Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #24998 |
In Georgia, 18 Weeks till Primary, Biden Dominates Warren and Sanders; Other Democratic Candidates Far Back:
On the eve of a Democratic candidate debate in Atlanta 11/20/19, former Vice President Joe Biden leads his nearest challenger 2:1 in the state of Georgia, according to brand new SurveyUSA primary-election poll research conducted exclusively for WXIA-TV in Atlanta.
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Trump Neck-and-Neck with Leading Democratic Challengers in Georgia 50 Weeks to Election Day:
Red-State Georgia is very much "in play," 50 weeks till the votes are counted in the general election for President 11/03/20.
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Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,900 state of GA adults 11/15/19 through 11/18/19. Of the adults, 1,538 are registered to vote. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified 1,116 who are likely to vote in the Georgia primary election on on 03/24/19, 536 who are likely to vote a Democratic ballot in the primary, and 1,303 who are likely to vote in a general election for President. All interviews were completed before the Democratic candidate debate in Atlanta on 11/20/19. The research was conducted online. |
1 | Are you registered to vote in the state of Georgia? |
1900 Adults | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Yes | 81% | 81% | 81% | 70% | 78% | 85% | 91% | 74% | 87% | 82% | 82% | 79% | 88% | 88% | 75% | 91% | 85% | 83% | 86% | 88% | 78% | 84% | 78% | 80% | 82% | 90% | 83% | 80% | 69% | 89% | 83% | 75% | 87% | 80% | 94% | 96% | 68% | 79% | 93% | 72% | 86% | 88% | 76% | 84% | 78% | 86% | 83% | 83% | 81% | 79% |
No | 17% | 17% | 17% | 26% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 22% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 11% | 11% | 23% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 19% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 15% | 18% | 26% | 9% | 15% | 23% | 12% | 18% | 5% | 4% | 27% | 20% | 6% | 25% | 12% | 11% | 22% | 14% | 18% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 18% | 18% |
Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Adults | 100% | 48% | 52% | 22% | 26% | 33% | 19% | 48% | 52% | 60% | 29% | 6% | 33% | 35% | 22% | 14% | 23% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 28% | 51% | 20% | 31% | 68% | 33% | 12% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 32% | 32% | 56% | 35% | 32% | 27% | 37% | 36% | 39% | 37% | 24% | 20% | 52% | 28% | 25% | 27% | 32% | 35% | 32% |
2 | Georgia will hold a Primary election for President of the United States next March. Thinking just about the PRIMARY... and NOT thinking ahead to the general election, Are you...? Certain to vote in the primary? Likely to vote in the primary? Or unlikely to vote in the primary? |
1538 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.6 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Certain | 73% | 72% | 73% | 56% | 69% | 78% | 82% | 64% | 80% | 72% | 73% | 71% | 78% | 81% | 59% | 84% | 72% | 68% | 77% | 88% | 63% | 77% | 75% | 70% | 73% | 80% | 75% | 69% | 63% | 78% | 74% | 67% | 76% | 74% | 79% | 81% | 60% | 71% | 81% | 66% | 75% | 79% | 70% | 75% | 70% | 75% | 75% | 74% | 72% | 72% |
Likely | 17% | 16% | 17% | 28% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 22% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 15% | 22% | 8% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 19% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 17% |
Unlikely | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% |
Not Sure | 6% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 7% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 19% | 25% | 35% | 21% | 44% | 56% | 61% | 29% | 6% | 36% | 38% | 20% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 27% | 53% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 36% | 12% | 30% | 22% | 32% | 34% | 30% | 35% | 55% | 40% | 38% | 23% | 36% | 41% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 26% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
3 | In the Georgia primary for President, are you certain to request a Democratic ballot? Certain to request a Republican ballot? Or are you not certain which ballot you will request? |
1116 Likely Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Democratic | 48% | 45% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 48% | 41% | 52% | 45% | 27% | 86% | 63% | 4% | 97% | 33% | 16% | 15% | 63% | 86% | 95% | 60% | 41% | 55% | 53% | 46% | 37% | 49% | 56% | 58% | 43% | 48% | 54% | 35% | 56% | 7% | 91% | 42% | 54% | 46% | 58% | 46% | 40% | 68% | 48% | 33% | 47% | 50% | 58% | 43% | 43% |
Republican | 41% | 45% | 37% | 34% | 35% | 41% | 50% | 35% | 44% | 60% | 6% | 24% | 92% | 1% | 27% | 81% | 77% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 29% | 49% | 31% | 35% | 43% | 55% | 42% | 33% | 23% | 50% | 38% | 34% | 58% | 31% | 84% | 2% | 51% | 35% | 41% | 33% | 41% | 48% | 21% | 41% | 54% | 42% | 39% | 31% | 48% | 43% |
Not Certain | 11% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 41% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 19% | 7% | 14% | 13% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Primary Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 15% | 24% | 37% | 24% | 39% | 61% | 61% | 30% | 6% | 39% | 42% | 16% | 19% | 24% | 31% | 15% | 8% | 23% | 56% | 20% | 30% | 69% | 40% | 13% | 28% | 19% | 35% | 34% | 28% | 36% | 56% | 44% | 42% | 19% | 35% | 46% | 31% | 40% | 29% | 18% | 56% | 26% | 27% | 29% | 34% | 35% | 31% |
4 | If the Democratic primary for President were today, who would you vote for? [Candidate names rotated] |
536 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Joe Biden | 39% | 44% | 35% | 22% | 31% | 48% | 46% | 28% | 47% | 26% | 47% | 38% | ** | 42% | 23% | 30% | 34% | 44% | 38% | 33% | 32% | 39% | 48% | 34% | 42% | 37% | 43% | 47% | 27% | 40% | 39% | 40% | 42% | 39% | 20% | 44% | 41% | 39% | 39% | 45% | 37% | 33% | 39% | 37% | 47% | 43% | 31% | 41% | 36% | 40% |
Elizabeth Warren | 14% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 16% | 17% | 12% | 21% | 11% | 6% | ** | 15% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 2% | 15% | 8% | 11% | 20% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 12% | 10% |
Bernie Sanders | 18% | 14% | 20% | 44% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 30% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 47% | ** | 18% | 13% | 39% | 16% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 26% | 14% | 15% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 21% | 17% | 27% | 20% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 27% | 16% | 25% | 20% | 12% | 19% | 19% | 12% | 23% | 18% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 15% | 19% | 19% |
Pete Buttigieg | 7% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 17% | 2% | 0% | ** | 5% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 3% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 3% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 4% |
Kamala Harris | 7% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 2% | ** | 8% | 3% | 2% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 1% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 12% |
Another Democrat | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 3% | 5% | ** | 4% | 21% | 5% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 4% |
Undecided | 10% | 6% | 13% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 2% | ** | 9% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 19% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 11% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 44% | 56% | 16% | 26% | 37% | 21% | 42% | 58% | 35% | 53% | 8% | 3% | 85% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 41% | 26% | 17% | 29% | 48% | 23% | 33% | 67% | 31% | 13% | 33% | 23% | 31% | 34% | 31% | 27% | 66% | 7% | 80% | 16% | 39% | 44% | 38% | 38% | 24% | 25% | 57% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 41% | 31% | 28% |
5 | Michael Bloomberg has not yet declared officially that he will run for President as a Democrat, but he has filed to be on the Presidential primary ballot as a Democrat in certain states. If Michael Bloomberg announced today that he is running for President as a Democrat, which one of these Democrats would you vote for in the Democratic primary? [Candidate names rotated] |
536 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 5.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Michael Bloomberg | 6% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 12% | ** | 6% | 6% | 24% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 6% |
Joe Biden | 36% | 42% | 32% | 18% | 28% | 44% | 47% | 24% | 45% | 25% | 46% | 25% | ** | 39% | 22% | 28% | 31% | 41% | 36% | 31% | 31% | 35% | 47% | 28% | 41% | 38% | 38% | 42% | 25% | 33% | 41% | 37% | 37% | 36% | 17% | 41% | 40% | 34% | 37% | 41% | 34% | 32% | 38% | 33% | 46% | 41% | 25% | 40% | 33% | 35% |
Elizabeth Warren | 14% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 21% | 11% | 6% | ** | 14% | 14% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 18% | 12% | 17% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 9% | 17% | 0% | 14% | 9% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 19% | 18% | 11% | 11% |
Bernie Sanders | 17% | 14% | 19% | 33% | 26% | 9% | 4% | 29% | 7% | 14% | 14% | 45% | ** | 16% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 25% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 23% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 15% | 26% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 12% | 18% | 18% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 14% | 20% | 16% |
Pete Buttigieg | 7% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 2% | 3% | ** | 5% | 15% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 13% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 6% |
Kamala Harris | 6% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 4% | ** | 7% | 0% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 9% |
Another Democrat | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 5% | ** | 4% | 18% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 7% |
Undecided | 10% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 0% | ** | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 8% | 16% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 24% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 44% | 56% | 16% | 26% | 37% | 21% | 42% | 58% | 35% | 53% | 8% | 3% | 85% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 41% | 26% | 17% | 29% | 48% | 23% | 33% | 67% | 31% | 13% | 33% | 23% | 31% | 34% | 31% | 27% | 66% | 7% | 80% | 16% | 39% | 44% | 38% | 38% | 24% | 25% | 57% | 18% | 27% | 30% | 41% | 31% | 28% |
6 | Thinking ahead now to the November 2020 general election for President. Are you certain to vote in the November 2016 election for President? Likely to vote? Or unlikely to vote? |
1538 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 2.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Certain To Vote | 85% | 85% | 85% | 71% | 81% | 89% | 94% | 77% | 91% | 86% | 83% | 77% | 90% | 89% | 76% | 91% | 85% | 84% | 88% | 90% | 77% | 88% | 86% | 84% | 85% | 90% | 85% | 83% | 78% | 87% | 88% | 82% | 89% | 84% | 91% | 91% | 74% | 86% | 90% | 81% | 84% | 90% | 82% | 85% | 85% | 86% | 85% | 84% | 83% | 87% |
Likely To Vote | 11% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 18% | 7% | 9% | 17% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
Unlikely To Vote | 2% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Not Sure | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 19% | 25% | 35% | 21% | 44% | 56% | 61% | 29% | 6% | 36% | 38% | 20% | 16% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 27% | 53% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 36% | 12% | 30% | 22% | 32% | 34% | 30% | 35% | 55% | 40% | 38% | 23% | 36% | 41% | 35% | 39% | 26% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 26% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
7 | If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Joe Biden, who would you vote for? |
1303 Likely General Election Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump | 43% | 48% | 39% | 31% | 36% | 46% | 54% | 34% | 49% | 63% | 5% | 27% | 91% | 2% | 36% | 85% | 76% | 24% | 4% | 6% | 26% | 52% | 39% | 37% | 46% | 57% | 46% | 35% | 26% | 53% | 40% | 38% | 61% | 32% | 91% | 2% | 50% | 41% | 42% | 35% | 44% | 52% | 24% | 43% | 56% | 45% | 41% | 31% | 52% | 46% |
Joe Biden | 47% | 42% | 51% | 56% | 50% | 44% | 40% | 53% | 43% | 27% | 84% | 64% | 5% | 92% | 39% | 13% | 17% | 59% | 86% | 91% | 61% | 38% | 54% | 50% | 45% | 34% | 47% | 55% | 59% | 39% | 48% | 53% | 30% | 57% | 4% | 92% | 41% | 49% | 48% | 54% | 47% | 38% | 65% | 47% | 35% | 45% | 49% | 57% | 40% | 44% |
Undecided | 10% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 25% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 9% | 3% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely General Election Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 16% | 24% | 36% | 23% | 40% | 60% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 39% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 39% | 12% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 37% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
8 | If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for? |
1303 Likely General Election Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump | 45% | 50% | 40% | 36% | 38% | 47% | 56% | 37% | 50% | 66% | 6% | 27% | 93% | 3% | 40% | 85% | 79% | 28% | 3% | 6% | 29% | 54% | 40% | 39% | 48% | 61% | 47% | 36% | 27% | 56% | 42% | 39% | 63% | 34% | 93% | 2% | 50% | 42% | 45% | 36% | 46% | 55% | 25% | 45% | 58% | 48% | 43% | 33% | 54% | 48% |
Elizabeth Warren | 46% | 41% | 50% | 53% | 49% | 45% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 28% | 80% | 64% | 3% | 91% | 41% | 13% | 13% | 60% | 86% | 92% | 60% | 36% | 55% | 48% | 45% | 31% | 47% | 54% | 62% | 35% | 47% | 55% | 29% | 57% | 3% | 91% | 40% | 48% | 47% | 53% | 46% | 37% | 64% | 46% | 34% | 43% | 48% | 56% | 40% | 42% |
Undecided | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 19% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 2% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely General Election Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 16% | 24% | 36% | 23% | 40% | 60% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 39% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 39% | 12% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 37% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
9 | If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders, who would you vote for? |
1303 Likely General Election Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump | 44% | 49% | 40% | 34% | 37% | 47% | 56% | 35% | 50% | 65% | 5% | 27% | 91% | 2% | 42% | 84% | 78% | 28% | 3% | 5% | 28% | 54% | 38% | 37% | 47% | 61% | 46% | 35% | 25% | 55% | 41% | 38% | 63% | 33% | 91% | 2% | 49% | 42% | 44% | 35% | 45% | 54% | 25% | 44% | 58% | 46% | 42% | 32% | 53% | 47% |
Bernie Sanders | 47% | 43% | 50% | 58% | 51% | 44% | 39% | 53% | 42% | 28% | 84% | 64% | 5% | 90% | 42% | 14% | 15% | 59% | 87% | 92% | 63% | 37% | 54% | 51% | 45% | 29% | 48% | 57% | 65% | 38% | 47% | 54% | 30% | 58% | 5% | 90% | 41% | 50% | 47% | 55% | 47% | 37% | 66% | 47% | 34% | 45% | 48% | 58% | 39% | 43% |
Undecided | 9% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely General Election Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 16% | 24% | 36% | 23% | 40% | 60% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 39% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 39% | 12% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 37% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
10 | If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg, who would you vote for? |
1303 Likely General Election Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump | 45% | 49% | 41% | 36% | 38% | 47% | 55% | 37% | 50% | 65% | 6% | 27% | 92% | 4% | 37% | 87% | 79% | 25% | 5% | 6% | 28% | 54% | 40% | 39% | 47% | 60% | 45% | 37% | 27% | 55% | 43% | 38% | 63% | 33% | 91% | 3% | 51% | 43% | 43% | 37% | 45% | 54% | 26% | 45% | 57% | 47% | 43% | 33% | 55% | 47% |
Pete Buttigieg | 41% | 37% | 44% | 47% | 45% | 37% | 38% | 46% | 37% | 26% | 69% | 66% | 3% | 79% | 38% | 9% | 12% | 51% | 80% | 89% | 52% | 34% | 47% | 41% | 41% | 31% | 41% | 43% | 58% | 33% | 41% | 46% | 24% | 52% | 3% | 80% | 31% | 43% | 44% | 43% | 43% | 36% | 55% | 41% | 31% | 40% | 42% | 51% | 34% | 37% |
Undecided | 14% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 17% | 24% | 4% | 9% | 23% | 15% | 4% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 15% | 6% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 16% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely General Election Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 16% | 24% | 36% | 23% | 40% | 60% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 39% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 39% | 12% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 37% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
11 | If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, who would you vote for? |
1303 Likely General Election Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump | 46% | 52% | 41% | 37% | 39% | 48% | 56% | 38% | 52% | 66% | 7% | 28% | 93% | 3% | 43% | 87% | 80% | 29% | 4% | 7% | 29% | 55% | 42% | 40% | 49% | 61% | 47% | 38% | 29% | 56% | 43% | 40% | 64% | 35% | 93% | 2% | 51% | 44% | 45% | 38% | 46% | 55% | 28% | 46% | 59% | 48% | 43% | 33% | 55% | 50% |
Kamala Harris | 43% | 38% | 47% | 50% | 48% | 40% | 37% | 49% | 39% | 24% | 79% | 60% | 3% | 86% | 35% | 10% | 15% | 55% | 80% | 88% | 58% | 34% | 50% | 47% | 41% | 31% | 42% | 49% | 58% | 36% | 45% | 47% | 27% | 53% | 3% | 86% | 35% | 45% | 45% | 49% | 43% | 35% | 57% | 43% | 34% | 41% | 45% | 53% | 36% | 40% |
Undecided | 11% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 12% | 4% | 11% | 22% | 3% | 6% | 17% | 16% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 9% | 12% | 4% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 9% | 10% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely General Election Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 16% | 24% | 36% | 23% | 40% | 60% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 39% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 39% | 12% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 37% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |
12 | If there were a general election for President today, and the only 2 names on the ballot were Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg, who would you vote for? |
1303 Likely General Election Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Marital Status | Child < 18 | Religion | Attend Religious Service | Evangelical | 2016 Vote | Education | Income | Urbanicity | Suburban | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 3.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Very Con | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Very Lib | Single | Married | No Longe | Yes | No | Protesta | Catholic | Other | No Organ | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Yes | No | Trump | Clinton | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Urban | Suburban | Rural | Male | Female | Atlanta | Northwes | South & | |
Donald Trump | 44% | 48% | 40% | 35% | 37% | 46% | 54% | 36% | 49% | 64% | 6% | 24% | 91% | 2% | 40% | 84% | 79% | 26% | 4% | 7% | 28% | 53% | 40% | 38% | 47% | 59% | 45% | 36% | 26% | 54% | 41% | 38% | 62% | 33% | 90% | 2% | 50% | 42% | 43% | 36% | 45% | 52% | 24% | 44% | 57% | 46% | 43% | 31% | 54% | 47% |
Michael Bloomberg | 42% | 39% | 45% | 46% | 48% | 39% | 36% | 48% | 38% | 25% | 74% | 66% | 5% | 82% | 36% | 13% | 12% | 53% | 80% | 86% | 53% | 35% | 48% | 47% | 40% | 31% | 43% | 46% | 56% | 35% | 44% | 46% | 27% | 52% | 5% | 83% | 36% | 42% | 45% | 46% | 42% | 38% | 58% | 42% | 31% | 41% | 43% | 54% | 34% | 37% |
Undecided | 14% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 16% | 24% | 3% | 9% | 22% | 16% | 7% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 16% | 4% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 16% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely General Election Voters | 100% | 47% | 53% | 16% | 24% | 36% | 23% | 40% | 60% | 62% | 29% | 6% | 39% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 24% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 24% | 56% | 20% | 31% | 69% | 39% | 12% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 35% | 29% | 37% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 20% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 39% | 28% | 18% | 55% | 27% | 27% | 28% | 33% | 35% | 32% |