican Deal leads by 32 points among white voters. Carter leads by 53 points among black voters. As always in Georgia, the more women and the more African Americans who turn out, the better the Democratic candidate will do.
About: Cell-phone and home-phone respondents were included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 GA adults 06/03/14 through 06/05/14. Of the adults, 1,854 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 999 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election, 419 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 07/22/14 Republican Runoff. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their tablet, smartphone, or other electronic device.