Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #12878
Geography Surveyed: New Mexico
Data Collected: 10/27/2007 - 10/30/2007
Release Date: 11/05/2007
Sponsor: Roll Call Newspaper, Capitol Hill
2008 U.S. Senate Election in New Mexico
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Richardson is Strongest Democrat By Far; Pearce & Wilson Vie for 'GOP Favorite' Status:
In an election for United States Senate in New Mexico today, 11/5/07, one year to the vote, Bill Richardson wins no matter which Republican he opposes; Diane Denish is formidable, but it is unclear which of two Republicans has a better chance of holding Pete Domenici's seat for the GOP. If Steve Pearce is the Republican: Pearce loses to Martin Chavez 48% to 43% (within the poll's margin of sampling error); loses to Diane Denish by 4 points, 47% to 43% (within the margin of error); loses to Richardson by 21 points, 58% to 37%; defeats Don Wiviott by 17 points, 49% to 32%. If Heather Wilson is the Republican: Wilson loses to Chavez by 4 points, 48% to 44% (1 point better than Pearce), within MOE; loses to Denish by 6 points, 49% to 43% (2 points worse than Pearce); loses to Richardson by 22 points, 59% to 37% (1 point worse than Pearce); and defeats Wiviott by 9, 47% to 38% (9 points worse than Pearce).
Wilson, a woman, does not run stronger with women than does Pearce. Pearce, a man, does run a couple points stronger among men than does Wilson. Pearce also runs a couple points stronger among Independents than Wilson. Wilson runs a couple points stronger among seniors than does Pearce. Each of these effects is tiny, and none would be worthy of comment had they not recurred consistently across 8 different head-to-head match-ups.
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Wilson is Better Known Than Pearce, But Also Has Higher Unfavorable Numbers:
Pearce is viewed favorably by 21% of New Mexicans, unfavorably by 22%. His Net Favorability is Minus 1.
Wilson is viewed favorably by 33% of New Mexicans, unfavorably by 48%. Her Net Favorability is Minus 15.
Chavez is viewed favorably by 28%, unfavorably by 37%, for a Net Minus 9.
Denish is viewed favorably by 33%, unfavorably by 28%, for a Net Plus 5.
Richardson is viewed favorably by 52%, unfavorably by 33%, for a Net Plus 19.
Wiviott is unknown, viewed favorably by 2%, unfavorably by 7%, unknown by 59%.
By comparison: Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid are at Minus 16; Mitch McConnell is at Minus 7; John Boehner is at Minus 10. President Bush's Job Approval is 31% in New Mexico. 18% in New Mexico approve of the job Congress is doing.
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Congress Should Focus on Iraq Ahead of All Other Issues:
Asked which one of eight issues Congress should focus on ahead of all others, 25% pick Iraq. Among voters who pick Iraq, the Democrat leads in every head-to-head pairing, sometimes by as much as 52 points.
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Filtering:
750 New Mexico adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/27/07 through 10/30/07. Of them, 625 were registered to vote and included in this survey. |
1
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
Is your opinion of Steve Pearce ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Steve Pearce? |
21% | Favorable |
22% | Unfavorable |
24% | Neutral |
33% | Unfamiliar |
2
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
Is your opinion of Heather Wilson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, are you unfamiliar with Heather Wilson? |
33% | Favorable |
48% | Unfavorable |
14% | Neutral |
5% | Unfamiliar |
3
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
If your opinion of Martin Chavez is... |
28% | Favorable |
37% | Unfavorable |
26% | Neutral |
9% | Unfamiliar |
4
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
If your opinion of Diane Denish is... |
33% | Favorable |
28% | Unfavorable |
25% | Neutral |
14% | Unfamiliar |
5
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
If your opinion of Bill Richardson is... |
52% | Favorable |
33% | Unfavorable |
13% | Neutral |
1% | Unfamiliar |
6
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points. |
If your opinion of Don Wiviott is... |
2% | Favorable |
7% | Unfavorable |
32% | Neutral |
59% | Unfamiliar |
7
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
If there were an election for United States Senate today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Steve Pearce and Democrat Martin Chavez, who would you vote for? |
43% | Pearce (R) |
48% | Chavez (D) |
9% | Undecided |
8
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Steve Pearce and Democrat Diane Denish? Who would you vote for? |
43% | Pearce (R) |
47% | Denish (D) |
10% | Undecided |
9
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points. |
What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Steve Pearce and Democrat Bill Richardson? |
37% | Pearce (R) |
58% | Richardson (D) |
4% | Undecided |
10
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Steve Pearce and Democrat Don Wiviott? |
49% | Pearce (R) |
32% | Wiviott (D) |
18% | Undecided |
11
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Heather Wilson and Democrat Martin Chavez? |
44% | Wilson (R) |
48% | Chavez (D) |
8% | Undecided |
12
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Heather Wilson and Democrat Diane Denish? |
43% | Wilson (R) |
49% | Denish (D) |
9% | Undecided |
13
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points. |
What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Heather Wilson and Democrat Bill Richardson? |
37% | Wilson (R) |
59% | Richardson (D) |
5% | Undecided |
14
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Asked of 625 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
What if the only two candidates on the ballot were (names rotated) Republican Heather Wilson and Democrat Don Wiviott? |
47% | Wilson (R) |
38% | Wiviott (D) |
15% | Undecided |
15
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Asked of 618 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President? |
31% | Approve |
58% | Disapprove |
10% | Not Sure |
16
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Asked of 617 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.7 percentage points. |
Do you approve? Or disapprove? Of the job the United States Congress is doing? |
18% | Approve |
70% | Disapprove |
13% | Not Sure |
17
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Asked of 612 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points. |
Democrat Nancy Pelosi is Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. Is your impression of Nancy Pelosi .... Favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no impression? |
25% | Favorable |
41% | Unfavorable |
18% | Neutral |
15% | No Impression |
1% | Not Sure |
18
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Asked of 605 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points. |
Democrat Harry Reid is Majority Leader of the United States Senate. If your impression of Harry Reid is ... |
18% | Favorable |
34% | Unfavorable |
26% | Neutral |
21% | No Impression |
2% | Not Sure |
19
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Asked of 602 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points. |
Republican Mitch McConnell is the Minority Leader of the United States Senate. If your impression of McConnell is ... |
18% | Favorable |
25% | Unfavorable |
27% | Neutral |
27% | No Impression |
3% | Not Sure |
20
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Asked of 595 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points. |
Republican John Boehner is Minority Leader of the U.S. House of Representatives. If your impression of Boehner is... |
16% | Favorable |
26% | Unfavorable |
27% | Neutral |
29% | No Impression |
2% | Not Sure |
21
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Asked of 595 registered voters |
Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points. |
Which one issue should Congress focus on ahead of all others? The economy? The environment? Health care? Iraq? Terrorism? Social Security? Education? Immigration? Or some other issue? |
13% | Economy |
7% | Environment |
14% | Health Care |
25% | Iraq |
11% | Terrorism |
7% | Social Security |
7% | Education |
13% | Immigration |
1% | Other |
2% | Not Sure |
Complete Interactive Crosstabs | |
Statement of Methodology | |
© 2007 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations |