Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10643

Geography Surveyed: Tennessee
Data Collected: 11/03/2006 - 11/05/2006
Release Date: 11/06/2006 10:10 AM ET
Sponsor: WBIR-TV Knoxville

TN Women, Middle TN Break Late Against Ford, Electing GOP Corker Senator: In an election for U.S. Senator from Tennessee, Republican Bob Corker rides a late surge and defeats Democrat Harold Ford Jr., according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WBIR-TV in Knoxville. In two October tracking polls, SurveyUSA had the contest tied. But in the campaign's final weeks, just enough female voters appear to be abandoning the Democrat to shift the race. Ford had led among women by 10 points on 10/1, by 10 points on 10/25, but today, Election Eve, leads among females by 1. Without women, Ford cannot overcome Corker's consistent 12-point lead among men. Middle TN flipped in the final week. Ford had led in Middle TN throughout the campaign, but now trails by 6 on Election Eve. Eastern TN remains, as it has been, solidly Corker. Corker's support among white voters has risen steadily, from 49% in September to 57% today. Ford's support among white voters has fallen steadily, from 44% in September to 41% today. The Senate seat is open. Republican Senator Bill Frist is retiring.

Bredesen Re-Elected Governor of TN: Incumbent Democrat Phil Bredesen defeats Republican challenger Jim Bryson, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-election tracking poll. Bredesen ends at 62%, Bryson ends at 34%. There has been no movement in the contest in 3 months.

Filtering: 1,000 Tennessee adults were interviewed 11/3/06 through 11/5/06. Of them, 894 were registered to vote. Of them, 679 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 679 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.7 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Jim Bryson? Democrat Phil Bredesen? Or some other candidate?

34% Bryson (R)
62% Bredesen (D)
4% Other/Undecided

  Asked of 679 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.8 percentage points.

Tennessee voters will also elect a United States Senator. In an election today, who would you vote for? Republican Bob Corker? Democrat Harold Ford Jr.? Or some other candidate?

51% Corker (R)
46% Ford (D)
4% Other/Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
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