Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10296
Republican Incumbent Musgrave Clings to 4-Point Lead in CO4: In an election for the U.S. House of Representatives today, 9/21/06, in Colorado's 4th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Marilyn Musgrave defeats Democratic challenger Angie Paccione, but just barely, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KUSA-TV Denver. 7 weeks from the 11/7/06 general election, Musgrave gets 46% of the vote. Paccione gets 42%. The percentages are unchanged from an identical SurveyUSA KUSA-TV poll released 5 weeks ago, on 8/16/06. No significant movement is seen in any demographic subgroup. Musgrave gets 80% of Republican votes. Paccione gets 85% of Democrat votes. Independents favor Paccione 5:3. Republicans outnumber Democrats among likely voters by 46% to 29%. Paccione runs strongly among the most educated voters: she leads by 23 among those who have attended graduate school. Musgrave leads 14:1 among those who approve of President Bush's performance in office. Paccione leads 5:1 among those who disapprove of Bush. President George W. Bush's approval rating among likely voters in Colorado's 4th Congressional District is 44%. Democrats have targeted Musgrave as they attempt to re-capture control of the U.S. House. Musgrave was first elected to Congress in 2002.
Filtering: 900 adults from Colorado's 4th Congressional District were interviewed 9/18/2006 - 9/20/2006. Of them, 762 were registered to vote. Of them, 424 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
If the election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Marilyn Musgrave? Democrat Angie Paccione? Or Reform Party candidate Eric Eidsness?
424 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRacePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeBush Job ApprovaGeneration *
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo ColleSome ColCollege Grad Sch< $40K$40K - $> $80KApproveDisapproGen YGen XJonesBoomersMature
Musgrave (R)46%49%43%48%43%44%51%46%35%80%6%31%79%32%14%58%44%53%34%46%45%46%84%14%52%38%48%43%51%
Paccione (D)42%41%42%37%45%42%39%41%54%10%85%51%8%56%79%33%38%38%57%42%43%42%6%74%30%49%42%40%39%
Eidsness (RP)8%7%9%12%5%10%7%8%5%6%8%12%9%7%6%5%11%7%6%7%8%11%6%9%15%6%6%12%7%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%17%35%28%20%90%7%46%29%23%33%45%15%12%39%27%22%27%36%31%44%51%9%21%29%21%20%