| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14155 |
Baron Hill Leads Mike Sodrel In Biennial IN-9 House Contest:
In an election for US House of Representatives in Indiana's 9th Congressional District today, 07/31/08, incumbent Democrat Baron Hill leads Republican Mike Sodrel by 7 points, 49% to 42%. Libertarian Eric Schansberg today takes 4% of the vote; 5% are undecided.
Among women, Hill leads by 9 points; among men, Hill leads by 5. Among voters age 18-49, Hill leads by 6; among those 50+, Hill leads by 8. Both Hill and Sodrel hold 8 in 10 of their partisan voters; independents, 14% of the electorate, split evenly between the two, with 9% of independents choosing Libertarian Schansberg.
Hill and Sodrel have run against each other in three previous elections; in the last, two years ago, Schansberg also ran, making this year's race an exact rematch of 2006, when Hill Beat Sodrel by 5 points to re-take his seat. Full history of the contest:
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| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Indiana's 9th Congressional District 07/28/08 through 07/30/08; of the adults, 772 identified themselves as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 555 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. |
 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Mike Sodrel? Democrat Baron Hill? Or Libertarian Eric Schansberg? |
| 555 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | ||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | |
| Mike Sodrel (R) | 42% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 44% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 42% | 42% | ** | ** | ** | 80% | 12% | 39% | 75% | 31% | 14% | 54% | 34% | 26% | 57% | 23% | 37% | 45% |
| Baron Hill (D) | 49% | 48% | 50% | 54% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 49% | ** | ** | ** | 13% | 83% | 37% | 18% | 61% | 78% | 36% | 59% | 63% | 35% | 69% | 47% | 50% |
| Eric Schansberg (L) | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 3% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
| Undecided | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 20% | 52% | 48% | 96% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 35% | 45% | 14% | 34% | 36% | 14% | 50% | 27% | 24% | 56% | 41% | 27% | 72% |