Here Are The Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16929

Geography Surveyed: KS 1st CD
Data Collected: 08/05/2010 - 08/08/2010
Release Date: 08/09/2010 8:10 AM ET
Sponsor: KWCH-TV Wichita

KS-01: Huelskamp Has Big Lead in Big First: In an election for US House of Representatives in Kansas' 1st Congressional District today, 08/09/10, Republican Tim Huelskamp defeats Democrat Alan Jilka 65% to 23%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita.

Jilka, the former mayor of Salinas, leads only among Democrats, liberals, and those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, all minorities in the 1st District. Huelskamp, a state senator, gets 6 of 10 votes among men and women, young and old alike. 1 in 10 Republicans cross over to vote for the Democrat; 1 in 4 Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican. Independents favor Huelskamp by 14 points.

The 1st District, created in 1874, has been represented by a Democrat only for one term, from 1953-1955. Incumbent Republican Jerry Moran is running for US Senate.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Kansas' 1st Congressional District 08/05/10 through 08/08/10. Of them, 767 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 542 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election.

  Asked of 542 Likely Voters
  Credibility Interval for this question = ± 4.1 percentage points.

If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Tim Huelskamp? Democrat Alan Jilka? Or Libertarian Jack Warner?

65% Tim Huelskamp (R)
23% Alan Jilka (D)
7% Jack Warner (L)
5% Undecided

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  Statement of Methodology
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