Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9679
Geography Surveyed: CA 50th CD
Data Collected: 07/09/2006 - 07/11/2006
Release Date: 07/12/2006 11:15 AM ET
Sponsor: KGTV-TV San Diego
Analysis: In a general election held today, 7/12/06, in California's 50th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Congressman Brian Bilbray defeats Democrat Francine Busby 51% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KGTV-TV San Diego. Bilbray, who beat Busby by 4 points in a special election 6/6/06 to win the seat, now wins by 11 points. Bilbray wins among male voters by 27 points. Women prefer Busby by 5 points, a 32-point "gender gap". Bilbray wins 9:1 among Republicans. Busby wins 10:1 among Democrats. Independents are tied. Among those who approve of President Bush's job performance, Bilbray is preferred 20:1. Those who disapprove of Bush's performance prefer Busby 4:1. Busby's vote is strongly correlated with education level: the more education a voter has, the more likely to vote for Busby.
Filtering: 800 registered voters from California's 50th Congressional District, identified using Registration Based Sample from Aristotle International, were interviewed 7/9/06 - 7/11/06. Of them, 566 were judged to be "likely voters". Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
|Asked of 566 Likely Voters|
|Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.|
|If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Brian Bilbray? Democrat Francine Busby? Or some other candidate?|
|Complete Interactive Crosstabs|
|Statement of Methodology|
|© 2006 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations|