In MN, Franken Approval Soars, But He Still Faces Tough Re-Elect Opposition from Republican Mike McFadden; For Gov, Incumbent Dayton Has Hands Full with Republican Challenger Johnson; Opposition to MNSure Grows
In Minnesota, incumbent DFL candidates lead today by 9 points each in contests for Governor and US Senate, according to the latest KSTP-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Al Franken tops 50%, and leads Republican Mike McFadden 51% to 42%. Mark Dayton gets to 49%, and leads Republican Jeff Johnson 49% to 40%. The 11/04/14 election is in 10 weeks.
Governor Dayton’s job approval is Plus 14 today: 51% of registered voters approve of the job Dayton is doing, 37% disapprove. Among Democrats, Dayton’s approval is 8:1. Among Republicans, Dayton’s disapproval is 7:2.
Senator Franken’s job approval is today the highest it has been in 5 years of SurveyUSA measurement. Franken today is at Plus 21: 56% approve of the job he is doing, compared to 35% who disapprove. Change comes from Independents, where for the first time since 2009, Franken’s approval is higher than disapproval, and from Democrats, where Franken’s approval soars to 90%.
Senator Amy Klobuchar’s job approval today is Plus 32, higher than Franken’s, but less newsworthy only because that’s where Klobuchar’s job approval has consistently been since SurveyUSA and KSTP began measuring it in 2007, and because Klobuchar is not up for re-election in 2014.
Barack Obama’s job approval is at 38% today, the 2nd lowest recorded in 11 KSTP measurements going back to Obama’s inauguration. Obama’s disapproval is at 52% today, the 2nd highest recorded in 11 KSTP measurements going back to Obama’s inauguration. When disapproval is subtracted from approval, Obama’s Net Approval is at Minus 14 today.
There is effectively no change in sentiment for the Minnesota House of Representatives. Today, 45% say they will vote for a Republican, unchanged from 2 months ago. 43% say they will vote for a Democrat, up a nominal 1 point from 2 months ago.
The Minnesota state legislature remains under water, as it has going back to 2008. Today: 50% of adults disapprove of the legislature, 27% approve.
3:1 opposition to a new office building for the Minnesota state Senate is largely unchanged over the past 10 weeks: today 66% disapprove of the project, 21% approve.
Disapproval of MN’s health insurance exchange, which is called MNSure, is growing. Today, MNSure is Minus 21, compared to Minus 13 four months ago.
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of MN adults 08/19/14 through 08/21/14. Of the adults, 725 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 600 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 midterm general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.