Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15954
Home-Stretch in New Jersey: Daggett Falls to Earth, Corzine Pulls Even With Christie: In an election for New Jersey Governor today, 10/29/09, five days until votes are counted, incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine and Republican challenger Chris Christie tie, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV. Corzine 43%, Christie, 43%, Independent Chris Daggett 11%, in polling concluded 10/28/09. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago, Corzine is up 4, Christie is up 2, Daggett is down 8. In 4 SurveyUSA tracking polls, neither Christie nor Corzine has polled higher than 43%. Corzine leads among the 11% of voters who tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot. The candidates are even among voters who have not yet voted but say they will on or before election day. At this hour, the contest is a coin-toss. The lower the turnout, the better for Corzine.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 New Jersey adults 10/26/09 through 10/28/09. Of them, 889 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 640 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote on or before 11/03/09.
If the election for governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Chris Christie? Democrat Jon Corzine? Or Independent Chris Daggett?
640 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyBiggest IssueCollege GradIncomeEnthusiastic2008 Vote2005 VoteNFL TeamSpringsteen Fan?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPropertyJobsEconomyHealth CCorruptiYesNo< $50K$50K - $$100K +No ReserReservatObamaMcCainCorzineForresteGiantsJetsEaglesYesNoNorthernCentral Southern
Christie (R)43%47%39%41%43%46%42%42%44%51%13%34%21%37%44%73%17%51%72%36%19%57%31%34%16%69%41%46%31%49%46%50%41%16%79%21%81%45%48%41%34%53%39%45%46%
Corzine (D)43%42%44%48%45%37%45%46%41%35%81%48%57%45%43%16%71%30%19%45%71%28%59%56%73%11%44%41%52%39%41%43%45%69%12%66%9%42%38%46%50%36%47%41%40%
Daggett (I)11%10%12%11%10%11%10%10%11%12%3%12%7%8%11%10%8%17%6%16%8%11%9%8%10%17%12%9%11%10%11%7%13%12%8%12%7%10%12%11%12%9%11%11%10%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%16%32%26%26%48%52%73%12%10%5%11%89%34%44%20%31%42%22%38%13%23%11%8%55%45%25%38%37%44%52%55%40%54%28%37%11%14%48%49%40%32%28%