Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14342 |
Incumbent Dorn Gains Some Ground, But Challenger Remains Slightly Ahead in WA Supt of Public Instruction Race: In an election for the non-partisan office of Washington State Superintendent of Public Instruction held today, 09/09/08, 8 weeks till votes are counted, challenger Randy Dorn has the slightest edge over incumbent Terry Bergeson, 41% to 36%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KING-TV Seattle. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one month ago, Dorn is down 2 points; Bergeson is up 4 points. 23% of voters today are undecided or planning to vote for another candidate, high enough that any outcome is possible in November. Dorn, the executive director of the Public School Employees union, led by 24 among men one month ago, leads by 11 points today. Among women, Bergeson led by 11 points in July, led by 3 points in August, is tied today. Among voters age 18 to 49, Dorn had led by 17, now by 6. |
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Washington adults 09/05/08 through 09/07/08; of the adults, 803 identified themselves as being registered to vote in Washington state. Of the registered voters, 658 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. 37 of Washington's 39 counties vote exclusively by mail; ballots must be postmarked no later than Election Day, 11/04/08. |
![]() | Washington voters will also elect a Superintendent of Public Instruction. If you were filling out your ballot right now, would you vote for (choices rotated) Terry Bergeson? Or, Randy Dorn? |
658 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
Bergeson | 36% | 33% | 39% | 35% | 32% | 37% | 42% | 33% | 39% | 36% | ** | ** | 41% | 33% | 42% | 31% | 34% | 34% | 41% | 37% | 35% | 34% | 42% | 34% | 33% | 38% | 39% | 35% | 35% | ** | 37% | 33% | 30% | ** | ** | 48% | 39% | 35% | 38% | 40% | 33% |
Dorn | 41% | 44% | 39% | 37% | 40% | 46% | 40% | 39% | 44% | 42% | ** | ** | 31% | 45% | 37% | 43% | 43% | 45% | 34% | 42% | 40% | 44% | 33% | 43% | 41% | 41% | 35% | 43% | 43% | ** | 40% | 41% | 45% | ** | ** | 34% | 38% | 42% | 40% | 38% | 43% |
Other | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 7% | ** | ** | 11% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 6% | ** | 9% | 5% | 7% | ** | ** | 7% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 7% |
Undecided | 16% | 16% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 11% | 14% | 20% | 12% | 16% | ** | ** | 17% | 15% | 17% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | ** | 13% | 21% | 18% | ** | ** | 11% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 17% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 19% | 35% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 84% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 29% | 37% | 28% | 26% | 41% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 37% | 25% | 38% | 38% | 60% | 24% | 73% | 46% | 5% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 32% | 68% | 27% | 21% | 52% |