For First Time, Democrat Nunn Now Narrowly In Front of Republican Perdue in US Senate Fight; GA Governor Contest Tied
Michelle Nunn has not led in the contest for United States Senator from Georgia in 4 previous WXIA-TV tracking polls. But now she does. According to new 11Alive polling, conducted by SurveyUSA, it’s Nunn 48%, Republican David Perdue 45%, with Libertarian Amanda Swafford grabbing just enough votes to possibly force a runoff, 3 weeks until votes in the general election are counted.
Week-on-week, Nunn has gained ground among men, where she now trails by 3. (Five weeks ago, she trailed among men by 19.) Among Independents, Nunn has closed to within 6 of Perdue (she had trailed by 28 points among Independents in August). In greater Atlanta, Nunn had led by as few as 10 points, but today leads by 22.
The contest for Governor of Georgia is tied today, 46% for Republican Nathan Deal, 46% for Democrat Jason Carter. The contest has been effectively tied the last 4 times SurveyUSA has looked at the race. Every vote is critical. Deal maintains 63% of the white vote. Carter now gets 83% of the black vote, a new tracking-poll high. Libertarian Andre Hunt polls at 4% today, which, in a contest this close, would trigger a January 2015 runoff.
* For School Superintendent, Democrat Valarie Wilson has today caught Republican Richard Woods, 46% Wilson, 46% Woods.
* For Attorney General, Democrat Greg Hecht continues to make inroads against Republican Sam Olens, and today trails Olens by just 3 points, 46% to 43%.
* For Lieutenant Governor of Georgia, Republican Casey Cagle today is 7 points ahead of Democrat Connie Stokes, 49% to 42%. Cagle has never trailed.
* For Secretary of State, Republican Brian Kemp today leads Democrat Doreen Carter 48% to 41%. Kemp has never trailed.
Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of GA adults 10/10/14 through 10/13/14. Of the adults, 710 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 563 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (75% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (25% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. The US Senate seat is open. Republican Saxby Chambliss has retired. A Democratic win would represent a pick-up, and would have national significance.