Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13166
Florida Democratic Primary: Clinton Still Above 50%, But Male Voters Abandon Edwards for Obama: In a Democratic Primary in Florida today, 01/11/08, 17 days till the 01/29/08 vote, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama by 19 points, 51% to 32%, according to this latest tracking poll conducted exclusively for WFLA-TV Tampa and WKRG-TV Mobile. In SurveyUSA's first Florida snapshot since Obama won Iowa and Clinton won New Hampshire, Clinton's lead is narrowed from 32 points before Christmas to 19 points today. Among male voters, Obama is up 13 points, John Edwards is down 10 points. Clinton's once 30-point lead among Florida male Democrats is now 4 points. Among females, Clinton continues to lead by 30. Clinton leads 4:1 among whites. Obama leads 3:1 among blacks. Obama runs strong in NE and NW Florida, but Clinton remains above 50% in Central, SW and SE Florida. There is movement to Obama among voters age 50 to 64; Clinton had led by 35, now by 8. There is little movement among voters age 65+, where Clinton remains ahead by 45.
Filtering: 2,000 state of Florida adults were interviewed on 01/09/08 and 01/10/08, after the New Hampshire Primary results were known. Of the adults, 1,744 were registered to vote. Of them, 577 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 01/29/08 Florida Democratic Primary. In the 17 days between this poll and the Florida Primary, voting will take place in Nevada and South Carolina. Those outcomes can and will buffet the candidates in Florida. These results may change significantly.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
577 Likely VotersAllGenderRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyRegionAge<50 / 50+
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemaleWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratNo AffilConservaModerateLiberalNorth WeNorth EaCentralSouth WeSouth Ea18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+
Composition of Likely Voters100%43%57%61%19%17%3%0%100%0%10%40%38%7%7%29%15%42%19%25%27%29%44%56%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.