Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9907

Geography Surveyed: CA 48th Congressional District
Data Collected: 08/14/2006 - 08/16/2006
Release Date: 08/17/2006 10:15 AM ET
Sponsor: KABC-TV Los Angeles

Republicans Hold Onto House Seat in CA48: In an election for the U.S. House of Representatives today, 8/17/06, in California's 48th Congressional District, incumbent Republican John Campbell defeats Democratic challenger Steve Young by nearly 2:1, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles. 12 weeks from the 11/7/06 general election, Campbell gets 57% of the vote. Young gets 31%. Campbell leads 14:1 among Republicans. Young leads 10:1 among Democrats. Campbell leads by 4 points among Independents. Republicans outnumber Democrats 2:1 among likely voters. Young gets 61% of the votes of those who disapprove of President Bush's job performance, but only 5% of the votes among those who approve of Bush. President George W. Bush's approval rating among likely voters in California's 48th Congressional District is 48%. This contest is almost a rematch of the Special Election in CA48 on 12/6/05, when Campbell defeated Young by 17 points to replace Republican Congressman Chris Cox, who resigned his seat in August 2005 to become Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. In the 12/6/05 Special Election, American Independent Candidate Jim Gilchrist, running on the issue of illegal immigration, received 26% of the vote, finishing just 2 points behind Young.

Filtering: 900 adults from California's 48th Congressional District were interviewed 8/14/2006 - 8/16/2006. Of them, 763 were registered to vote. Of them, 446 were judged to be "likely voters." Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 446 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.7 percentage points.

If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican John Campbell? Democrat Steve Young? Or Libertarian Bruce Cohen?

57% Campbell (R)
31% Young (D)
6% Cohen (L)
5% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2006 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations