Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13164

Geography Surveyed: New York
Data Collected: 01/09/2008 - 01/10/2008
Release Date: 01/11/2008 9:55 AM ET
Sponsors: Binghamton Press and Sun-Bulletin , Elmira Star-Gazette , Ithaca Journal , WABC-TV New York, WGRZ-TV Buffalo, WHEC-TV Rochester, WNYT-TV Albany

Republican Primary in New York: McCain Fights to Unravel Giuliani "Big State" Strategy -- In a Republican Primary today in Rudolph Giuliani's home state of New York, 01/11/08, 25 days to the 02/05/08 vote, Giuliani is in a tight fight with John McCain, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for 7 New York state media outlets. Among all Republican Primary voters, it's Giuliani 32%, McCain 29%, within the survey's 4.6% margin of sampling error. Mike Huckabee is 3rd at 12%, Mitt Romney, Fred Thompson and Ron Paul are further back. Giuliani leads by 11 points in New York City and leads by 5 points in the NYC suburbs. McCain leads by 4 points Upstate. Giuliani leads by 17 points among voters voters age 49 and younger. McCain leads by 12 among voters age 50+. McCain leads by 9 among Moderates. Giuliani leads by 6 among Conservatives. Huckabee gets 18% among Conservatives, 18% among Pro-Life voters. Republicans who think the Economy is the most important issue back McCain 33% to 28%. Those who say Terrorism is most important back Giuliani 40% to 26%.

Filtering: 2,800 New York state adults were interviewed 01/09/08 through 01/10/08. Of them, 2,477 were registered to vote. Of them, 471 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the Republican Primary. The New York Primary is "closed," which means that, unlike Iowa and New Hampshire where Independents could be included, only registered Republicans may vote. Interviews were conducted before the South Carolina Republican candidate debate, which began at 9 pm ET on 01/10/08. Giuliani was Mayor of New York City from 1994 to 2001. New York is his home state.

  Asked of 471 likely republican primary voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.6 percentage points.

If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Rudy Giuliani? Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Fred Thompson? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?

32% Giuliani
12% Huckabee
29% McCain
7% Romney
6% Thompson
3% Paul
12% Other / Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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