Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10342

Geography Surveyed: Virginia
Data Collected: 09/24/2006 - 09/26/2006
Release Date: 09/27/2006 11:15 AM ET
Sponsors: WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WUSA-TV Washington, DC

Allen-Webb VA Senate Race Rocked By Controversy: In an election for the United States Senate in Virginia today, 9/27/06, incumbent Republican George Allen maintains a slight 49% to 44% advantage over Democrat challenger James Webb, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WUSA-TV Washington DC and WDBJ-TV Roanoke. Since an identical SurveyUSA poll 2 weeks ago, Allen is up 1 point and Webb is down 1 point. BUT: day-to-day data shows that the race is volatile. On Sunday 9/24, after Allen had been accused of using racial slurs in college, he led by 7 in SurveyUSA Sunday-only data . On Monday 9/25, after Allen strongly denied the accusations, he led by 11 in SurveyUSA Monday-only data. On Tuesday 9/26, after more people corroborated the accusations, Allen trailed Webb by 3 points, in Tuesday-only data. The 5-point Allen advantage shown here, when the 3 days of data are combined and averaged, cannot be considered stable. Earlier polls had shown the race narrowing after publicity over comments Allen made to a Webb campaign worker. Today, Allen gets 87% of Republican votes. Webb gets 86% of Democrat votes. Independents are split. Allen leads by 12 points among men, trails by 1 point among women. Allen leads by 16 in Rural VA, leads by 10 in Suburban VA. Webb leads by 16 in Urban VA. The election is in 6 weeks, on 11/7/06. The Republicans have a 10-seat majority in the U.S. Senate. Allen's seat had been considered safely Republican, and Allen himself had been widely considered to be a Republican candidate for President of the United States in 2008. Allen, a former Virginia Governor, was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2000.

Filtering: 1,200 Virginia adults were interviewed 9/24/06 - 9/26/06. Of them, 979 were registered to vote. Of them, 628 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 628 Adults
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

If the election for United States Senator were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican George Allen? Democrat Jim Webb? Independent Green Gail Parker Or some other candidate?

49% Allen (R)
44% Webb (D)
2% Parker (IG)
0% Other
4% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2006 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations