Republican Congresswoman Mia Love, Rumored by Some To Be A Possible Running Mate for Donald Trump, Has Her Hands Full Seeking Re-Election in Utah’s 4th Congressional District Against Democrat Doug Owens
In an election today in Utah’s 4th Congressional District, 1st-term incumbent Republican Mia Love trails Democratic challenger Doug Owens 51% to 45%, according to SurveyUSA research conducted for the Salt Lake Tribune and the Hinckley Institute of Politics at the University of Utah.
Love, who is African American and known nationally, was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2014. She seeks a 2nd term. Her support is young. The younger the electorate, the stronger she will perform. Owens’ support is older; he leads by 16 points among voters age 50+. Love leads 8:1 among Strong Republicans. But that is overshadowed by Owens, who leads among Strong Democrats by 49:1. Owens wins independents by 54 points and wins moderates by 32 points. Owens leads by 7 among men and by 4 among women.
Among Mormons, Love leads by 26 points. Among non-Mormons, Owens leads by 37 points. Among voters who do not belong to an organized religion, Owens leads 5:1. Love leads ever-so-slightly among voters with a high school education. Owens leads by 8 points among voters who have attended some college, and leads by 6 points among voters with a 4-year college degree.
Love has a Minus 1 Net Favorability Rating: 39% of voters have a favorable opinion of Love, compared to 40% who have an unfavorable opinion of her. Love is viewed favorably by 81% of Strong Republicans and 66% of very conservative voters. But she is viewed unfavorably by 89% of Strong Democrats and by 80% of very liberal voters.
About: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,725 registered voters from the state of Utah 06/02/16 through 06/08/16 using Registration Based Sample (RBS, also known as “voter list sample”), including an oversample of 300 registered voters from Utah’s 4th U.S. Congressional District. Only voters in the 4th Congressional District were asked about the Love-Owens contest. Of the registered voters from UT-04, SurveyUSA identified 573 who were likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (89% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (11% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Caution: this research was conducted at a time when Hillary Clinton and the Democratic Party were in the news, celebrating Clinton’s clinching of the party’s nomination for President of the United States, and at a time when Donald Trump was in the news, in a mostly unflattering light, for comments he made about a federal judge. This contest is likely to evolve over the 5 months between now and the day votes are counted.