Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16452
 
Former Trailblazer, Former Governor Lead Oregon Governor Primary Races: In a Republican primary for Governor of Oregon held today, 04/12/10, five weeks until votes are counted, former Portland Trailblazer Chris Dudley leads a pack of 8 other Republicans, according to this latest exclusive KATU News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Today, Dudley, who leads among every group, gets 28% of the vote.
Businessman Allen Alley gets 13%; Alley draws almost 3 times more support in the Portland area than in the rest of the state.
Political activist and 1998 Republican gubernatorial nominee Bill Sizemore gets 11% and draws almost 3 times more support outside of greater Portland than within.
John Lim, 1998's Republican US Senate nominee, gets 7%.
Bob Forthan, a state employee running for governor for the third time, gets 3%.
Four other candidates combine to take 5% of the vote; 1 in 3 likely Republican primary voters today are undecided.

In a Democratic primary for Governor of Oregon held today, 04/12/10, former governor John Kitzhaber dominates a smaller field of candidates, getting 54% today and leading his nearest competitor by more than 3:1. Bill Bradbury, former Secretary of State, gets 16% today; frequent candidate Roger Obrist gets 3%. 28% today say they are undecided.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,750 Oregon adults 04/10/10 through 04/11/09. Of them, 1,511 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 407 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the Republican primary; 429 were determined to be likely to vote in the Democratic primary. Incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski is term-limited and is not running for re-election.
 
If the Republican Primary for Oregon Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Allen Alley? Clark Colvin? William Ames Curtright? Chris Dudley? Bob Forthan? Darren Karr? John Lim? Bill Sizemore? Or Rex Watkins?
407 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KPortlandRest of
Alley13%15%9%7%18%12%10%14%11%13%******14%10%**14%12%13%12%16%13%13%17%7%12%15%17%6%
Colvin1%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%******0%1%**1%0%0%1%2%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%
Curtright1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%******1%0%**1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%
Dudley28%28%29%33%29%26%26%30%26%29%******26%36%**28%29%30%35%20%28%29%29%32%19%35%28%28%
Forthan3%4%2%11%1%0%2%5%1%1%******4%0%**5%2%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%5%1%
Karr1%2%1%0%0%3%2%0%2%1%******1%1%**2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%3%0%1%1%
Lim7%8%5%2%8%11%5%5%8%6%******8%4%**8%5%7%3%8%6%8%7%6%9%6%7%6%
Sizemore11%13%8%11%12%10%11%11%10%11%******11%8%**7%14%12%8%13%12%12%12%7%14%8%6%17%
Watkins2%1%2%0%4%0%0%3%0%2%******2%0%**3%1%2%0%2%1%3%2%1%0%2%2%0%
Undecided34%28%43%35%27%37%41%30%39%35%******32%39%**31%37%33%39%37%36%33%31%43%40%32%32%38%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%58%42%19%32%26%22%51%49%90%2%4%4%70%23%4%44%56%53%20%27%68%31%64%31%37%63%58%42%
 
If the Democratic Primary for Oregon Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Bill Bradbury? John Kitzhaber? Or Roger Obrist?
429 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsianConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KPortlandRest of
Bradbury16%18%14%6%11%16%23%9%19%17%**3%10%16%16%16%13%19%20%15%14%23%15%19%14%19%14%16%15%
Kitzhaber54%55%53%59%53%54%51%55%53%53%**64%60%38%52%61%55%51%46%48%59%40%56%49%56%52%54%55%52%
Obrist3%5%2%0%2%5%3%1%4%3%**4%0%9%4%1%2%4%3%1%4%7%2%4%2%2%4%2%5%
Undecided28%22%32%36%34%25%23%34%24%27%**30%30%37%28%22%30%25%30%36%23%31%27%27%28%27%28%27%28%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%41%59%11%26%36%27%37%63%86%2%5%6%10%40%45%53%47%28%21%51%20%78%40%58%41%59%68%32%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.