Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10640

Geography Surveyed: California
Data Collected: 11/02/2006 - 11/04/2006
Release Date: 11/05/2006 2:40 PM ET
Sponsors: KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KXTV-TV Sacramento

Republican Schwarzenegger & Democrat Feinstein Sail To Easy Re-Election in CA: Incumbent Republican Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger and Incumbent Democrat Senator Dianne Feinstein are re-elected comfortably in California, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll, released 11/5/06, exclusively for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KXTV-TV Sacramento and KGTV-TV San Diego. In 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls, Schwarzenegger never polled worse than 52%, never better than 55%. Democratic opponent Phil Angelides polled at 38% three times and 37% once. In the U.S. Senate race, support for Feinstein is increasing at the finish line. She ends at 60%, up from 55% in September. Republican challenger Dick Mountjoy ends at 31%, down from 35% in September.

'Yes' Still Ahead of 'No' on Proposition 86, Barely: In a referendum today on California Proposition 86, about cigarettes, 'Yes' is at 52%, 'No' is at 47%, largely unchanged from an identical SurveyUSA poll released 10/26. Then, the measure passed by 6 points, today by 5. The separation between Yes and No is close enough to the poll's 4.3 percent margin of sampling error that an upset defeat is possible. But in 4 SurveyUSA tracks going back to August, the measure has never trailed. Men support. Women split. Voters under age 65 support. Voters age 65+ oppose. Democrats support. Republicans oppose. Greater Los Angeles and San Francisco support. The rest of the state opposes. The more you earn, the more you favor Prop 86.

Filtering: 900 California adults were interviewed 11/2/06 through 11/4/06. Of them, 746 were registered to vote. Of them, 553 were judged to be "likely" voters for Governor and U.S. Senator. 551 were judged to be "likely" voters for Proposition 86. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.

  Asked of 553 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

If the election for Governor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger? Democrat Philip Angelides? Or some other candidate?

53% Schwarzenegger (R)
38% Angelides (D)
9% Other/Undecided

  Asked of 553 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.2 percentage points.

Voters in California will also have a chance to vote for United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, who would you vote for? Republican Dick Mountjoy? Democrat Dianne Feinstein? Or some other candidate?

31% Mountjoy (R)
60% Feinstein (D)
9% Other/Undecided

  Asked of 551 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.3 percentage points.

Also on the ballot is Proposition 86, a Tax on Cigarettes. Proposition 86 would raise the tax on cigarettes by an additional $2.60 per pack. Money would go to pay for health programs. If the vote were today, would you vote yes on 86? Or no on 86?

52% Yes
47% No
1% Undecided

  Complete Interactive Crosstabs
  Statement of Methodology
  © 2006 SurveyUSA / Contractual Obligations