Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #6154
Analysis: In an election for Governor of Virginia held today, 6/30/05, 19 weeks to the vote, Republican Jerry Kilgore defeats Democrat Tim Kaine 49% to 39%, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 494 likely Virginia voters, conducted exclusively for WSLS-TV in Roanoke. Independent Russ Potts gets 5%. Election day is November 8th. Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner is term limited; the Governor?s seat is open. Kilgore gets 89% of the Republican vote. Kaine gets 81% of the Democrat vote. Kilgore leads by 15 points among men and by 5 points among women. Kilgore leads 2:1 among voters under age 35, but the race is close among voters age 50+. Kaine support strongest among most educated voters, pro-choice voters.
Filtering: 1,200 Virginia adults were interviewed 6/28/05 - 6/29/05. Of them, 1,009 were registered voters. Of them, 494 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect "likely" voters.
Voters in Virginia will elect a Governor on November 8th. If the election for Governor of Virginia were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Jerry Kilgore? Democrat Tim Kaine? Independent Russ Potts? Or some other candidate?
494 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRaceParty AffiliationEducationIdeologyChurchAbortionUrban Suburban RuralRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependNot SureGrad SchCollege Some ColNo ColleConservaModerateLiberalNot SureNeverOccasionRegularlPro-lifePro-choiNot SureUrbanSuburbanRuralNortheasSouthwesCentralRest of
Kilgore (R)49%51%47%51%51%47%48%54%19%****89%8%42%**38%53%60%49%82%31%9%**37%47%55%75%30%**44%50%50%44%55%54%49%
Kaine (D)39%36%42%28%35%45%43%35%65%****4%81%38%**51%32%30%41%9%54%81%**49%40%35%18%57%**40%39%38%46%34%38%38%
Potts (I)5%5%4%8%6%2%3%5%3%****4%2%10%**5%6%3%3%3%6%5%**8%2%5%3%5%**5%5%4%3%4%4%6%
Composition of Likely Voters100%53%47%16%30%33%22%84%10%2%4%41%34%25%1%31%29%23%17%41%44%13%2%21%25%54%42%53%5%20%53%27%23%15%9%53%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.