Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15683 |
One Month From NYC Democratic Primary, Strong Front-Runners In Mayor, Public Advocate Contests: In a Democratic primary for NYC mayor today, 08/19/2009, 31 days before the vote, Bill Thompson defeats Tony Avella 5:1, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV. Thompson, New York City's incumbent Comptroller, is ahead in all boroughs and among all demographic groups. Avella, a city council member representing District 19 in Queens, does best among the youngest voters, among conservatives, and on his home turf. 37% of likely voters today say they are undecided. |
In the primary for Public Advocate, Mark Green, who held that office from 1994 through 2001, leads three other candidates by 3:1 or more. Green gets 47% today; Bill De Blasio, a Brooklyn member of the city council, gets 15%; Norman Siegel, former director of the New York Civil Liberties Union, gets 12%; Eric Gioia, a city council member from Queens, gets 8%. 17% are undecided. Green leads in all 4 boroughs and among all demographic groups. De Blasio runs strongest in Brooklyn and among seniors, though Green still leads 2:1 in Brooklyn and among seniors. |
Fierce Fight for New York City Comptroller: The race for City Comptroller remains wide-open. Queens council members John Liu and Melinda Katz are tied, Liu 23%, Katz 22%. Among men, Liu leads by 11; among women, Katz leads by 6 -- a 17-point gender gap. Liu leads by 6 among older voters; Katz leads by 5 among younger voters. The two are effectively even among white, black, and Hispanic voters; Liu leads 2:1 among Asian-Americans. David Yassky, a council member representing a Brooklyn district, gets 15% of the vote today; David Weprin, another Queens representative on the City Council, gets 12%. One in four likely voters are undecided. |
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 city of New York adults 08/14/09 through 08/18/09. Of them, 1,914 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 603 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 09/15/09 Democratic primary. |
If the Democratic Primary for Mayor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Tony Avella? or Bill Thompson? |
603 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Ideology | College Grad | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | $50K - $ | $100K + | Manhatta | Brooklyn | Queens | The Bron | Staten I | |
Avella | 11% | 12% | 10% | 20% | 5% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 5% | 14% | 6% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 16% | 13% | ** |
Thompson | 52% | 53% | 52% | 50% | 53% | 55% | 49% | 52% | 52% | 42% | 67% | 45% | 57% | 42% | 56% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 50% | 57% | 53% | 53% | 56% | 49% | 53% | ** |
Undecided | 37% | 35% | 38% | 31% | 42% | 31% | 40% | 39% | 35% | 42% | 28% | 40% | 37% | 40% | 32% | 38% | 37% | 37% | 38% | 33% | 38% | 41% | 36% | 35% | 34% | ** |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 41% | 59% | 13% | 32% | 32% | 23% | 44% | 56% | 33% | 30% | 25% | 11% | 15% | 39% | 34% | 53% | 47% | 42% | 38% | 20% | 22% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 3% |
603 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Ideology | College Grad | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | $50K - $ | $100K + | Manhatta | Brooklyn | Queens | The Bron | Staten I | |
Katz | 22% | 15% | 27% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 14% | 28% | 18% | 22% | 22% | ** |
Liu | 23% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 17% | 25% | 33% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 21% | 23% | 31% | 16% | 26% | 26% | 26% | 20% | 24% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 31% | 26% | ** |
Weprin | 12% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 18% | 9% | ** |
Yassky | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 23% | 11% | 26% | 11% | 4% | ** |
Undecided | 28% | 30% | 26% | 35% | 37% | 21% | 21% | 36% | 21% | 26% | 26% | 32% | 30% | 30% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 29% | 30% | 22% | 33% | 28% | 30% | 17% | 38% | ** |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 41% | 59% | 13% | 32% | 32% | 23% | 44% | 56% | 33% | 30% | 25% | 11% | 15% | 39% | 34% | 53% | 47% | 42% | 38% | 20% | 22% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 3% |
603 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Ideology | College Grad | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | $50K - $ | $100K + | Manhatta | Brooklyn | Queens | The Bron | Staten I | |
De Blasio | 15% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 17% | 24% | 10% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 16% | 8% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 12% | 21% | 12% | 12% | ** |
Gioia | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 10% | ** |
Green | 47% | 45% | 49% | 47% | 48% | 44% | 51% | 48% | 47% | 37% | 54% | 51% | 51% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 43% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 35% | 44% | 41% | 53% | 52% | ** |
Siegel | 12% | 16% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 13% | 21% | 15% | 18% | 8% | 7% | ** |
Undecided | 17% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 26% | 13% | 12% | 24% | 12% | 16% | 14% | 25% | 14% | 20% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 21% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 14% | 15% | 20% | ** |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 41% | 59% | 13% | 32% | 32% | 23% | 44% | 56% | 33% | 30% | 25% | 11% | 15% | 39% | 34% | 53% | 47% | 42% | 38% | 20% | 22% | 32% | 26% | 17% | 3% |