Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10292

Geography Surveyed: OH 2nd Congressional District
Data Collected: 09/17/2006 - 09/19/2006
Release Date: 09/20/2006 11:55 AM ET
Sponsor: WCPO-TV Cincinnati

Republican Schmidt Faces Strong Challenge in OH2: In an election for US House of Representatives in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District today, 9/20/06, Republican Congresswoman Jean Schmidt leads Democrat Victoria Wulsin by 3 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati. 7 weeks to the 11/7/06 election, Schmidt gets 45%. Wulsin gets 42%. The 3-point edge is within the poll's 4.5% margin of sampling error, and is not statistically significant. Republicans support Schmidt 6:1. Democrats support Wulsin 14:1. Independents break 5:4 for Wulsin. Republicans have a 3:2 advantage among 2nd CD likely voters. Wulsin leads among lower-income voters. Schmidt leads among middle-income voters. The two tie among upper-income voters. Schmidt is up slightly among men. Wulsin is up slightly among women. Though Wulsin leads 5:3 among Moderates, that is not enough to overcome the 9:2 lead Schmidt has among Conservatives. Of those who approve of President George W. Bush's job performance, 79% support Schmidt. Of those who disapprove of Bush's performance, 80% support Wulsin. President Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Ohio's 2nd CD is 50%. Schmidt was first elected to Congress in a special election in 2005.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, chosen using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 9/17/06 - 9/19/06. Of them, 497 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 497 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.5 percentage points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Jean Schmidt? Democrat Victoria Wulsin? Or some other candidate?

45% Schmidt (R)
42% Wulsin (D)
1% Other
12% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2006 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations