| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #26534 |
| One Month Until New Mexico Votes Are Counted, Democrats Poised to Sweep in Contests for Governor, Attorney General, and Secretary of State:
SurveyUSA's latest exclusive polling for KOB-TV in Albuquerque shows New Mexico's incumbent Democratic Governor and Secretary of State, and the Democratic candidate in the open race for Attorney General all slightly increasing their leads against their Republican opponents compared to identical SurveyUSA polling released 3½ weeks ago. Today, in the race for Governor, incumbent Democrat Michelle Lujan Grisham defeats Republican Mark Ronchetti 53% to 37%, a 16 point margin, up from 12 points last month. 3% say they would vote for Libertarian Karen Bedonie; 7% are undecided. Ronchetti has gained ground among men, where Lujan Grisham had led by 6 points, now leads by a nominal single point, but movement among women offsets and outweighs that: Lujan Grisham had led by 18 points among female voters in September, now leads by 29. Among white voters, Ronchetti had led by 8, now leads by 6; among Latino voters, Lujan Grisham had led by 33 points, now leads by 44. 89% of Democrats vote for the incumbent Democrat, with 5% crossing over to vote for Ronchetti; 83% of Republicans vote for Ronchetti, with 13% crossing over to vote for Luhan Grisham. On the issues, 22% of likely voters say the economy is the one issue that will most influence their votes this year; those voters prefer Ronchetti by an 18-point margin. Another 14% are most focused on inflation, and back Ronchetti by a 12-point margin; 8% of voters are most concerned with immigration and border security, and prefer Ronchetti by 59 points, 75% to 16. But: 17% of likely voters, the 2nd-largest group, say abortion is the most important issue to them this election cycle, and these voters choose Lujan Grisham by a 73-point margin, 86% to 13%. Another 14%, most focused on crime and public safety, also prefer the incumbent, but by a smaller 12-point margin. 7% say health care is the most important issue; 89% of these respondents vote for Lujan Grisham, 1% for Ronchetti. 15% of likely voters say the issue of abortion will be the "determining factor" in their vote for Governor; another 36% say it will be a major factor. These voters vote for Lujan Grisham by 49% and 45%, respectively. 25% say abortion will be "somewhat" of a factor in their vote; these voters back Lujan Grisham by a smaller 12-point margin. 21% say abortion will not be a factor at all: these voters back Ronchetti by a 48-point margin. The contest for New Mexico's open Attorney General position is similarly tilted to the Democrats, with Democratic Bernalillo County District Attorney Raul Torrez slightly widening his lead against Republican attorney Jeremy Gay from 15 points last month to 17 points today, 50% to 33%. 16% of likely voters are undecided, suggesting voters are not especially focused on this down-ticket contest. Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver today defeats Republican Audrey Trujillo by 15 points, 47% to 32%. Libertarian Mayna Myers takes 3% of the vote; 18% are undecided. Compared to last month, Oliver is up 1 point, Trujillo down 3. Full results follow ... |
| About the Poll / Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed a representative cross-section of 870 New Mexico adults online 10/01/22 through 10/06/22, using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. Of the adults, 662 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 570 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November 2022 general election and were asked the questions which follow. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home ownership. |
| 1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of New Mexico? |
| 870 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Yes | 76% | 77% | 75% | 55% | 82% | 90% | 83% | 66% | 87% | 82% | 71% | 72% | 88% | 91% | 63% | 85% | 83% | 76% | 88% | 84% | 83% | 76% | 87% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 94% | 78% | 76% | 66% | 76% | 91% | 68% | 81% | 87% | 84% | 60% | 77% | 78% | 73% | 80% | 76% | 73% |
| No | 19% | 16% | 22% | 37% | 15% | 9% | 13% | 28% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 32% | 15% | 15% | 21% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 21% | 12% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8% | 5% | 20% | 19% | 25% | 22% | 7% | 25% | 17% | 11% | 14% | 30% | 20% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 23% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 10% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 30% | 21% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 44% | 39% | 16% | 27% | 36% | 23% | 10% | 21% | 33% | 15% | 7% | 31% | 33% | 21% | 72% | 14% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 31% | 39% | 30% | 70% | 39% | 35% | 26% | 47% | 30% | 24% | 68% | 32% | 29% | 35% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 49% |
| 2 | New Mexico will hold an election for Governor and other statewide offices in November. Not everyone makes the time to vote in every election. Which best describes you? Are you certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote? |
| 662 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Certain To Vote | 72% | 70% | 74% | 49% | 63% | 82% | 87% | 56% | 84% | 77% | 70% | 61% | 77% | 77% | 60% | 84% | 75% | 67% | 73% | 99% | 78% | 67% | 81% | 100% | 0% | 86% | 83% | 87% | 83% | 87% | 87% | 88% | 79% | 77% | 95% | 77% | 92% | 80% | 89% | 85% | 75% | 89% | 78% | 78% | 65% | 76% | 64% | 72% | 81% | 63% | 79% | 77% | 76% | 60% | 68% | 71% | 76% | 71% | 75% | 71% |
| Will Probably Vote | 14% | 13% | 15% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 20% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 1% | 13% | 18% | 12% | 0% | 100% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 21% | 23% | 5% | 23% | 8% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 25% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 17% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 18% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 17% | 16% |
| 50/50 Chance | 9% | 10% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 16% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 5% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7% | 6% | 13% | 7% | 18% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 9% |
| Probably Will Not Vote | 3% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1% | 0% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 21% | 23% | 32% | 24% | 44% | 56% | 48% | 37% | 15% | 31% | 43% | 19% | 11% | 23% | 33% | 17% | 8% | 34% | 33% | 24% | 72% | 14% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 37% | 48% | 30% | 70% | 34% | 35% | 31% | 42% | 31% | 27% | 75% | 25% | 29% | 36% | 35% | 40% | 13% | 47% |
 | If the election for Governor were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 570 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Mark Ronchetti (R) | 37% | 43% | 32% | 34% | 35% | 40% | 37% | 34% | 38% | 48% | 22% | 35% | 83% | 5% | 37% | 86% | 68% | 27% | 4% | 0% | 74% | 27% | 2% | 38% | 31% | 100% | 0% | 88% | 6% | 91% | 4% | 52% | 54% | 1% | 13% | 36% | 75% | 9% | 23% | 24% | 36% | 70% | 83% | 4% | 37% | 37% | 42% | 34% | 35% | 30% | 43% | 39% | 39% | 29% | 32% | 40% | 37% | 36% | 24% | 41% |
| Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) | 53% | 44% | 61% | 52% | 54% | 49% | 58% | 53% | 53% | 42% | 66% | 59% | 13% | 89% | 36% | 5% | 27% | 62% | 84% | 98% | 19% | 62% | 89% | 53% | 54% | 0% | 100% | 6% | 91% | 4% | 93% | 40% | 36% | 89% | 86% | 48% | 16% | 69% | 72% | 69% | 48% | 22% | 8% | 90% | 56% | 53% | 48% | 54% | 58% | 55% | 50% | 54% | 54% | 51% | 56% | 50% | 54% | 51% | 71% | 49% |
| Karen Bedonie (L) | 3% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% |
| Undecided | 7% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 18% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 16% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 61% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 83% | 17% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 39% | 52% | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 14% | 47% |
 | If the election for Attorney General were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 570 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Jeremy Gay (R) | 33% | 40% | 27% | 36% | 30% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 34% | 43% | 19% | 37% | 79% | 3% | 28% | 88% | 66% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 73% | 17% | 4% | 35% | 26% | 79% | 4% | 100% | 0% | 92% | 3% | 50% | 48% | 3% | 13% | 30% | 76% | 15% | 23% | 24% | 35% | 58% | 75% | 5% | 33% | 33% | 36% | 30% | 34% | 25% | 37% | 40% | 34% | 31% | 24% | 39% | 36% | 28% | 29% | 39% |
| Raul Torrez (D) | 50% | 44% | 56% | 48% | 57% | 46% | 52% | 53% | 49% | 41% | 65% | 45% | 12% | 88% | 31% | 5% | 25% | 64% | 70% | 96% | 18% | 64% | 78% | 50% | 50% | 8% | 86% | 0% | 100% | 4% | 92% | 37% | 39% | 75% | 81% | 46% | 6% | 70% | 67% | 67% | 39% | 23% | 9% | 83% | 55% | 49% | 48% | 49% | 54% | 52% | 50% | 49% | 52% | 46% | 55% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 67% | 46% |
| Undecided | 16% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 9% | 9% | 41% | 8% | 9% | 19% | 24% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 24% | 13% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 13% | 22% | 6% | 24% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 9% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 21% | 12% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 24% | 22% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 4% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 61% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 83% | 17% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 39% | 52% | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 14% | 47% |
 | If the election for Secretary of State were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? |
| 570 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Audrey Trujillo (R) | 32% | 41% | 24% | 37% | 30% | 31% | 31% | 33% | 31% | 41% | 20% | 32% | 73% | 2% | 32% | 88% | 63% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 72% | 15% | 4% | 33% | 25% | 79% | 2% | 88% | 2% | 100% | 0% | 49% | 47% | 0% | 13% | 23% | 70% | 17% | 25% | 24% | 29% | 58% | 74% | 3% | 32% | 32% | 36% | 28% | 33% | 25% | 37% | 35% | 33% | 29% | 21% | 38% | 35% | 26% | 28% | 38% |
| Maggie Toulouse Oliver (D) | 47% | 42% | 53% | 46% | 50% | 44% | 51% | 48% | 47% | 40% | 62% | 39% | 10% | 85% | 26% | 4% | 25% | 58% | 70% | 96% | 18% | 58% | 79% | 49% | 37% | 5% | 83% | 4% | 87% | 0% | 100% | 34% | 36% | 73% | 77% | 45% | 4% | 67% | 65% | 64% | 35% | 24% | 5% | 81% | 54% | 46% | 39% | 48% | 55% | 43% | 52% | 48% | 49% | 43% | 54% | 45% | 45% | 51% | 62% | 40% |
| Mayna Myers (L) | 3% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Undecided | 18% | 14% | 21% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 16% | 29% | 15% | 11% | 33% | 4% | 11% | 23% | 20% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 14% | 15% | 31% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 25% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 34% | 14% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 20% | 21% | 22% | 10% | 27% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 7% | 19% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 61% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 83% | 17% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 39% | 52% | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 14% | 47% |
| 6 | How will you vote this fall? |
| 570 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Mail-in / Absentee Ballot | 22% | 19% | 24% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 14% | 24% | 26% | 9% | 13% | 22% | 36% | 38% | 11% | 22% | 37% | 22% | 21% | 10% | 29% | 7% | 27% | 8% | 28% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 36% | 28% | 14% | 23% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 27% | 16% | 24% | 16% | 22% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 20% |
| Early In-person Voting | 37% | 34% | 39% | 33% | 32% | 37% | 43% | 33% | 39% | 43% | 34% | 24% | 40% | 35% | 32% | 51% | 29% | 36% | 39% | 39% | 37% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 33% | 42% | 34% | 44% | 35% | 43% | 37% | 24% | 34% | 31% | 37% | 43% | 59% | 34% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 34% | 39% | 37% | 33% | 38% | 28% | 35% | 47% | 27% | 42% | 45% | 39% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 31% | 40% | 40% | 33% |
| In-person On Election Day | 37% | 44% | 30% | 51% | 38% | 33% | 31% | 44% | 32% | 31% | 41% | 46% | 45% | 35% | 33% | 39% | 56% | 34% | 22% | 21% | 51% | 34% | 21% | 37% | 37% | 43% | 33% | 46% | 35% | 46% | 32% | 58% | 44% | 43% | 24% | 28% | 25% | 43% | 29% | 34% | 35% | 49% | 45% | 31% | 47% | 32% | 50% | 38% | 23% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 47% | 31% | 32% | 47% | 31% | 34% | 43% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 9% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 61% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 83% | 17% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 39% | 52% | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 14% | 47% |
 | Which one of the following issues is likely to most influence your vote heading into the 2022 elections? (issues rotated) |
| 570 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Inflation | 14% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 23% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 15% | 10% | 20% | 10% | 21% | 10% | 21% | 10% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 5% | 17% | 31% | 19% | 10% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 16% |
| The Economy | 22% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 24% | 17% | 24% | 21% | 21% | 23% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 17% | 44% | 22% | 22% | 14% | 14% | 30% | 22% | 14% | 21% | 28% | 33% | 15% | 32% | 17% | 32% | 17% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 16% | 29% | 32% | 32% | 16% | 29% | 19% | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 26% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 20% | 20% | 24% |
| Health Care | 7% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 12% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 0% | 12% | 1% | 11% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 12% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 8% |
| Abortion | 17% | 12% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 16% | 21% | 12% | 10% | 24% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 29% | 52% | 8% | 12% | 36% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 27% | 6% | 27% | 7% | 28% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 27% | 11% | 19% | 7% | 19% | 23% | 13% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 23% | 12% | 16% | 28% | 14% |
| Crime / Public Safety | 14% | 13% | 15% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 5% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 5% | 13% | 19% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 19% | 19% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 24% | 16% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 7% |
| Immigration / Border Security | 8% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 3% | 11% | 11% | 3% | 10% | 16% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 16% | 2% | 18% | 1% | 18% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 3% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 12% |
| Education | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Housing | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| The Environment | 6% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 5% |
| Other | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 61% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 83% | 17% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 39% | 52% | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 14% | 47% |
 | How much impact will the issue of abortion have on your vote for Governor? |
| 570 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Determining Factor | 15% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 24% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 9% | 18% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 32% | 13% | 12% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 11% | 20% | 12% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 45% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 21% | 10% | 17% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 21% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 14% |
| Major Factor | 36% | 35% | 38% | 42% | 36% | 27% | 45% | 39% | 35% | 37% | 38% | 28% | 24% | 47% | 29% | 34% | 31% | 30% | 46% | 61% | 32% | 30% | 51% | 37% | 33% | 23% | 47% | 26% | 49% | 27% | 49% | 12% | 27% | 62% | 47% | 27% | 44% | 73% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 45% | 44% | 34% | 40% | 31% | 39% | 35% | 39% | 36% | 36% | 39% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 33% | 46% | 36% |
| Somewhat Of a Factor | 25% | 22% | 28% | 32% | 22% | 29% | 18% | 27% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 39% | 25% | 23% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 31% | 31% | 6% | 20% | 31% | 23% | 23% | 38% | 25% | 23% | 27% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 31% | 33% | 17% | 8% | 34% | 30% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 27% | 21% | 19% | 28% | 24% | 30% | 21% | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 28% |
| Not a Factor | 21% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 23% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 24% | 26% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 10% | 23% | 25% | 40% | 23% | 1% | 1% | 35% | 23% | 1% | 22% | 14% | 39% | 9% | 36% | 9% | 38% | 10% | 45% | 30% | 5% | 1% | 28% | 19% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 35% | 10% | 23% | 19% | 24% | 20% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 23% | 14% | 23% | 18% | 21% | 25% | 10% | 20% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 61% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 83% | 17% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 39% | 52% | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 14% | 47% |
 | Would you support a candidate who doesn't share your views on abortion? |
| 570 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Ideology Aggregated | Likely Voter | Governor Vote | Atty General Vot | SOS Vote | Top Issue | Abortion Impact On Vote | 2020 Vote | Parent Of Child | Education | Income | Home | Urbanicity | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Certain | Probable | Ronchett | Lujan Gr | Gay | Torrez | Trujillo | Toulouse | Inflatio | The Econ | Health C | Abortion | Crime / | Immigrat | The Envi | Determin | Major Fa | Somewhat | Not a Fa | Trump | Biden | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-Year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Own | Rent | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Bernalil | Dona Ana | Rest of | |
| Definitely Would | 4% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
| Probably Would | 16% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 26% | 18% | 15% | 18% | 11% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 21% | 18% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 23% | 13% | 21% | 13% | 23% | 14% | 17% | 27% | 6% | 8% | 24% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 22% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 15% |
| Probably Would Not | 31% | 34% | 29% | 37% | 22% | 36% | 29% | 29% | 33% | 29% | 32% | 36% | 28% | 29% | 37% | 29% | 32% | 34% | 36% | 15% | 31% | 34% | 29% | 29% | 42% | 26% | 31% | 31% | 29% | 28% | 28% | 26% | 28% | 48% | 11% | 39% | 45% | 30% | 13% | 29% | 56% | 19% | 30% | 30% | 29% | 32% | 34% | 32% | 28% | 36% | 26% | 31% | 31% | 33% | 33% | 29% | 32% | 33% | 20% | 34% |
| Definitely Would Not | 35% | 28% | 41% | 38% | 31% | 36% | 34% | 34% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 34% | 31% | 41% | 26% | 51% | 21% | 25% | 42% | 70% | 32% | 25% | 52% | 38% | 20% | 29% | 42% | 31% | 43% | 33% | 43% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 77% | 20% | 28% | 33% | 74% | 48% | 11% | 13% | 29% | 41% | 35% | 34% | 24% | 34% | 46% | 32% | 36% | 37% | 34% | 35% | 30% | 39% | 34% | 36% | 40% | 32% |
| Not Sure | 14% | 14% | 13% | 4% | 15% | 14% | 18% | 10% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 3% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 5% | 0% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 26% | 12% | 18% | 2% | 13% | 12% | 21% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 28% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 9% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 15% | 12% | 21% | 12% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 27% | 39% | 61% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 34% | 46% | 16% | 12% | 23% | 33% | 18% | 9% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 83% | 17% | 37% | 53% | 33% | 50% | 32% | 47% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 36% | 25% | 21% | 39% | 52% | 28% | 72% | 31% | 36% | 33% | 39% | 33% | 28% | 77% | 23% | 28% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 14% | 47% |