Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21638
 
In Florida Governor's Race, Is This The Week That Republican Scott Puts Dagger into Democrat Crist's Still-Beating Heart? Nope.

Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Scott and Democratic Challenger Charlie Crist are effectively even, 6 weeks until votes are counted, according to the latest WFLA-TV tracking poll, conducted by SurveyUSA. Today, it's Scott 43%, Crist 42%. Libertarian Adrian Wyllie gets 4% today, siphoning more votes from Scott than from Crist.

The poll reflects the campaign's ongoing ebb and flow, with one candidate pulling ahead one week, only to fall back the next. Compared to an identical WFLA-TV News Poll released 1 week ago, Crist is up 3 points, Scott is down 1 point. Scott had led by 5 points on 09/16/14, now leads by a nominal, and statistically insignificant 1 point. Ever so slowly, party members are returning to their base. Just 10% of Republicans today cross-over and vote Democratic. Just 10% of Democrats today cross-over and vote Republican. These are the lowest cross-over numbers SurveyUSA has recorded to date. Independents today break narrowly for Crist.

* Scott's Net Favorability Rating today is Minus 5, effectively unchanged week-on-week.
* Crist's Net Favorability Rating today is Minus 12, effectively unchanged week-on-week.

60% of Florida voters need to say "Yes" in order for medical marijuana to be legalized in the Sunshine State. Today, 53% say Yes, 32% say No. But, importantly, 15% tell SurveyUSA that they are undecided on the ballot measure. If those undecided voters all vote Yes, the measure passes with votes to spare. If those undecided voters, all vote No, the measure fails. If those undecided voters split, or do not show up, the measure squeaks-by, by a handful of votes.

Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this weekly tracking poll. SurveyUSA interviewed 750 adults 09/19/14 through 09/22/14. Of the adults, 682 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 588 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before the 11/04/14 general election. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (74% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (26% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their tablet, smartphone or other electronic device. You must credit WFLA-TV of Tampa FL if you air, cite, or publish these results in whole or part.

 
If the election for Florida governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? ... (candidate names rotated) Republican Rick Scott? Democrat Charlie Crist? Libertarian Adrian Wyllie? Or some other candidate?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Rick Scott (R)43%42%44%30%41%47%45%37%46%42%38%48%9%38%79%10%34%77%31%15%35%48%42%38%42%51%41%44%48%56%45%43%36%
Charlie Crist (D)42%43%41%47%48%38%41%47%39%43%34%38%73%39%10%78%39%12%53%68%44%35%47%43%44%38%41%43%37%22%43%42%49%
Adrian Wyllie (L)4%5%3%3%4%5%3%4%4%6%0%4%4%3%6%2%7%5%4%5%4%4%4%3%5%6%3%5%4%6%4%7%2%
Other / Undecided11%10%11%19%7%10%11%11%10%9%28%10%13%20%5%10%20%6%12%13%16%12%7%16%10%6%16%9%12%16%9%8%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%13%21%36%30%34%66%8%7%82%12%6%40%39%20%34%42%19%18%35%47%30%39%31%26%74%7%10%32%22%29%
 
Florida will also vote on three constitutional amendments. On Amendment 2, the Florida Right to Medical Marijuana Initiative, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Yes53%60%46%73%54%56%41%62%49%42%56%52%65%44%39%63%63%36%56%80%48%51%57%51%55%56%75%46%48%56%51%48%60%
No32%30%33%18%33%30%39%27%34%33%28%33%25%31%48%22%19%52%28%7%33%31%32%32%33%30%17%37%35%31%34%38%24%
Not Certain15%10%20%9%13%14%20%11%17%25%15%15%10%24%13%15%19%13%16%13%19%17%12%18%12%14%7%18%16%13%15%15%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%13%21%36%30%34%66%8%7%82%12%6%40%39%20%34%42%19%18%35%47%30%39%31%26%74%7%10%32%22%29%
 
Is your opinion of Rick Scott ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Favorable37%38%37%41%41%34%37%41%35%37%49%41%11%37%65%13%29%69%26%15%32%40%38%32%36%45%44%35%49%45%34%35%37%
Unfavorable42%45%39%38%38%44%44%38%44%38%16%39%65%41%18%65%47%15%51%68%39%39%45%43%43%38%37%44%44%22%47%46%39%
Neutral18%14%22%16%19%21%17%18%19%19%32%18%23%21%17%19%20%16%22%13%23%18%17%20%19%17%17%19%7%27%16%17%22%
No Opinion2%2%2%5%1%1%2%3%2%6%3%2%2%1%0%3%3%0%2%4%6%3%0%5%2%0%1%2%0%6%2%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%13%21%36%30%34%66%8%7%82%12%6%40%39%20%34%42%19%18%35%47%30%39%31%26%74%7%10%32%22%29%
 
Is your opinion of Charlie Crist ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him?
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Favorable33%33%33%41%39%27%33%39%30%41%24%29%60%32%10%61%27%10%38%57%34%29%36%33%35%29%34%33%21%25%33%32%40%
Unfavorable45%47%43%31%37%51%50%35%51%40%33%51%12%38%74%16%45%76%38%16%43%49%43%38%44%54%38%48%58%59%44%46%38%
Neutral19%18%21%21%22%20%15%22%18%13%36%18%25%29%15%20%25%12%23%23%20%18%19%23%19%17%24%18%21%14%20%18%20%
No Opinion2%2%3%7%2%2%2%4%2%6%7%3%3%1%2%3%3%1%1%3%4%3%1%6%2%0%4%2%1%2%3%3%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%13%21%36%30%34%66%8%7%82%12%6%40%39%20%34%42%19%18%35%47%30%39%31%26%74%7%10%32%22%29%
 
Is your opinion of Adrian Wyllie ...
588 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+CubanNon-CubaRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncomeCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+YesHispanicWhiteBlackAsian / RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandlineNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea
Favorable7%9%6%12%10%5%6%11%5%11%12%8%6%2%6%9%7%6%6%11%11%5%7%10%6%7%8%7%18%8%5%7%7%
Unfavorable10%11%9%18%6%9%11%11%10%11%10%9%18%6%8%14%7%12%9%10%11%11%10%8%12%11%11%10%6%3%10%8%16%
Neutral49%51%46%35%47%52%51%42%52%60%55%50%42%38%51%44%53%56%46%48%46%44%53%43%49%54%45%50%52%52%43%48%53%
No Opinion34%29%39%35%37%34%32%36%33%18%23%33%33%54%35%34%34%26%39%31%32%40%30%39%32%28%36%33%24%38%42%38%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%13%21%36%30%34%66%8%7%82%12%6%40%39%20%34%42%19%18%35%47%30%39%31%26%74%7%10%32%22%29%