Loading...

One Week to GA GOP Senate Primary, Perdue Will Advance to Certain Runoff, But Will He Face Kingston, Handel or Gingrey? Carter Poised To Be Sec’y of State Nominee; Johnson Likely to Advance as Insurance Commish; Deal Atop Carter in November Governor’s Look-Ahead

SurveyUSA Operations - 80 days ago

7 days till votes are counted in the Georgia Primary, some contests snap into crisp focus, others remain blurry, according to a SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for WXIA-TV, the Gannett-owned NBC affiliate in Atlanta.

In the Republican Primary for U.S. Senator, David Perdue leads with 27%, and has led in every SurveyUSA tracking poll to date. Perdue is almost certain not to receive the 50% of the vote needed to avoid a 07/22/14 runoff, so who finishes second in the 05/20/14 primary is critical: Jack Kingston is at 19% among all likely voters, down a nominal 1 point from 2 weeks ago. Karen Handel is at 16% today among all likely voters, up a nominal 1 percentage point. When you examine just the small subset of voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot (aka: the Early Voters, which is sometimes a measure of voter enthusiasm, campaign organization, or both), Phil Gingrey has the most energized base, with 19% of the votes already cast going to him, almost twice his overall forecast vote total of 10%. Handel has only 11% of the votes already cast; her voters appear more willing to wait and vote on Primary Day. Perdue has 28% of the votes already cast, Kingston has 19%. Which of these 4 candidates advances will depend on a mixture of enthusiasm, organization and turnout. The U.S. Senate Seat is open; Saxby Chambliss is retiring.

In the Republican Primary for Governor, Nathan Deal overwhelms 2 nominal challengers and advances to face Jason Carter in the November general election.

In the Republican Primary for School Superintendent, months of campaigning have done little to differentiate 8 of the 9 candidates in voters’ minds. Only Ashley Bell today makes it into double digits, heading into the final week. All others are bunched between 5% and 9%. 38% of the likeliest voters remain undecided, as the campaign draws to a close. A runoff is certain. The sitting Superintendent, John Barge, is running for Governor.

In the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator, Michelle Nunn decisively defeats 3 opponents. Nunn has 59% today. Her opponents, combined, have 22%. Nunn will face in November the winner of the Republican Senate Runoff on 07/22/14.

In the Democratic Primary for Secretary of State, Doreen Carter defeats Gerald Beckum today, 48% to 20%, largely unchanged from 2 weeks ago. The winner faces incumbent Republican Brian Kemp.

In the Democratic Primary for Insurance Commissioner, Liz Johnson defeats Keith Heard 43% to 26%. Wrinkle: compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 2 weeks ago, both candidates are down; neither has momentum. Johnson has fallen by 5 points, from 48% to 43%. Heard has fallen by 2 points, from 28% to 26%. Undecideds are up. Who chooses a candidate in this contest, as opposed to skipping over this contest and leaving the ballot blank, will determine the winner. Johnson has to be considered the favorite, even if she limps to the finish line. The winner faces incumbent Republican Ralph Hudgens.

In the Democratic Primary for State School Superintendent, Alisha Thomas Morgan has 20% today, up a nominal 1 point, followed by Valarie Wilson at 17%, Denise Freeman at 13% and Jurita Mays at 10%. A runoff is certain, with Thomas Morgan most likely to be 1 of the 2 who advances.

6 months until the November General Election, a look at the Gubernatorial head-to-head shows Republican Nathan Deal 6 points atop Democrat Jason Carter, 43% to 37%. Libertarian Andrew Hunt today takes 7% of the vote. Carter leads by 11 points in Greater Atlanta; Deal leads by 16 points in Northwest Georgia and by 14 points in Southern and Eastern GA. Deal leads 5:2 among GA whites; Carter leads 5:1 among GA blacks. 82% of Republicans stay with Deal; 80% of Democrats stay with Carter. Independents break 3:2 Republican. Moderates break 5:3 Democrat.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,100 state of GA adults 05/08/14 through 05/12/14. Of the adults, 1,738 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 634 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Republican Primary, 549 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Democratic Primary. 1,380 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. As with all SurveyUSA election tracking polls, click on the “Triangle T” where ever you see one, to reveal the Interactive Tracking Graphs for that contest.

OH Voters Are Focused on Job Creation, Opposed to Affordable Care Act, Split on Same-Sex Marriage, In Favor of Medical Marijuana

SurveyUSA Operations - 93 days ago

One week to the 05/06/14 Ohio Primary, Buckeye voters are focused on job creation, ahead of health care and taxes, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for
WCMH-TV in Columbus. Job creation is especially driving the ballot-box decisions of lower-income voters, men and middle-aged voters. Healthcare is on the mind of seniors, and Republicans, though for different reasons. Taxes are motivating young voters, conservatives, and voters with children.

Ohio voters oppose the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, 54% to 37%. Whites and blacks, and Democrats and Republicans, see the issue in stark contrast.

Ohio voters support the medical use of marijuana, 56% to 37%, with opposition coming from seniors and conservatives.

Ohio voters split on the issue of same-sex marriage. 43% support legalizing gay marriage. 49% oppose. 48% say Ohio should recognize same-sex marriages that have been performed in other states; 45% say Ohio should not recognize such marriages.

Heading into the final week before the 05/06/14 Primary:

46% approve of the job that Republican John Kasich is doing as Governor. 39% disapprove.
33% have a favorable opinion of Democratic candidate Ed Fitzgerald; 23% have an unfavorable opinion; significantly: 45% have no opinion of Fitzgerald.
46% of voters say Ohio is on the right track; 43% say Ohio is on the wrong track.

In a hypothetical election today for Governor of Ohio, 46% would vote for incumbent Republican Kasich, 36% would vote for Democratic challenger Fitzgerald. In a separate hypothetical election today for Governor, 50% would vote for Kasich if he were opposed by Democratic challenger Larry Ealy, who gets 25%.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 state of Ohio adults 04/24/14 through 04/28/14. Of the adults, 810 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 618 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (71% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (29% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

Los Angelinos Find Comments by LA Clippers Owner Both Offensive and Racist

SurveyUSA Operations - 94 days ago

A survey of Los Angeles area adults finds recent comments made by Donald Sterling are seen as both offensive and racist, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KABC-TV. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents were interviewed 04/28/14.

72% of Southland adults say the NBA should take action against Sterling. Of those who say action should be taken, by 9:1, Southland adults say Sterling should be fined. By 3:1, Southland adullts say Sterling should be required by the NBA to sell his team.

While overwhelming majorities of both whites and African Americans see the comments as both offensive and racist, there is less agreement on just what should happen next. 9 of 10 black adults who heard the comments say the NBA should take action against Sterling, as do 2 of 3 whites. Of those who say action should be taken, 82% of African Americans and 56% of whites say Sterling should be required to sell the team.

25% of whites say they will watch fewer of the team’s games, as do 40% of African Americans. When it comes to attending games in person, a similar difference: while 33% overall say they will attend fewer games, nearly half of African Americans say they’ll be going to see the Clippers play less often.

Respondents reachable on a home telephone (66% of Los Angeles area adults) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (34% of adults) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

3 Weeks to GA Primary, Perdue and Kingston Battle to Make Runoff and Right to Face Nunn for Senate; Republican Deal 4 Points Atop Democrat Carter in November General Election Gubernatorial Look-Ahead

SurveyUSA Operations - 94 days ago

3 Weeks till the 2014 Georgia Primary, clear frontrunners emerge in some high-profile contests but other lower-profile races remain a free-for-all, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV in Atlanta. A look ahead to a November Governor’s election shows a tight contest.

In a Republican Primary for U.S. Senator today, David Perdue is at 26%, down 3 percentage points from an identical SurveyUSA poll 5 weeks ago. Jack Kingston is at 20%, up a nominal 1 point from 5 weeks ago. Karen Handel has momentum, and is at 15% today, up 5 percentage points. Paul Broun is at 13% today, up 2 percentage points. Phil Gingrey, Derrick Grayson and Art Gardner are further back. A runoff is likely. The U.S. Senate Seat is open; Saxby Chambliss is retiring.

In the Republican Primary for Governor, Nathan Deal overwhelms 2 nominal challengers: Deal 64%, David Pennington.11%, John Barge 10%. These results are largely unchanged from 5 weeks ago.

In the Republican Primary for School Superintendent, 9 candidates battle for name recognition and voter share of mind, with any outcome possible. 43% are undecided. The top 5 candidates have between 7% and 10% support levels, just as they did 5 weeks ago. A runoff is certain. The sitting Superintendent, John Barge, is running for Governor.

In the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator, Michelle Nunn decisively defeats 3 opponents. Nunn has 57% today, up from 48%. Steve Miles is at 13%, up from 11%. Todd Robinson is at 7%, down from 14%. Rad Radulovacki at 5%, unchanged. Nunn is likely to reach the 50% needed to avoid a 07/22/14 runoff.

In the Democratic Primary for Secretary of State, Doreen Carter defeats Gerald Beckum today, 48% to 23%, largely unchanged from 5 weeks ago. The winner faces incumbent Republican Brian Kemp.

In the Democratic Primary for Insurance Commissioner, Liz Johnson defeats Keith Heard 48% to 28%, largely unchanged from 5 weeks ago. The winner faces incumbent Republican Ralph Hudgens.

In the Democratic Primary for State School Superintendent, Alisha Thomas Morgan has 19% today, up from 12%, followed by Valarie Wilson at 16%, down from 17%. Dennis Freeman has 13%, down from 16%. Tarnisha Dent has 10%, up from 9%. A runoff is certain.

6 months until the November General Election , a look at the likely Gubernatorial head-to-head match-up shows Republican Nathan Deal edging Democrat Jason Carter 41% to 37%. Libertarian Andrew Hunt today takes 9% of the vote. Deal leads by 15 points among males; Carter leads by 6 points among females, a 21-point gender gap. Deal leads 2:1 among GA whites; Carter leads 4:1 among GA blacks. Deal holds 79% of the Republican base. Carter holds 71% of the Democratic base. Independents split. Moderates break for Carter by 17 points.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,340 state of GA adults 04/24/14 through 04/27/14. Of the adults, 1,999 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 501 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Republican Primary, 435 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Democratic Primary. 1,567 were determined to be likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

After GOP Senate Debate in NC, Some Movement Away from Harris, Toward Brannon

SurveyUSA Operations - 99 days ago

SurveyUSA’s latest exclusive poll for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina suggests last night’s 04/22/14 debate among Republican US Senate candidates did little to dent the momentum of frontrunner Thom Tillis. But other shifts in candidate preference were noteworthy. SurveyUSA interviewed 3,200 North Carolina adults 04/23/14, the day after the debate; 749 of the 3,200 NC adults say they watched the debate or heard coverage of it.

Among debate watchers, a majority, 51%, say the debate had no clear winner. 21% say Thom Tillis won the debate; 15% say Greg Brannon; 7% Heather Grant; 6% Mark Harris.

Prior to the debate, 51% of debate watchers who supported a specific Republican candidate said they supported Thom Tillis. After the debate, 49%. Prior to the debate, 18% supported Greg Brannon. After the debate, 26%, up 8 percentage points. Prior to the debate, 21% of debate watchers supported Mark Harris. After the debate, 13% supported Harris, down 8 percentage points. Who finishes in 2nd place is important in the event Tillis does not reach the 40% of the vote necessary to avoid a runoff.

Cell-phone and home-home respondents included in this research, which was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode: Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smart phone, tablet or other electronic device.

Former Republican Governor Crist Atop Current Incumbent Republican Governor Scott in Race for Florida Statehouse

SurveyUSA Operations - 108 days ago

29 weeks till votes are counted in Florida, incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott is the underdog in a fight against (now) Democratic challenger Charlie Crist, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WFLA-TV in Tampa. Today, it’s Christ 46%, Scott 41%. 502 likely voters interviewed.

Scott’s support is older. Crist’s support is younger. The older the electorate on Election Day, the better Scott will do. The younger the electorate, the better Crist will do.

Scott leads 2:1 in Northeast Florida, and more narrowly leads in Southwest Florida (which includes the Tampa Bay region). Crist leads 3:2 in Southeast Florida and more narrowly in Central Florida and Northwest Florida. A small turnout in Dade and Broward counties helps Scott. A large turnout in Dade and Broward counties helps Crist. Scott holds 71% of the Republican base, compared to Crist, who holds 80% of the Democratic base. Independents split. Conservatives vote 7:1 Republican. Liberals vote 8:1 Democratic. Importantly, moderates break 7:4 for the Democrat Crist.

Scott and Crist are effectively even among college graduates. Crist leads among less educated voters. Scott leads among upper-income voters. Crist leads among lower-income voters. Middle-income voters split. Scott leads narrowly among white voters; Crist leads overwhelmingly among African Americans, and materially among Asian Americans. Both Cubans and non-Cuban Hispanics lean slightly Republican — but that is based on a small sample and caution should be exercised in projecting those numbers out to Election Day.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: 940 state of Florida adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 04/10/14 through 04/14/14. Of the adults, 799 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 502 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

NC Senate Primary at Hand, But Regardless of Republican Winner, Democrat Incumbent Kay Hagan Faces Uphill Climb to November

SurveyUSA Operations - 120 days ago

North Carolina Democratic Incumbent Senator Kay Hagan will face a Republican challenger on Election Day 11/04/14. It will be one of 2 Republicans who emerge from a 05/06/14 Republican Primary and 07/15/14 Republican Runoff. The problem for Hagan is, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for Time Warner Cable News North Carolina, no matter which of 5 Republicans she goes up against, she’s in trouble: While it’s premature for Republicans to count their chickens, it’s not too soon for Democrats nationwide to be worried, since a Hagan defeat would flip a seat in the United States Senate from Democratic hands to Republican hands, and could help Republicans take control of the US Senate in the next Congress. (Republicans already control the US House of Representatives.)

First, to the NC Republican Primary: 5 weeks till votes are counted, Thom Tillis, Greg Brannon and Mark Harris are the only 3 candidates in double-digits, Tillis at 23%, Brannon at 15%, Harris at 11%. Others trail. None today appear likely to get to the 40% threshold, needed to avoid a runoff. Tillis’ support is male, older, conservative, educated, affluent and spread evenly throughout the state. Brannon’s support is made up disproportionately of unaffiliated voters, heavily concentrated in Southern and Coastal NC. Harris’ support is younger and less educated. 1 in 3 likely NC Republican Primary voters remain undecided. 433 likely Republican Primary voters were interviewed.

Now, on to the November General Election. 7 months till voting begins, we caution that much can change, but today, SurveyUSA finds that incumbent Democrat Hagan does not defeat any Republican challenger. 1,489 likely NC general election voters interviewed. There are some pollster semantics involved here, since Hagan trails by as few as 1 and no more than 4 points, which means that the Republican advantage may or may not be statistically significant. So we must be cautious not to say that in every case Hagan “trails.” However, in no case does Hagan lead. Here we go:

Tillis edges Hagan 46% to 45% today.
Brannon edges Hagan 47% to 45% today.
Harris edges Hagan 47% to 43% today.
Ted Alexander, who gets just 6% in the Republican primary, edges Hagan 46% to 44%.
Heather Grant, who gets just 6% in the Republican primary, edges Hagan 46% to 44%.
In no hypothetical head-to-head matchup does Hagan get more than 45% of the vote.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 North Carolina adults 03/27/14 through 03/31/14. Of the adults, 1,930 were registered to vote. Of the registered, SurveyUSA determined that 433 were likely to vote in the 05/06/14 Republican Primary, and only those likely Republican Primary voters were asked the Republican Primary questions. A larger group of 1,489 likely general election voters was asked about the head-to-head November match-ups. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of registered voters), were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

In NC GOP Primary, Tillis Leads 7 Challengers; Brannon and Grant Battle for 2nd Place; Eventual Winner Faces Kay Hagan in November

SurveyUSA Operations - 133 days ago

6 weeks till votes are counted in the North Carolina Republican Primary for United States Senator, Thom Tillis leads a field of 8 Republican hopefuls, 28% for Tillis to 15% for Greg Brannon to 11% for Heather Grant, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WRAL-TV in Raleigh. Tillis’ support is older, wealthier, better educated, and concentrated in greater Greensboro.

The top Republican needs to reach 40% in the GOP primary to avoid a 07/15/14 runoff. Today, 23% of likely Republican Primary voters are undecided. If these undecided voters are allocated to each of the 8 candidates, Tillis today ends up at 36% — short of the 40% threshold. In a runoff: would Tillis face Brannon, whose support is disproportionately lower-income and concentrated in Southern and Coastal Carolina? Or would Tillis face Grant, whose support is disproportionately young, less educated, and concentrated in greater Raleigh? Or, might Brannon face Grant? The next 6 weeks till tell us.

Today:

Tillis is viewed favorably by 34% of likely GOP Primary voters, unfavorably by 11% — a Plus 23.
Brannon is viewed favorably by 27%, unfavorably by 11% — a Plus 16.
Grant is viewed favorably by 20%, unfavorably by 9% — a Plus 11.
Ted Alexander is viewed favorably by 17%, unfavorably by 9% — a Plus 8. Alexander gets 7% in a primary today.
Mark Harris is viewed favorably by 23%, unfavorably by 9% — a Plus 14. Harris gets 6% of the vote in a primary today.
Alex Lee Bradshaw is viewed favorably by 15%, unfavorably by 8% — a Plus 7. Bradshaw gets 4% in a primary today.
Jim Snyder is viewed favorably by 16%, unfavorably by 8% — a Plus 8. Snyder gets 4% today.
Edward Kryn is viewed favorably by 13%, unfavorably by 9% — a Plus 4. Kryn gets 3% today.

Of those North Carolina adults who are familiar with the story of coal ash from Duke Energy spilling into the Dan River, 61% disapprove of the way the state responded to the spill, more than twice the 23% who approve of the state’s response.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,100 North Carolina adults 03/17/14 through 03/19/14. Of the adults, 1,885 were registered to vote in the state. Of the registered, 405 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/06/14 GOP Primary. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (73% of GOP Primary voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (27% of GOP Primary voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

2 Months to GA Primary, Perdue and Kingston Battle to Make Runoff and Right to Face Nunn in November; Other GA Races Analyzed

SurveyUSA Operations - 134 days ago

 

2 months till the 2014 Georgia Primary, clear frontrunners emerge in some high-profile contests but other lower-profile races remain a free-for-all, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WXIA-TV in Atlanta.

In the Republican Primary for Governor, Nathan Deal overwhelms 2 nominal challengers: Deal 65%, David Pennington.11%, John Barge 7%.

In a Republican Primary for U.S. Senator today, David Perdue tops 6 challengers, Perdue at 29%, Jack Kingston at 19%, with Phil Gingrey, Paul Broun, and Karen Handel effectively tied for 3rd place. A runoff is likely. The U.S. Senate Seat is open; Saxby Chambliss is retiring.

In the Republican Primary for School Superintendent, 9 candidates battle for name recognition and voter share of mind, with any outcome possible. 45% are undecided. The top 5 candidates have between 7% and 10% support levels. A runoff is certain. The sitting Superintendent, John Barge, is running for Governor.

In the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator, Michelle Nunn decisively defeats 3 opponents, Nunn 48%, Todd Robinson 14%, Steen Miles at 11% and Rod Radulovacki at 5%. Nunn is likely to reach the 50% needed to avoid a 07/22/14 runoff.

In the Democratic Primary for Secretary of State, Doreen Carter defeats Gerald Beckum today, 45% to 22%. The winner faces incumbent Republican Brian Kemp.

In the Democratic Primary for Insurance Commissioner, Liz Johnson defeats Keith Heard 45% to 29%. The winner faces incumbent Republican Ralph Hudges.

In the Democratic Primary for State School Superintendent, Valerie Wilson and Denise Freeman are effectively tied, at 17% and 16%, for the right to advance to a runoff, followed by Alisha Thomas Morgan at 12% and Jurita Mays at 11%. A runoff is certain.

Georgia voters want to leave unchanged the state’s constitutional amendment that defines marriage as between one man and one woman. 59% want the amendment to remain in place; 32% want it repealed.

Georgians are divided on what to do about the recreational use of marijuana: 28% say possession should remain a criminal offense; 30% say possession should be changed to a civil offense, and 37% say possession should be decriminalized.

Of those Georgians who do not have health insurance, half will sign up for coverage under the Affordable Care Act, half won’t. Of those uninsured who won’t take advantage of the ACA, most say that the policies are too expensive.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,300 state of GA adults 03/16/14 through 03/18/14. Of the adults, 1,985 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 508 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Republican Primary, 443 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 05/20/14 Democratic Primary. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

In Minnesota, Both Democrats, Governor Dayton and U.S. Senator Franken, are Well-Positioned for Re-Election

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 150 days ago

In polling conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis St Paul, SurveyUSA asked Minnesota registered voters about 6 hypothetical head-to-head match-ups for Governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democrat Mark Dayton is seeking a 2nd term. And SurveyUSA asked Minnesota registered voters about 6 hypothetical head-to-head matchups for U.S. Senator from Minnesota. Incumbent Democrat Al Franken is seeking a 2nd term.

Governor Dayton is above 50% against each of his 6 possible Republican challengers. Here is the rundown:

Dayton 53%, Republican Scott Honour 33%.
Dayton 53%, Republican Dave Thompson 32%.
Dayton 52%, Republican Jeff Johnson 34%.
Dayton 52%, Republican Kurt Zellers 31%.
Dayton 52%, Republican Rob Farnsworth 31%.
Dayton 51%, Republican Marty Seifert 34%.

Senator Franken is at or near 50% against each of his 6 possible Republican challengers, though 2 challengers are within 8 points. Here is the rundown:

Franken 50%, Republican Mike McFadden 40%.
Franken 50%, Republican Harold Shudlick 36%.
Franken 50%, Republican Monti Moreno 36%.
Franken 49%, Republican Julianne Ortman 41%.
Franken 49%, Republican Chris Dahlberg 41%.
Franken 49%, Republican Jim Abeler 37%.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 state of MN adults 02/25/14 through 02/27/14. Of the adults, 545 were registered to vote, and were asked about the election pairings. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (69% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

Copyright 2014 SurveyUSA®, Clifton NJ, all rights reserved. Terms & Conditions.