Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #24998
 
In Georgia, 18 Weeks till Primary, Biden Dominates Warren and Sanders; Other Democratic Candidates Far Back:

On the eve of a Democratic candidate debate in Atlanta 11/20/19, former Vice President Joe Biden leads his nearest challenger 2:1 in the state of Georgia, according to brand new SurveyUSA primary-election poll research conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV in Atlanta.

At this hour, as Democrats gather at Tyler Perry Studios, the contest in Georgia stands:

* Joe Biden, 39%.
* Bernie Sanders, 18%.
* Elizabeth Warren, 14%.
* Pete Buttigieg, 7%.
* Kamala Harris, 7%.
* Some other declared Democrat, 6%.

If Michael Bloomberg also appeared on a Georgia Democratic Primary ballot today, the outcome shifts ever-so-slightly:
* Joe Biden, 36% (down 3 points).
* Bernie Sanders, 17% (down 1 point).
* Elizabeth Warren, 14% (unchanged).
* Pete Buttigieg, 7% (unchanged).
* Kamala Harris, 6% (down 1 point).
* Michael Bloomberg, 6%.
* Some other declared Democrat, 5% (down 1 point).

With 10 Democrats scheduled to appear on stage in Atlanta, Joe Biden alone gets 47% of Georgia's substantial African American vote. (With Bloomberg on the ballot, Biden gets 46% of the black vote.) Among voters age 50+, Biden gets 47% of the vote, 4 times as much as his nearest challenger, Warren, and 6 times as much as Sanders. Among the youngest Georgia likely Democratic primary voters, Sanders defeats Biden 2:1.

In Georgia, Biden leads his nearest challenger by 22 points among both Catholics and Protestants, and by 30 points among those who practice another religion. Only among those who identify with no organized religion does Sanders tie Biden, 27% each. Biden leads by 23 points or more in every region of the state. He leads by 16 points in urban Georgia, 19 points in suburban parts of the state, and by 30 points in rural GA. Among suburban men, Biden leads Sanders by 27 points. Among suburban women, Biden leads Sanders by 10 points. Biden leads by 14 points or more among voters of every income level.

 
Trump Neck-and-Neck with Leading Democratic Challengers in Georgia 50 Weeks to Election Day:

Red-State Georgia is very much "in play," 50 weeks till the votes are counted in the general election for President 11/03/20.

At this hour, with impeachment hearings in the US House of Representatives against Donald J. Trump underway, and with new candidates still being added to the already crowded Democratic field, the contest for Georgia's 16 electoral votes, in hypothetical pairings, stands this way:

* Joe Biden edges Trump, 47% to 43%.
* Bernie Sanders edges Trump, 47% to 44%, on the edge of the survey's error margin.
* Elizabeth Warren edges Trump by a statistically insignificant 1 percentage point, 46% to 45%.
* Trump edges Pete Buttigieg, 45% to 41%.
* Trump edges Kamala Harris, 46% to 43%, on the edge of the survey's error margin.
* Trump edges Michael Bloomberg by a statistically insignificant 2 percentage points, 44% to 42%.

Among Georgia's independent voters, Trump leads narrowly in 2 match-ups, trails narrowly or is tied in 4 match-ups. Among self-identified moderates, Trump loses by more than 25 points against any Democrat. Among lower-income voters, Trump loses by 6 to 20 points, depending on which Democrat is nominated. Among upper-income voters, Trump wins by 14 to 20 points.

Protestants and Catholics in GA vote differently. Among Protestants, Trump leads by at least 23 points no matter which Democrat is nominated. Among Catholics, Trump runs effectively even with Biden, Warren, Sanders, and Bloomberg, and leads Harris and Buttigieg by the narrowest margins. Georgians who are members of some other religion, or who are not a member of any organized religion, vote Democratic. Evangelicals back Trump by 2:1 or more regardless of who else is on the general election ballot.

Trump wins 5:3 in rural parts of Georgia; his Democratic opponents win by 2:1 or more in urban parts of the state. In suburban GA, Trump narrowly leads Harris, Buttigieg, and Bloomberg, narrowly trails Biden, and effectively ties Sanders and Warren. Suburban women back Biden by an 8-point margin, Sanders by 6, and Warren by 5. Suburban men prefer Trump by 7 points against Harris and Buttigieg, by 5 points against Bloomberg and Warren. Suburban men split evenly if the Democratic nominee is Biden or Sanders.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,900 state of GA adults 11/15/19 through 11/18/19. Of the adults, 1,538 are registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 1,116 who are likely to vote in the Georgia primary election on on 03/24/19, 536 who are likely to vote a Democratic ballot in the primary, and 1,303 who are likely to vote in a general election for President. All interviews were completed before the Democratic candidate debate in Atlanta on 11/20/19. The research was conducted online.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of Georgia?
1900 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Yes81%81%81%70%78%85%91%74%87%82%82%79%88%88%75%91%85%83%86%88%78%84%78%80%82%90%83%80%69%89%83%75%87%80%94%96%68%79%93%72%86%88%76%84%78%86%83%83%81%79%
No17%17%17%26%19%14%8%22%12%16%15%19%11%11%23%9%14%16%13%12%19%14%20%18%16%10%15%18%26%9%15%23%12%18%5%4%27%20%6%25%12%11%22%14%18%13%15%15%18%18%
Not Sure2%2%2%4%3%1%1%3%1%2%3%2%0%1%2%0%1%1%1%0%4%1%2%2%2%0%2%2%5%1%2%2%1%2%1%0%5%2%1%4%1%1%2%2%3%1%2%2%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%22%26%33%19%48%52%60%29%6%33%35%22%14%23%32%13%6%28%51%20%31%68%33%12%30%25%29%33%32%32%56%35%32%27%37%36%39%37%24%20%52%28%25%27%32%35%32%
 
2Georgia will hold a Primary election for President of the United States next March. Thinking just about the PRIMARY... and NOT thinking ahead to the general election, Are you...? Certain to vote in the primary? Likely to vote in the primary? Or unlikely to vote in the primary?
1538 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Certain73%72%73%56%69%78%82%64%80%72%73%71%78%81%59%84%72%68%77%88%63%77%75%70%73%80%75%69%63%78%74%67%76%74%79%81%60%71%81%66%75%79%70%75%70%75%75%74%72%72%
Likely17%16%17%28%17%15%9%22%13%16%17%19%13%15%22%8%19%19%16%7%21%15%14%19%16%13%16%19%20%14%16%19%16%16%12%15%20%17%14%19%16%15%16%17%17%17%17%18%15%17%
Unlikely5%5%4%7%5%4%3%6%3%5%4%3%4%2%8%2%3%6%3%1%6%3%6%4%5%3%4%3%9%3%3%7%3%5%3%1%6%6%3%5%4%4%5%5%4%5%4%4%6%4%
Not Sure6%6%6%9%9%3%6%9%4%6%6%7%5%3%11%5%6%6%3%4%10%4%6%7%6%4%6%8%8%5%6%6%6%5%5%3%13%7%2%11%5%2%9%4%8%4%5%4%7%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%25%35%21%44%56%61%29%6%36%38%20%16%24%33%14%7%27%53%20%31%69%36%12%30%22%32%34%30%35%55%40%38%23%36%41%35%39%26%18%55%27%26%28%33%35%32%
 
3In the Georgia primary for President, are you certain to request a Democratic ballot? Certain to request a Republican ballot? Or are you not certain which ballot you will request?
1116 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Democratic48%45%51%52%53%48%41%52%45%27%86%63%4%97%33%16%15%63%86%95%60%41%55%53%46%37%49%56%58%43%48%54%35%56%7%91%42%54%46%58%46%40%68%48%33%47%50%58%43%43%
Republican41%45%37%34%35%41%50%35%44%60%6%24%92%1%27%81%77%20%4%2%29%49%31%35%43%55%42%33%23%50%38%34%58%31%84%2%51%35%41%33%41%48%21%41%54%42%39%31%48%43%
Not Certain11%10%12%14%12%12%9%13%10%12%8%13%4%2%41%3%9%17%11%3%12%10%14%12%11%8%10%11%19%7%14%13%6%13%9%8%7%11%13%9%13%12%11%11%13%10%11%11%9%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%47%53%15%24%37%24%39%61%61%30%6%39%42%16%19%24%31%15%8%23%56%20%30%69%40%13%28%19%35%34%28%36%56%44%42%19%35%46%31%40%29%18%56%26%27%29%34%35%31%
 
4If the Democratic primary for President were today, who would you vote for? [Candidate names rotated]
536 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Joe Biden39%44%35%22%31%48%46%28%47%26%47%38%**42%23%30%34%44%38%33%32%39%48%34%42%37%43%47%27%40%39%40%42%39%20%44%41%39%39%45%37%33%39%37%47%43%31%41%36%40%
Elizabeth Warren14%13%15%13%20%10%16%17%12%21%11%6%**15%13%6%4%7%24%25%16%16%8%14%15%15%15%12%16%8%15%17%10%17%2%15%8%11%20%11%15%19%11%15%17%11%18%18%12%10%
Bernie Sanders 18%14%20%44%22%10%5%30%8%14%16%47%**18%13%39%16%17%19%12%26%14%15%23%15%10%21%17%27%20%16%17%20%16%27%16%25%20%12%19%19%12%23%18%8%16%21%15%19%19%
Pete Buttigieg 7%9%5%4%5%9%6%5%8%17%2%0%**5%18%5%5%7%5%11%6%8%3%5%8%8%9%2%11%4%5%11%3%9%8%6%4%7%7%1%8%13%3%9%3%13%6%7%9%4%
Kamala Harris 7%6%8%8%9%7%5%9%6%3%11%2%**8%3%2%21%8%4%6%8%10%1%12%5%10%3%9%5%8%9%4%6%7%4%8%9%6%8%8%6%9%7%8%5%5%10%7%4%12%
Another Democrat6%7%5%3%5%6%8%5%6%9%3%5%**4%21%5%11%6%2%7%5%6%7%6%5%9%7%3%4%7%6%5%9%4%20%2%1%7%6%5%6%6%4%5%9%6%4%4%9%4%
Undecided10%6%13%5%8%11%13%7%12%10%10%2%**9%9%13%9%10%8%5%7%7%17%6%11%11%3%11%10%13%11%5%10%9%19%8%12%10%8%12%8%9%12%8%10%5%11%8%10%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%44%56%16%26%37%21%42%58%35%53%8%3%85%11%6%7%41%26%17%29%48%23%33%67%31%13%33%23%31%34%31%27%66%7%80%16%39%44%38%38%24%25%57%18%27%30%41%31%28%
 
5Michael Bloomberg has not yet declared officially that he will run for President as a Democrat, but he has filed to be on the Presidential primary ballot as a Democrat in certain states. If Michael Bloomberg announced today that he is running for President as a Democrat, which one of these Democrats would you vote for in the Democratic primary? [Candidate names rotated]
536 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Michael Bloomberg6%5%7%13%6%6%1%9%4%5%5%12%**6%6%24%7%5%5%3%7%7%3%8%5%3%9%5%10%7%9%1%8%5%13%6%3%8%5%6%5%8%10%6%2%4%7%5%7%6%
Joe Biden36%42%32%18%28%44%47%24%45%25%46%25%**39%22%28%31%41%36%31%31%35%47%28%41%38%38%42%25%33%41%37%37%36%17%41%40%34%37%41%34%32%38%33%46%41%25%40%33%35%
Elizabeth Warren14%13%14%14%18%9%16%16%11%21%11%6%**14%14%3%8%9%21%20%14%16%8%12%14%11%18%12%17%7%14%18%9%17%0%14%9%10%19%10%13%20%8%16%14%12%19%18%11%11%
Bernie Sanders 17%14%19%33%26%9%4%29%7%14%14%45%**16%14%18%19%17%19%12%21%15%14%25%12%14%15%17%20%23%10%16%22%15%26%15%21%19%13%18%19%12%18%18%10%15%20%14%20%16%
Pete Buttigieg 7%9%5%5%5%9%5%5%8%15%2%3%**5%15%2%5%6%5%13%6%9%2%6%7%7%9%2%11%4%5%11%2%9%6%6%4%6%8%1%9%11%4%9%3%13%5%7%8%6%
Kamala Harris 6%5%7%9%5%7%3%7%5%2%9%4%**7%0%8%11%7%3%6%9%7%2%9%4%8%0%8%4%8%6%4%5%6%5%6%10%5%6%6%8%4%7%6%5%3%9%5%4%9%
Another Democrat5%6%5%4%2%4%12%3%7%7%3%5%**4%18%6%5%4%4%10%4%4%9%4%6%8%7%3%4%7%4%5%6%5%8%3%2%8%3%7%4%3%6%3%10%4%2%2%8%7%
Undecided10%6%12%3%9%12%11%7%12%11%10%0%**9%10%11%13%11%7%5%8%8%16%7%11%10%5%10%11%11%10%7%11%8%24%8%12%10%8%11%8%10%10%10%9%6%13%9%10%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%44%56%16%26%37%21%42%58%35%53%8%3%85%11%6%7%41%26%17%29%48%23%33%67%31%13%33%23%31%34%31%27%66%7%80%16%39%44%38%38%24%25%57%18%27%30%41%31%28%
 
6Thinking ahead now to the November 2020 general election for President. Are you certain to vote in the November 2016 election for President? Likely to vote? Or unlikely to vote?
1538 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 2.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Certain To Vote85%85%85%71%81%89%94%77%91%86%83%77%90%89%76%91%85%84%88%90%77%88%86%84%85%90%85%83%78%87%88%82%89%84%91%91%74%86%90%81%84%90%82%85%85%86%85%84%83%87%
Likely To Vote11%11%10%21%12%7%6%15%7%10%11%18%7%9%17%6%12%11%11%8%16%9%8%11%11%8%10%12%13%10%8%12%8%11%6%7%14%10%9%12%12%7%13%10%10%11%10%11%11%10%
Unlikely To Vote 2%2%3%5%2%2%0%4%1%2%3%2%2%1%3%1%1%3%1%0%3%2%2%3%2%1%2%3%4%2%1%4%1%2%1%0%4%3%1%3%2%2%3%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%
Not Sure 3%2%3%3%5%2%0%4%1%2%3%4%1%1%5%2%2%3%0%2%4%2%3%3%2%1%2%2%5%1%2%3%2%2%2%1%7%1%1%4%2%1%2%3%3%2%3%2%4%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%48%52%19%25%35%21%44%56%61%29%6%36%38%20%16%24%33%14%7%27%53%20%31%69%36%12%30%22%32%34%30%35%55%40%38%23%36%41%35%39%26%18%55%27%26%28%33%35%32%
 
7If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Joe Biden, who would you vote for?
1303 Likely General Election VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Donald Trump 43%48%39%31%36%46%54%34%49%63%5%27%91%2%36%85%76%24%4%6%26%52%39%37%46%57%46%35%26%53%40%38%61%32%91%2%50%41%42%35%44%52%24%43%56%45%41%31%52%46%
Joe Biden 47%42%51%56%50%44%40%53%43%27%84%64%5%92%39%13%17%59%86%91%61%38%54%50%45%34%47%55%59%39%48%53%30%57%4%92%41%49%48%54%47%38%65%47%35%45%49%57%40%44%
Undecided10%10%10%13%14%9%6%13%8%10%11%9%5%6%25%2%7%16%9%3%13%10%7%13%9%9%7%11%14%8%12%10%9%11%5%7%10%10%11%11%10%10%11%10%9%10%11%12%8%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely General Election Voters100%47%53%16%24%36%23%40%60%62%29%6%39%40%18%17%24%33%14%7%24%56%20%31%69%39%12%29%20%33%35%29%37%55%44%41%20%36%44%33%39%28%18%55%27%27%28%33%35%32%
 
8If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for?
1303 Likely General Election VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Donald Trump 45%50%40%36%38%47%56%37%50%66%6%27%93%3%40%85%79%28%3%6%29%54%40%39%48%61%47%36%27%56%42%39%63%34%93%2%50%42%45%36%46%55%25%45%58%48%43%33%54%48%
Elizabeth Warren46%41%50%53%49%45%40%50%43%28%80%64%3%91%41%13%13%60%86%92%60%36%55%48%45%31%47%54%62%35%47%55%29%57%3%91%40%48%47%53%46%37%64%46%34%43%48%56%40%42%
Undecided9%9%9%11%13%8%4%12%7%6%14%9%4%7%19%2%7%12%11%2%11%10%4%13%7%8%6%10%11%9%11%6%9%9%3%7%10%10%8%10%9%8%11%9%8%9%9%11%6%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely General Election Voters100%47%53%16%24%36%23%40%60%62%29%6%39%40%18%17%24%33%14%7%24%56%20%31%69%39%12%29%20%33%35%29%37%55%44%41%20%36%44%33%39%28%18%55%27%27%28%33%35%32%
 
9If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, who would you vote for?
1303 Likely General Election VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Donald Trump 44%49%40%34%37%47%56%35%50%65%5%27%91%2%42%84%78%28%3%5%28%54%38%37%47%61%46%35%25%55%41%38%63%33%91%2%49%42%44%35%45%54%25%44%58%46%42%32%53%47%
Bernie Sanders47%43%50%58%51%44%39%53%42%28%84%64%5%90%42%14%15%59%87%92%63%37%54%51%45%29%48%57%65%38%47%54%30%58%5%90%41%50%47%55%47%37%66%47%34%45%48%58%39%43%
Undecided9%8%10%9%13%9%5%11%8%8%11%9%4%8%16%2%7%14%9%3%9%9%8%12%8%10%6%9%10%7%12%8%8%9%3%9%10%8%9%11%8%8%9%10%8%9%10%10%8%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely General Election Voters100%47%53%16%24%36%23%40%60%62%29%6%39%40%18%17%24%33%14%7%24%56%20%31%69%39%12%29%20%33%35%29%37%55%44%41%20%36%44%33%39%28%18%55%27%27%28%33%35%32%
 
10If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg, who would you vote for?
1303 Likely General Election VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Donald Trump 45%49%41%36%38%47%55%37%50%65%6%27%92%4%37%87%79%25%5%6%28%54%40%39%47%60%45%37%27%55%43%38%63%33%91%3%51%43%43%37%45%54%26%45%57%47%43%33%55%47%
Pete Buttigieg41%37%44%47%45%37%38%46%37%26%69%66%3%79%38%9%12%51%80%89%52%34%47%41%41%31%41%43%58%33%41%46%24%52%3%80%31%43%44%43%43%36%55%41%31%40%42%51%34%37%
Undecided14%14%15%17%17%16%7%17%13%10%24%8%5%17%24%4%9%23%15%4%20%13%13%19%12%10%14%20%15%12%16%16%13%15%6%17%17%14%13%20%13%10%19%14%12%13%15%16%12%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely General Election Voters100%47%53%16%24%36%23%40%60%62%29%6%39%40%18%17%24%33%14%7%24%56%20%31%69%39%12%29%20%33%35%29%37%55%44%41%20%36%44%33%39%28%18%55%27%27%28%33%35%32%
 
11If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, who would you vote for?
1303 Likely General Election VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Donald Trump 46%52%41%37%39%48%56%38%52%66%7%28%93%3%43%87%80%29%4%7%29%55%42%40%49%61%47%38%29%56%43%40%64%35%93%2%51%44%45%38%46%55%28%46%59%48%43%33%55%50%
Kamala Harris43%38%47%50%48%40%37%49%39%24%79%60%3%86%35%10%15%55%80%88%58%34%50%47%41%31%42%49%58%36%45%47%27%53%3%86%35%45%45%49%43%35%57%43%34%41%45%53%36%40%
Undecided11%10%12%13%14%12%6%13%10%9%14%12%4%11%22%3%6%17%16%5%13%11%8%13%10%9%11%13%13%9%12%13%9%12%4%12%13%11%10%13%11%9%15%12%8%11%12%14%9%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely General Election Voters100%47%53%16%24%36%23%40%60%62%29%6%39%40%18%17%24%33%14%7%24%56%20%31%69%39%12%29%20%33%35%29%37%55%44%41%20%36%44%33%39%28%18%55%27%27%28%33%35%32%
 
12If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg, who would you vote for?
1303 Likely General Election VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyMarital StatusChild < 18ReligionAttend Religious ServiceEvangelical2016 VoteEducationIncomeUrbanicitySuburbanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibSingleMarriedNo LongeYesNoProtestaCatholicOtherNo OrganRegularlOccasionAlmost NYesNoTrumpClintonHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralMaleFemaleAtlantaNorthwesSouth &
Donald Trump 44%48%40%35%37%46%54%36%49%64%6%24%91%2%40%84%79%26%4%7%28%53%40%38%47%59%45%36%26%54%41%38%62%33%90%2%50%42%43%36%45%52%24%44%57%46%43%31%54%47%
Michael Bloomberg42%39%45%46%48%39%36%48%38%25%74%66%5%82%36%13%12%53%80%86%53%35%48%47%40%31%43%46%56%35%44%46%27%52%5%83%36%42%45%46%42%38%58%42%31%41%43%54%34%37%
Undecided14%13%15%19%14%14%10%16%13%11%20%10%5%16%24%3%9%22%16%7%19%12%13%15%14%9%13%18%18%11%15%16%11%16%4%16%14%16%12%18%13%10%18%14%12%13%14%15%12%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely General Election Voters100%47%53%16%24%36%23%40%60%62%29%6%39%40%18%17%24%33%14%7%24%56%20%31%69%39%12%29%20%33%35%29%37%55%44%41%20%36%44%33%39%28%18%55%27%27%28%33%35%32%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.