Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14349
MN Senate: Past the Primaries, Coleman and Franken Tie ... And Dean Barkley Holds The Key To Outcome: In an election for United States Senate today, 09/14/08, 51 days to the election, Republican incumbent Norm Coleman and DFL candidate Al Franken tie, according to this exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis, WDIO-TV in Duluth, KAAL-TV in Rochester, and KSAX-TV in Alexandria. Coleman today takes 41% of the vote; Franken takes 40%; Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley, who represented Minnesota in the United States Senate for two months following the death of Paul Wellstone in 2002, takes 14%.

Among men, Coleman leads by 5; among women, Franken leads by 4 -- a 9-point gender gap.
Among voters age 18 to 49, Franken leads by 1; among voters age 50+, Coleman leads by 2.
Coleman holds 82% of the Republican base; 5% defect to Franken, and 10% defect to Barkley.
Franken holds 76% of the Democratic base; 11% defect to each of the other candidates.
Among those who identify themselves as independents -- today 16% of likely voters -- Coleman takes 35%, Franken takes 34%, and 26% cast their vote for Dean Barkley.

Barkley's support runs fairly even throughout the electorate; he takes 14% of male votes, 14% of female votes. 15% of 18 to 49-year-old voters back Barkley, as do 13% of those 50+. One sign that his support may soften as the race goes on: Barkley runs strongest, taking 28% of the vote, among those voters who say they could still change their mind. But: among voters who say their mind is made up, Coleman and Franken are still tied, 43% each.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Minnesota adults 09/10/08 through 09/11/08. Of them, 836 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 734 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election.
If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Norm Coleman? DFL candidate Al Franken? Or Independence Party candidate Dean Barkley?
734 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your MindTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind MadEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Norm Coleman (R)41%43%38%33%45%42%42%40%42%44%******82%11%35%76%33%6%40%41%48%37%27%64%23%33%43%40%**21%31%87%****58%35%44%40%44%39%45%
Al Franken (DFL)40%38%42%48%36%41%38%41%40%38%******5%76%34%10%46%86%45%36%33%43%60%18%58%31%43%43%**57%46%4%****11%41%40%42%31%41%44%
Dean Barkley (IP)14%14%14%14%16%12%15%15%13%13%******10%11%26%12%17%7%11%18%15%15%11%15%14%28%10%13%**17%19%7%****14%17%13%14%19%14%8%
Composition of Adults100%50%50%23%35%24%18%58%42%92%3%2%3%31%39%16%30%39%16%50%50%56%24%20%42%55%22%77%55%3%11%7%7%3%4%5%34%66%58%14%15%13%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.