Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14750

Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14750

Geography Surveyed: Ohio
Data Collected: 10/30/2008 - 11/02/2008
Release Date: 11/03/2008 5:55 AM ET
Sponsors: WCMH-TV Columbus, WHIO-TV Dayton, WKYC-TV Cleveland

In Ohio, Early Voters May Give Obama Enough Running Head Start That McCain Can't Catch Him on Election Day: Barack Obama 48%, John McCain 46%, in SurveyUSA's final tracking poll released Election Eve. Obama leads 5:3 among those who have already voted. McCain leads 5:4 among those who have not yet voted. Obama led in the past 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls, but by tapering margins. Obama led by 5 on 10/14/08, by 4 on 10/28/08 and by 2 today. It is possible that McCain could overtake Obama in the final 24 hours, but that would require young voters to stay home on Election Day and white voters from Dayton, Cincinnati and along the West Virginia border to show up in larger numbers than they have so far indicated. Research underwritten by WCMH-TV Columbus, WKYC-TV Cleveland and WHIO-TV Dayton. 800 adults interviewed 10/30/08 through 11/02/08 yielded 744 registered voters and 660 likely voters.

1	Asked of 660 likely & actual voters
	Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points.

If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?

46%	McCain (R)
48%	Obama (D)
3%	Other
2%	Undecided

2	Asked of 660 likely & actual voters
	Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points.

Ohio will also elect an Attorney General. If the election for Attorney General were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mike Crites? Democrat Richard Cordray? Or independent candidate Robert Owens?

35%	Mike Crites (R)
50%	Richard Cordray (D)
7%	Robert Owens (I)
7%	Undecided

3	Asked of 660 likely & actual voters incl. leaners
	Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points.

Ohio will also vote on several ballot proposals. On Issue, 5, regarding payday lending, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain? {Not Certain voters were asked: "At this hour, on Issue 5, do you ... lean toward yes? lean toward no, or do you not lean?"}

37%	Lean Toward Yes
41%	Lean Toward No
22%	Don't Lean

4	Asked of 660 likely & actual voters incl. leaners
	Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.9 percentage points.

On Issue, 6, regarding allowing a casino in Clinton County, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain? {Not Certain voters were asked: "At this hour, on Issue 6, do you ... lean toward yes? lean toward no, or do you not lean?"}

41%	Lean Toward Yes
55%	Lean Toward No
3%	Don't Lean

x	Complete Interactive Crosstabs
i	Statement of Methodology
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