Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10633

Geography Surveyed: CA 48th Congressional District
Data Collected: 11/01/2006 - 11/03/2006
Release Date: 11/04/2006 11:15 AM ET
Sponsor: KABC-TV Los Angeles

Republican Campbell Re-Elected in CA48: In an election for U.S. House of Representatives in California's 48th Congressional District today, 11/4/06, incumbent Republican John Campbell defeats Democratic challenger Steve Young, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 609 likely voters conducted exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA KABC-TV poll released 11 weeks ago, in August, almost nothing has happened in the contest. Then, 57% backed Campbell. Today, 56% back Campbell. Demographic subpopulations are stable. 90% of Republicans vote Republican, in a District that is more than 50% Republican. This contest is almost a rematch of the Special Election in CA48 on 12/6/05, when Campbell defeated Young by 17 points to replace Republican Congressman Chris Cox, who resigned his seat in August 2005 to become Chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. In the 12/6/05 Special Election, American Independent Candidate Jim Gilchrist, running on the issue of illegal immigration, received 26% of the vote, finishing just 2 points behind Young.

Filtering: 900 adults from California's 48th Congressional District were interviewed 11/1/06 through 11/3/06. Of them, 796 were registered to vote. Of them, 609 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 609 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4 percentage points.

If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican John Campbell? Democrat Steve Young? Or Libertarian Bruce Cohen?

56% Campbell (R)
37% Young (D)
4% Cohen (L)
3% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
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