Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #7442

Geography Surveyed: State of New Jersey
Data Collected: 11/04/2005 - 11/06/2005
Release Date: 11/07/2005 10:05 AM ET
Sponsors: WABC-TV New York, WCAU-TV Philadelphia

Independents Break Late for Forrester, But Will It Be Enough To Grab NJ Statehouse?: 12 hours till polls open in New Jersey, Democrat Jon Corzine appears to hold-off a late charge from Republican Doug Forrester in the race for Governor of New Jersey, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 798 likely New Jersey voters, conducted for WCAU-TV in Philadelphia and WABC-TV in New York City. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 2 weeks ago, Corzine is unchanged at 50%, but Forrester is up 3 points, from 41% then to now 44% now. How the remaining undecided voters "break" will determine whether last-minute negative campaign ads about Corzine's personal life were marginally or majorly successful. Look at the volatile gender mix: In the past 2 weeks, Corzine has dropped 12 points among women, down from a 20-point lead on 10/25/05 to an 8-point lead today. 2 weeks ago, Corzine trailed by 2 among men; today he's up by 5. Among Independents, Forrester had trailed by 15, now by 2. Ten separate public opinion polling organizations are working this contest. Corzine has led in every poll released by every pollster. Interest in this contest is increasing at the finish-line: 50% of registered voters are now judged to be "likely voters", compared with 44% on 10/25/05.

Filtering: 1,800 New Jersey adults were interviewed 11/4/05 - 11/6/05. Of them, 1,586 were registered voters. Of them, 798 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect "likely" voters.

  Asked of 798 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 3.5 percentage points.

New Jersey will elect a Governor on Tuesday. If the election for Governor of New Jersey were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Doug Forrester? Democrat John Corzine? Or some other candidate?

44% Forrester (R)
50% Corzine (D)
5% Other
2% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2005 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations