Posted in Methodology, Report Cards, Elections, Criticism, Praise by: SUSA JHL
No Comments
16 Feb
Mark Blumenthal, the “Mystery Pollster,” writing at Pollster.com, implies several things about SurveyUSA’s Pollster Report Cards that I will address here:
Blumenthal wonders if SurveyUSA uses in its 2008 Pollster Report Cards a measure of poll error that may be cherry-picked to favor SurveyUSA. Blumenthal wonders if SurveyUSA results might be less accurate, compared to other […]
Posted in Methodology, Report Cards, Elections, Praise, Poll Results by: SurveyUSA Breaking News
2 Comments
06 Feb
38 polling firms have polled one or more of the 36 Presidential Primaries and Caucuses to date in 2008. Here’s how the pollsters stack-up, ranked from smallest average error to largest average error (where smaller error is better, and zero is perfect).
Complete supporting detail, and caveats, on the jump …
Posted in Methodology, Report Cards, Elections, Praise, Poll Results by: SurveyUSA Breaking News
No Comments
06 Feb
SurveyUSA polled in 18 separate election contests on Super Tuesday. In 8 of the contests, SurveyUSA was the most accurate pollster. In 2 more contests, SurveyUSA was tied for most accurate. Contests where SurveyUSA polling was best:
1
California Democratic Primary
KABC-TV, KPIX-TV, KGTV-TV, KFSN-TV
2
Connecticut Democratic Primary
WTNH-TV, WABC-TV
3
New York Democratic Primary (tie)
WABC-TV, WGRZ-TV, WHEC-TV, WNYT-TV
4
New Jersey GOP Primary […]