In Florida, Republican Scott Has Momentum, Democrat Crist Sputters, 7 Weeks Until Votes Are Counted; Medical Marijuana Backed
In an election for Governor of Florida today, 09/16/14, a month until ballots are mailed to voters, incumbent Republican Rick Scott is now 5 points atop Democratic challenger Charlie Crist, according to the latest WFLA-TV tracking poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Today’s results — Scott 44%, Crist 39% — are the first time that Crist has polled below 40% in the 6 months since WFLA-TV began tracking the contest.
Both candidates have Negative Net Favorability ratings. Crist is Minus 14: 33% of voters have a favorable opinion of him, 47% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of him. Scott is Minus 5: 39% of voters have a favorable opinion of him, 44% have an unfavorable opinion.
Compared to a WFLA-TV tracking poll one week ago, Crist is down 5 points, Scott is down 1 point. Libertarian Adrian Wyllie — today at 7% — is up 4 percentage points. Crist has lost ground among men, where he is today polling at 35%, 12 points behind Scott. Immediately before the 08/26/14 Democratic primary, Crist led among Independent voters, but today Crist is down among this critically important constituency by 13 points. In Southeast Florida, a Democratic stronghold which includes Miami and Fort Lauderdale, Crist is down 9 points week-on-week, and today leads in that part of the state by just 3. Without Southeast Florida solidly in one’s back pocket, no Democrat can carry the state.
State constitutional Amendment 2, which would give Floridians the right to use medicinal marijuana if prescribed by a physician, is backed by 25 points today, 56% voting Yes, 31% voting No. The measure is supported by 40 points among the youngest voters, and by 3 points among the oldest voters. Republicans and conservatives oppose. Moderates, liberals, Democrats and Independents support. The measure passes in every region of the state.
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 750 state of Florida adults 09/12/14 through 09/15/14. Of the adults, 683 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 571 were likely to vote in the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed-mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.