Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13287
Moderates Push McCain Atop Huckabee in Alabama GOP Primary: In a Republican Primary in Alabama today, 02/01/08, 4 days before Super Tuesday, John McCain defeats Mike Huckabee, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WKRG-TV Mobile. Among Conservatives, Huckabee and McCain tie. Among those who attend church regularly, Huckabee and McCain tie. But when all likely Republican Primary voters are examined, McCain finishes at 40%, Huckabee at 31%, Mitt Romney at 21%. McCain's 23-point lead among Moderates provides his margin of victory.
Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of Alabama adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. Of them, 1,783 were registered to vote. Of them, 629 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be certain to vote at the precinct on Primary Day. All interviews conducted after results of Florida Primary were known. Half of interviews conducted prior to Republican debate on 01/30/08, half conducted after. John McCain received a number of prominent endorsements during the field period for this survey. The full effect of those endorsements, if there is any, may not yet be reflected in this data. Early voting: Mobile County and Baldwin County voters had the option, but not the obligation, to vote early, to avoid a conflict on 02/05/08 with Mardi Gras. 10% of those who participated in this survey had already voted.
If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican?
629 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAlready VotedAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemaleActual VLikely V18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratNorthernSouthern
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%55%45%10%90%18%31%31%20%49%51%94%3%2%1%83%4%10%72%18%3%71%17%12%77%21%31%67%33%1%5%10%16%7%3%20%59%41%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.