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In Minnesota, Both Democrats, Governor Dayton and U.S. Senator Franken, are Well-Positioned for Re-Election

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 03/04/14 12:15 AM

In polling conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis St Paul, SurveyUSA asked Minnesota registered voters about 6 hypothetical head-to-head match-ups for Governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democrat Mark Dayton is seeking a 2nd term. And SurveyUSA asked Minnesota registered voters about 6 hypothetical head-to-head matchups for U.S. Senator from Minnesota. Incumbent Democrat Al Franken is seeking a 2nd term.

Governor Dayton is above 50% against each of his 6 possible Republican challengers. Here is the rundown:

Dayton 53%, Republican Scott Honour 33%.
Dayton 53%, Republican Dave Thompson 32%.
Dayton 52%, Republican Jeff Johnson 34%.
Dayton 52%, Republican Kurt Zellers 31%.
Dayton 52%, Republican Rob Farnsworth 31%.
Dayton 51%, Republican Marty Seifert 34%.

Senator Franken is at or near 50% against each of his 6 possible Republican challengers, though 2 challengers are within 8 points. Here is the rundown:

Franken 50%, Republican Mike McFadden 40%.
Franken 50%, Republican Harold Shudlick 36%.
Franken 50%, Republican Monti Moreno 36%.
Franken 49%, Republican Julianne Ortman 41%.
Franken 49%, Republican Chris Dahlberg 41%.
Franken 49%, Republican Jim Abeler 37%.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 state of MN adults 02/25/14 through 02/27/14. Of the adults, 545 were registered to vote, and were asked about the election pairings. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (69% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

San Diego By 2:1 Agrees With Police Chief’s Decision to Resign; Most Think He Was Forced Out

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 02/28/14 07:00 AM

 

San Diego is split on the quality of the police department. 35% have a lot of confidence in the police, 42% have a little confidence and 15% have no confidence at all, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KGTV-TV 10News and the Union-Tribune Newspaper.

48% agree with the decision of William Lansdowne to resign as police chief. 22% disagree.

62% say Lansdowne was pressured to resign. 22% say Lansdowne resigned on his own.

One third say Lansdowne should be replaced by someone within the department. One third say he should be replaced by someone from outside the department. One third say it doesn’t matter.

10% say Lansdowne’s replacement should be a man; 20% say it should be a woman. 69% say it makes no difference.

14% say the new police chief should be a minority. 7% say it should not be a minority. 77% say it makes no difference.

80% in Florida Say ACA Obamacare Restaurant Surcharge is Inappropriate; 58% less likely to Eat There.

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 02/27/14 06:20 PM

 

Tampa area adults overwhelmingly label inappropriate a Florida restaurant’s decision  to add a 1 percent surcharge to each customer’s check, allegedly to cover the cost of the Affordable Care Act, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WFLA-TV. 58% of Tampa Bay area adults say the surcharge makes it less likely they would eat at such a restaurant.

 

In U.S. Senate Barnburner, KY Democrat Grimes Edges Republican Icon Mitch McConnell, Assuming McConnell Survives Primary Challenge

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 02/24/14 08:41 AM

Kentucky’s Mitch McConnell, a Republican fixture in the United States Senate, finds himself in a fierce uphill fight against Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes in the 11/04/14 general election, according to a Bluegrass Poll conducted for the Louisville Courier-Journal, the Lexington Herald-Leader, WHAS-TV Louisville and WKYT-TV Lexington.

It’s the challenger Grimes 46%, the incumbent McConnell 42%, in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup today, the survey of 1,082 registered KY voters finds. Such a match-up assumes that McConnell survives a 05/20/14 GOP Primary challenge from fellow Republican Matthew Bevin. At this hour, McConnell is well positioned, up 55% to 29% over the more conservative Bevin, among 404 eligible registered Republicans. But the increasingly contested primary means a battered McConnell is being attacked from all sides.

In the general-election match-up: McConnell has the support of conservatives, and Grimes has the support of liberals, both of which are to be expected. But Grimes outperforms McConnell 5:3 among moderates, and on this rock she builds her church. McConnell leads in Eastern and Western KY. Grimes leads in greater Louisville and North Central KY.

Republican voters are split on whether McConnell is too combative or too conciliatory: 35% of Republicans say McConnell compromises too much with Democrats, 20% say he compromises too little, and 32% say he compromises just the right amount. By contrast: 19% say Matt Bevin would, if elected, compromise too much, 16% say Bevin would compromise too little, and 22% say Bevin would compromise just the right amount. As you might expect, 43% are not sure about what Bevin would do if elected.

Among all registered voters:

  • McConnell is viewed favorably by 27%, unfavorably by 50%. (Minus 23).
  • Grimes is viewed favorably by 26%, unfavorably by 27%. (Minus 1). 29% are neutral on Grimes, another 18% have no opinion.
  • Bevin is viewed favorably by 10%, unfavorably by 17%. (Minus 7). 37% are neutral on Bevin, another 37% have no opinion.

Other findings from the Bluegrass Poll:

  • President Barack Obama has a Minus 26 Net Job Approval: 34% approve of Obama, 60% disapprove.
  • Mitch McConnell has a Minus 28 Net Job Approval, slightly worse than the President: 32% approve of McConnell, 60% disapprove.
  • By contrast, KY Governor Steve Beshear has a Plus 20 Net Job Approval: 54% approve of Beshear, 34% disapprove.
  • Among all registered voters, Rand Paul has a Plus 1 Net Job Approval: 46% approve of Paul, 45% disapprove.
  • Among just registered Republicans, 33% say Paul should run for President in 2016. 24% say Paul should run for re-election to the U.S. Senate in 2016. 23% say Paul should run for both offices simultaneously, if the law permits. And 16% say Paul should not run for office in 2016.
  • By the narrowest margin, Kentucky favors repealing the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare. 49% say repeal, 44% say fix as needed.
  • By 2:1, Kentucky favors raising the minimum wage to $10.10. 61% support a raise, 32% want the wage to remain at $7.25.
  • By 7:4, Kentucky supports a law that would ban smoking in bars and restaurants. 57% favor, 33% oppose.
  • By 3:2, Kentucky supports allowing the use of medical marijuana. 52% favor, 37% oppose.
  • By 5:3, the state is opposed to allowing gays and lesbians to marry. 35% favor, 55% oppose.
  • Support for a state constitutional amendment that would give voters a right to approve or reject specific local sales taxes runs 60% to 24% in favor. When the same question was asked 02/23/13, 72% supported an amendment, 19% opposed.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents were included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 1,200 state of KY adults 01/30/14 through 02/03/14. Of the adults, 1,082 were registered to vote in the state of Kentucky. Of the registered, 404 were registered as Republicans, and are eligible to vote in the Republican Primary. Primary questions asked only of Republicans. Other questions asked of all registered voters. This survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (77% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (23% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, or other electronic device.

 

 

Voters Want Full Disclosure about Who Owns Keystone Pipeline Oil and Where It’s Headed

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 02/20/14 01:33 PM

SurveyUSA conducted 10 separate, identical, simultaneous polls on the Keystone XL Pipeline, including one nationwide poll and 9 polls in 9 states for NextGen Climate Action. Results of the polls are here:

* USA
* Alabama
* Florida
* Iowa
* Louisiana
* Michigan
* New Hampshire
* North Carolina
* Ohio
* South Carolina

Across geographies, voters are concerned about the possibility that oil flowing through the Keystone XL Pipeline may not remain in America, and worry that foreign oil companies, some with connections to foreign governments, may have a say about where Keystone XL Pipeline oil ultimately ends up. Voters are concerned about who owns the tar sands where the oil originates, are concerned about whether a foreign or domestic entity is responsible for the maintenance of the Pipeline as is crosses American soil, and are concerned about how much of the oil stays in America once it is refined on America’s Gulf Coast. Voters are impatient with Senators who may have been persuaded to vote for the Pipeline by lobbyists with foreign ties. And voters are suspect of a US State Department study which may have had a faulty premise as its underpinning. Just as striking is how these findings cut across party lines. Consensus on key Pipeline policy is shared by liberals and conservatives, Republicans and Democrats, the less educated and the more educated, the less affluent and the more affluent.


Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in these 10 Separate Public Opinion Polls on the Keystone XL Pipeline.
SurveyUSA interviewed a total of 5,500 USA registered voters 02/10/14 through 02/11/14, as follows: 1,000 registered voters from a nationally representative sample and 500 registered voters from each of the following 9 states: Alabama, Michigan, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina, Louisiana, Iowa, and New Hampshire. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

Fletcher Emerges as Clear Front Runner in San Diego Special Election to Erase Filner Stain

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 09/24/13 12:26 PM

One month till early voting begins in the special election to replace Bob Filner as Mayor of San Diego, Nathan Fletcher emerges with a strong coalition that puts him atop Kevin Faulconer, who finishes 2nd today, and David Alvarez, who finishes 3rd.

Fletcher gets 30% of the votes in a crowded field, with broad support from middle-aged voters, Democrats, whites and Asians. Fletcher’s coalition includes the most educated and the most affluent. Voters focused on Leadership and Reaching Across Party Aisle pick Fletcher.

Faulconer gets 22% today, backed by Republicans, conservatives, men and seniors. Voters focused on integrity in government pick Faulconer.

David Alvarez gets 17% today. He is backed by Hispanics, young voters, liberals and those with the least formal education.

If no one candidate receives 50% of the votes in the 11/19/13 special election, a runoff will follow. In head-to-head matchups for the hypothetical runoff, SurveyUSA finds:

Fletcher defeats Faulconer 44% to 30%.
Fletcher defeats Alvarez 52% to 24%.
Faulconer and Alvarez effectively tie, 38% Faulconer, 35% Alvarez.

Cell-phones and home-phones are included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 city of San Diego adults 09/19/13 through 09/23/13. Of the adults, 686 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 527 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before the special election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

As Filner Starts Rehab, 77% Want Him to Resign; If He Doesn’t, 68% Back a Recall

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 08/05/13 04:24 PM

On the day San Diego Mayor Bob Filner checks himself into a behavioral-therapy clinic, support for Filner reaches a new low, opposition a new high, according to the latest SurveyUSA poll conducted for the U-T San Diego newspaper and KGTV-TV 10 News.

Today, just 16% of San Diegans think Filner should remain in office, compared to 77% who say Filner should resign. If Filner does not resign, 68% say the Mayor should be recalled. The percentage of San Diegans who say the mayor should resign has grown from 59% on 07/12/13 to 69% on 07/24/13 to 77% today. Calls for the mayor’s recall have increased from 60% on 07/26/13 to 68% today.

Despite the city’s disdain for the mayor’s sexcapades, San Diegans are divided over whether groping is the most serious problem facing Filner. Also to be considered are allegations that the mayor extracted concessions from developers in return for approving their projects.

44% say sexual harassment is the more serious allegation.
44% say the financial charges are more serious.

Should the city have sued Filner in an attempt to make him liable for any damages the city may face as a result of the sexual harassment claims? 71% say yes. 15% say no.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 600 city of San Diego adults 08/02/13 through 08/04/13. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of adults) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (22% of adults) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

4 Candidates in Race for Seattle Mayor Have Credible Storyline To Advance Beyond 08/06/13 Primary; Murray & McGinn on Top

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 07/18/13 03:18 PM

19 days until votes are counted in the Primary for Seattle Mayor, 4 candidates are in double digits, each with a possible path to being one of the “Top Two” finishers, enabling them to advance to a 11/05/13 General Election, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV. As it stands at this hour, based on interviews with 501 likely primary voters:
Ed Murray is at 22%, with strong support from females, middle-aged voters, liberals and the most affluent.
Incumbent Mike McGinn is at 21%, with disproportionate support from young voters, Hispanics, and the city’s least affluent voters.
Peter Steinbrueck is at 14%, backed by Independents, Moderates, and older voters.
Bruce Harrell is at 11%, backed by seniors and Asian Americans.

Among the larger group of registered voters: 32% today approve of the job that McGinn is doing as Mayor. 39% today say the city is headed in the right direction. 32% approve of the job the Seattle City Council is doing.

An extraordinary 68% of registered voters are “very concerned” about Seattle’s traffic and transportation. Another 27% are “somewhat concerned,” bringing the aggregated concerned percentage to 95%.

58% are very concerned about the city’s public schools.
51% are very concerned about the their safety.
47% are very concerned about the availability of housing in Seattle.
45% are very concerned about the quality of Seattle’s leadership.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 840 city of Seattle adults 07/15/13 through 07/18/13. Of the adults, 730 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 501 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 08/06/13 Primary. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (88% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Early voting begins today, 07/18/13.

Majority in New Jersey Say Undocumented Immigrants Should be Allowed to Stay in the United States

SurveyUSA Operations - 07/03/13 06:40 AM

Days after the United States Senate passed a bill with a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, 54% of Garden State adults say undocumented immigrants should be allowed to stay in the country, even if only as permanent residents, compared to 39% today who say undocumented immigrants should be deported, or worse, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for NJ News Commons at Montclair State University.

Overall: 42% favor a path to citizenship, another 12% want undocumented immigrants to be able to stay as permanent residents but with no path to citizenship, 34% say undocumented immigrants should be deported, and another 5% say undocumented immigrants should be criminally prosecuted in the United States.

The breakdown somewhat but not entirely follows party and ideological lines:

54% of Democrats favor a path to citizenship, compared to 33% of Republicans.
48% of Hispanics favor a path to citizenship, compared to 36% of African Americans.
Twice as many conservatives as liberals favor deportation or criminal prosecution of the undocumented.
Twice as many conservatives as liberals say immigrants take jobs away from Americans.
Of those born in America, 37% favor deportation. Of those born in another country, 17% favor deportation.

48% in Northern New Jersey support a path to citizenship, more than the 40% in South Jersey and the 37% in Central Jersey who favor a path.

Though the US House of Representatives is likely to fashion its own version of an immigration bill, those NJ residents who know the most about the Senate bill by 5:4 want their member of Congress to vote against it, should the Senate bill come before the House. 51% of those who know “a lot” about the Senate bill want their member of Congress to oppose it; 42% want their member of Congress to support it.

Overwhelmingly, New Jersey residents say businesses should be required to verify that potential employees are in the country legally, and employers who fail to do so should be fined.

Residents are skeptical whether more agents for the US Border Patrol will reduce the number of immigrants who enter the USA illegally. 48% say the number of illegals will go down, but 34% say the number will remain the same.

Residents are more optimistic that better Border Patrol surveillance will help: 64% say technology will cause the number of illegal immigrants to go down, compared to 24% who say the technology will be benign.

Overwhelmingly, NJ says that undocumented immigrants should not be eligible for food stamps, and should not be eligible to receive a college loan. Those born in another country are more likely to support extending such government programs to the undocumented than are those born in America.

Of those who employ a housekeeper, half say their housekeeper is an immigrant. Of those who employ an immigrant housekeeper, an overwhelming majority say their housekeeper is documented.

Of those who employ a lawn care service, 31% say their lawn care person is an immigrant. Of those who employ an immigrant lawn care person, 13% say their lawn person is in the country illegally.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of NJ adults 06/28/13 through 07/01/13. The research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (77% of adults) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (23% of adults) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

2 of 3 in California Say Marriage Should Include Same-Sex Couples

SurveyUSA Operations - 06/20/13 07:30 AM

68% of California adults — the highest number in four years of SurveyUSA polling — now say same-sex couples should be able to share in the legal benefits of marriage, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KPIX-TV San Francisco, KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. 27% — the lowest number in four years of polling — say the legal benefits of marriage should be restricted only to couples consisting of a man and a woman.

Asked specifically what the Supreme Court of the United States should do in an upcoming ruling that will decide the fate of Proposition 8, 48% say the Court should uphold an appeals court ruling that would mean the end of Proposition 8. 35% say the appeals court ruling should be overturned, which would reinstate Proposition 8.

Support for extending marriage benefits to same-sex couples has ranged from 61% in January 2010 to 68% today. The margin of support was as low as 25 points in January 2010, and is 41 points today. Click here to see detailed tracking data for this question. Click here to view the full results of this poll.

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