Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10299
Republican Wilson Faces Tough Challenge in NM1: In an election in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District today, 9/21/06, incumbent Republican Heather Wilson edges Democratic challenger Patricia Madrid, 51% to 46%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KOB-TV Albuquerque. 89% of Republicans vote for Wilson. 79% of Democrats vote for Madrid. 18% of Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican Wilson. Wilson leads among Independents by 4 points. Wilson gets 83% of the Conservative vote. Madrid gets 83% of the Liberal vote. Moderates are evenly divided. Whites prefer Wilson by 28 points. Hispanics, who make up 34% of the likely voters in SurveyUSA's turnout model, prefer Madrid by 29 points. Wilson has represented New Mexico's 1st district since June 1998.
Filtering: 900 adults from New Mexico's 1st Congressional District were interviewed 9/18/06 - 9/20/06. Of them, 778 were registered to vote. Of them, 503 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Heather Wilson? Or Democrat Patricia Madrid?
503 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRacePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeBush Job ApprovaGeneration *
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo ColleSome ColCollege Grad Sch< $40K$40K - $> $80KApproveDisapproGen YGen XJonesBoomersMature
Wilson (R)51%52%49%47%52%50%52%63%**34%28%89%18%46%83%49%14%51%59%55%43%48%49%57%87%18%33%53%53%48%52%
Madrid (D)46%45%47%49%45%47%44%35%**63%53%11%79%42%15%48%83%49%39%41%55%52%47%41%11%79%56%47%42%49%44%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%19%37%26%19%59%1%34%6%41%46%12%31%39%19%14%32%21%33%25%40%27%44%52%7%23%31%20%19%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.