Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #9826

Geography Surveyed: KY 4th Congressional District
Data Collected: 07/22/2006 - 07/24/2006
Release Date: 07/25/2006 10:55 AM ET
Sponsor: WCPO-TV Cincinnati

Analysis: In an election today, 7/25/06, in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District, Democrat Ken Lucas retakes his old seat from incumbent Republican Geoff Davis, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Lucas, who represented the 4th District from 1999 through 2004, gets 50% of the vote. Davis, who lost to Lucas in 2002 but was elected in 2004 after Lucas retired, gets 41%. Democrats support Lucas by 7:1. Republicans support Davis by 4:1. Independents favor Lucas by 4:3. The election is on 11/7/06. President George W. Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District is 43%.

Filtering: 1,000 adults from Kentucky's 4th Congressional District were interviewed 7/22/06 - 7/24/06. Of them, 849 were registered to vote. Of them, 447 were judged to be "likely voters". Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 447 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.7 percentage points.

If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Geoff Davis? Democrat Ken Lucas? Or some other candidate?

41% Davis (R)
50% Lucas (D)
8% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
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