Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9679

Geography Surveyed: CA 50th CD
Data Collected: 07/09/2006 - 07/11/2006
Release Date: 07/12/2006 11:15 AM ET
Sponsor: KGTV-TV San Diego

Analysis: In a general election held today, 7/12/06, in California's 50th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Congressman Brian Bilbray defeats Democrat Francine Busby 51% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KGTV-TV San Diego. Bilbray, who beat Busby by 4 points in a special election 6/6/06 to win the seat, now wins by 11 points. Bilbray wins among male voters by 27 points. Women prefer Busby by 5 points, a 32-point "gender gap". Bilbray wins 9:1 among Republicans. Busby wins 10:1 among Democrats. Independents are tied. Among those who approve of President Bush's job performance, Bilbray is preferred 20:1. Those who disapprove of Bush's performance prefer Busby 4:1. Busby's vote is strongly correlated with education level: the more education a voter has, the more likely to vote for Busby.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from California's 50th Congressional District, identified using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 7/9/06 - 7/11/06. Of them, 566 were judged to be "likely voters". Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 566 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Brian Bilbray? Democrat Francine Busby? Or some other candidate?

51% Bilbray (R)
40% Busby (D)
1% Other
8% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2006 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations