Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13309
 
Obama Closes on Clinton, But Doesn't Catch Her, Eve of Massachusetts Democratic Primary: 24 hours till votes are counted in Massachusetts, Barack Obama has late momentum against Hillary Clinton, and has gained ground while Clinton has remained flat, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-primary tracking poll, conducted for WBZ-TV Boston. At the wire, Clinton 56%, Obama 39%. The size of Clinton's victory will determine how many of Massachusetts' 121 delegates she takes to the Democratic National Convention. Obama leads by 20 among men. Clinton leads by 42 among women. A 62-point Gender Gap. Among voters under age 50, the contest is tied. Among voters age 50+, Clinton leads by 29. The number of young voters will determine how well Obama does relative to Clinton. If new, younger, first-time voters show-up in disproportionately large numbers, Obama may out-perform his 39% showing here.
 
Filtering: 1,350 state of Massachusetts registered voters were interviewed 02/02/08 and 02/03/08 using Registration Based Sampling. Of them, 651 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Democratic Primary. All interviews completed before the start of the Super Bowl on 02/03/08.
 
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
651 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+HispanicAfrican WhiteAsian/OtRepublicDemocratUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigratW/CentraBoston ASE MA &
Clinton56%36%69%53%45%58%66%47%62%**18%59%****56%55%44%56%55%59%59%50%59%55%49%58%62%42%51%56%****49%**58%53%62%
Obama39%56%27%43%48%38%27%47%33%**71%36%****38%42%46%39%40%36%34%45%34%40%36%39%33%55%40%39%****49%**38%40%34%
Other3%6%1%4%2%3%4%3%3%**7%3%****4%1%8%3%3%3%4%2%5%2%6%2%2%2%5%2%****0%**2%4%3%
Undecided2%2%3%0%5%1%3%4%2%**4%2%****3%1%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%3%9%0%2%1%4%2%****2%**1%4%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%40%60%11%29%34%26%40%60%2%6%88%3%0%74%26%7%42%35%36%30%34%26%72%22%77%39%8%13%22%3%4%5%4%22%58%20%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.