Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #25486
 
Progressives and Moderates Back Different Horses, But Whose Voters Will Turn Out?

2 Weeks Until Votes Are Counted, Incumbent Markey and Challenger Kennedy Neck-And-Neck in MA Democratic Primary Battle for US Senate:

SurveyUSA interviewed 558 likely voters in Massachusetts' upcoming Democratic Primary for US Senate 08/12/20 through 08/16/20 exclusively for Priorities For Progress. Today, 08/17/20, with mail-in voting underway, 5 days before in-person early voting begins, and 15 days until votes are counted, incumbent Ed Markey has a nominal 2-point lead on challenger Joe Kennedy, well within the survey's theoretical credibility interval of +/- 4.2 percentage points.

Markey, first elected to the Senate in a 2013 special election and now seeking his 2nd full term, leads by 5 points among men; among women, the race is tied.

Kennedy, a grandson of Robert F. Kennedy, representing Massachusetts' 4th Congressional District since 2013, leads Markey by 14 points among voters aged 18 to 49; voters 50% back Markey by 10.

Kennedy has a slight lead, 45% to 41%, among registered Democrats; Markey leads by 13 among unenrolled voters who say they are certain to vote in the Democratic primary.

Kennedy leads by 8 points among those voters with a high school education and by 21 among those who have attended some college; Markey leads by 15 among voters with college degrees.

Lower-income voters prefer Kennedy; those with higher incomes back Markey.

Kennedy leads in urban parts of Massachusetts by 11 points, and by 7 in rural areas; Markey leads by 12 in the suburbs.

Markey, endorsed by multiple progressive groups, runs strongly among those who identify as progressives and among those who share affinity with other progressive candidates:

* Among likely primary voters who identify as "very progressive," Markey leads by 22 points.
* Among those identifying as "progressive," Markey leads by 17.
* Kennedy leads by 9 among moderates, and by 12 among the small number of conservative Democratic primary voters.
* 44% of likely Democratic primary voters are moderate in SurveyUSA's analysis of this contest; 44% are progressive.

Among voters who say they prefer a candidate who is uncompromising in their progressive stances (18% of the electorate), Markey leads by 15 points. Among those who prefer a candidate who will work to find common ground to make progress, the race is tied.

Kennedy and Markey tie among those who say they more identify with the Democratic Party of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (72% of likely voters); Markey leads by 17 points among the 17% of voters who more identify with the Democratic Party of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and "The Squad."

Kennedy leads by 3 among the 69% of voters who more identify with the Democratic Party of Obama and Biden; Markey leads by 15 points among the 22% who more identify with the Democratic Party of Bernie Sanders.

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,022 state of Massachusetts adults 08/12/20 through 08/16/20. Of the adults, 925 are registered to vote in the state of Massachusetts. Of the registered, 741 voters are either Democrats or voters, un-enrolled in any party, who say they will request a Democratic ballot this cycle. Of the 741 eligible voters, SurveyUSA determined that 558 are likely to return a ballot before the 09/01/20 deadline. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a landline telephone (49% of likely Democratic primary voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (51% of likely Democratic primary voters) were shown questions on the display of their smartphone, laptop, desktop or other electronic device.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of Massachusetts?
1022 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 1.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Yes91%93%88%79%89%93%98%83%96%93%90%81%76%100%100%94%94%90%95%100%100%95%98%95%100%85%88%94%85%91%94%95%82%89%90%92%94%87%87%97%90%94%89%93%83%93%93%91%
No8%6%10%17%11%6%2%14%4%6%9%15%20%--5%6%8%5%--5%2%4%0%15%10%5%13%9%5%4%16%9%9%8%5%12%12%3%10%3%11%6%14%6%5%9%
Not Sure1%1%2%4%1%1%0%2%0%1%1%4%5%--2%0%1%1%--1%0%1%0%1%2%1%2%0%1%1%2%2%1%1%0%1%2%0%0%3%0%1%4%1%2%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%49%51%25%18%25%33%43%57%78%7%7%9%42%38%11%23%42%19%78%12%13%12%26%4%19%28%53%26%34%39%62%38%29%56%14%27%29%63%37%8%11%24%11%11%11%12%13%
 
2Are you registered to vote as a Republican? A Democrat? As a member of the Libertarian Party or some other party? Or as an unenrolled voter, with no party affiliation?
925 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Republican13%17%8%13%23%17%5%17%10%14%8%14%3%0%0%13%7%8%31%--7%3%8%10%16%11%12%12%11%15%14%11%17%11%16%13%9%19%4%13%13%9%14%7%18%21%12%
Democrat 42%38%47%50%37%32%48%44%41%39%60%49%55%100%0%67%63%38%14%56%50%63%76%57%31%39%37%46%44%42%41%40%46%48%40%35%36%44%39%47%35%38%48%46%59%33%37%39%
Libertarian / Other4%5%3%7%4%6%1%6%3%4%5%8%5%0%0%3%3%5%3%--5%2%4%14%5%6%3%5%4%3%3%6%6%4%2%5%2%6%1%1%7%3%2%5%6%1%6%
Unenrolled / No Affiliation38%38%38%24%31%44%45%27%45%41%24%17%35%0%100%13%25%46%51%44%50%24%18%29%45%33%41%38%33%40%39%41%31%26%43%42%44%42%31%48%46%40%37%37%24%40%38%40%
Not Sure3%2%4%7%4%2%1%6%1%2%3%12%3%0%0%4%2%3%1%--2%1%1%0%7%5%1%7%3%1%2%6%3%3%5%2%3%5%0%4%2%3%1%4%3%4%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%22%18%25%36%39%61%80%7%6%7%42%38%11%24%41%20%78%12%14%13%28%5%18%27%55%25%34%41%65%35%28%56%15%28%28%60%40%8%12%24%11%10%11%12%13%
 
3On September 1, Massachusetts will hold a primary election for Senate, Congress, and for the state legislature. Which best describes you? Are you ... certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote?
741 Democratic And Unenrolled VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Certain To Vote78%77%78%63%75%77%86%68%83%80%79%64%68%83%72%85%79%75%83%100%0%76%89%86%88%76%73%81%75%76%81%83%68%79%77%79%75%79%68%88%72%83%81%75%74%76%82%73%
Will Probably Vote12%13%11%22%12%13%6%18%9%10%12%23%19%11%13%10%12%13%8%0%100%17%7%9%13%12%17%9%11%13%11%9%18%13%12%11%14%11%17%6%19%6%11%13%14%13%9%12%
50/50 Chance6%5%6%8%8%6%4%8%5%6%4%8%7%4%8%4%6%7%4%0%0%5%2%4%0%10%5%5%9%6%3%4%9%5%6%6%6%5%8%3%3%5%4%8%7%7%5%9%
Probably Will Not Vote 4%4%4%5%5%4%3%5%3%4%4%5%7%2%6%1%2%5%6%0%0%3%1%1%0%3%4%4%3%5%4%4%4%3%5%5%5%4%5%3%3%6%3%4%4%4%2%6%
Not Sure0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Democratic And Unenrolled Voters100%48%52%20%15%24%42%35%65%80%7%5%8%53%47%11%26%43%16%78%12%15%15%30%4%16%27%57%24%35%41%67%33%26%58%14%28%30%53%47%8%11%25%11%10%10%11%13%
 
4In the September 1st primary election, will you vote in the Democratic primary or the Republican primary?
297 Unenrolled VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Democratic64%65%63%83%55%65%61%68%63%65%54%63%53%0%64%83%94%73%30%64%61%93%90%94%84%60%59%68%63%64%64%59%78%66%65%57%67%64%64%64%54%62%61%87%61%54%67%69%
Republican32%30%34%11%43%27%37%28%33%31%46%13%37%0%32%8%6%21%65%32%27%7%0%5%11%31%38%28%30%32%32%37%18%29%30%39%29%32%30%33%46%35%32%10%28%43%33%23%
Will Not Vote4%5%3%6%2%8%2%4%5%4%0%25%11%0%4%8%0%5%5%3%11%0%10%2%5%10%2%4%7%4%4%5%4%5%4%4%4%5%7%3%0%3%7%3%11%3%0%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Unenrolled Voters100%52%48%12%14%30%44%26%74%87%4%3%6%0%100%4%16%49%28%85%15%9%7%22%6%14%31%55%20%36%44%73%27%20%63%17%33%30%46%54%9%12%24%10%6%12%12%13%
 
5If you were filling out your ballot in the Democratic primary for United States Senate right now, which Democrat would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Joe Kennedy42%41%42%42%51%43%38%45%40%43%37%42%33%45%36%33%34%47%49%43%32%46%36%45%31%47%51%36%50%39%39%41%41%46%37%48%33%41%43%41%58%26%38%41%52%45%41%46%
Ed Markey44%46%42%31%31%45%53%31%50%45%37%32%50%41%49%55%51%38%37%44%41%39%55%39%55%39%30%51%36%44%48%48%38%35%49%41%52%47%35%52%30%56%50%43%35%43%42%38%
Undecided15%13%16%27%18%12%9%24%10%12%27%26%17%15%14%12%15%15%14%13%27%14%9%16%14%14%18%13%14%17%13%11%21%18%13%11%15%12%22%7%13%18%13%16%13%12%17%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%48%52%21%14%23%42%35%65%80%7%6%8%66%34%13%31%44%9%87%13%18%19%37%5%16%25%59%23%35%42%65%35%28%57%13%27%29%51%49%7%11%26%12%11%9%12%12%
 
6When voting for US Senate and Congress, which is more important to you? A candidate who is uncompromising in their progressive stances, or one who will work to find common ground to make progress?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Stick To Progressive Values18%20%16%38%18%6%14%30%11%15%32%29%26%23%8%53%18%10%8%17%23%27%27%13%10%20%16%18%14%20%19%14%25%29%14%11%14%15%23%13%13%15%20%22%33%18%9%12%
Work To Find Common Ground74%73%75%55%70%87%78%61%81%77%59%65%67%70%83%39%75%84%78%76%61%65%64%80%86%76%73%74%72%75%74%78%65%63%78%79%77%79%69%80%80%79%74%68%60%80%77%78%
Not Sure8%7%9%7%12%7%8%9%7%8%10%6%7%7%9%8%7%5%14%7%17%8%8%6%3%5%11%7%14%5%7%7%9%8%8%10%9%7%8%7%8%7%6%10%7%2%14%10%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%48%52%21%14%23%42%35%65%80%7%6%8%66%34%13%31%44%9%87%13%18%19%37%5%16%25%59%23%35%42%65%35%28%57%13%27%29%51%49%7%11%26%12%11%9%12%12%
 
7Which do you identify more with, the Democratic Party of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, or The Democratic Party of new progressive figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and The Squad?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Barack Obama And Joe Biden72%74%71%53%62%79%82%56%81%75%61%61%69%73%72%40%70%87%67%74%65%53%58%93%90%69%70%74%71%70%75%76%65%65%75%73%80%71%65%80%70%67%72%70%68%76%83%72%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez And The Squad17%13%21%38%22%11%9%32%9%16%27%26%19%18%15%51%21%7%10%17%20%39%32%2%7%17%16%18%16%20%16%14%23%24%15%17%9%21%24%10%13%21%17%23%23%12%11%15%
Not Sure10%12%9%9%16%10%9%12%10%10%12%13%12%9%14%9%10%7%22%10%15%8%10%4%3%14%14%8%13%10%9%10%12%11%10%10%11%9%11%10%18%11%10%7%8%12%6%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%48%52%21%14%23%42%35%65%80%7%6%8%66%34%13%31%44%9%87%13%18%19%37%5%16%25%59%23%35%42%65%35%28%57%13%27%29%51%49%7%11%26%12%11%9%12%12%
 
8Which do you identify more with, the Democratic Party of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, or the Democratic Party of Bernie Sanders?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Barack Obama And Joe Biden69%69%70%45%69%76%78%54%77%71%68%52%62%70%69%37%62%87%59%71%58%33%65%91%86%74%61%72%68%67%72%73%62%61%74%68%75%72%62%77%73%62%72%72%58%69%77%68%
Bernie Sanders22%21%23%48%22%15%13%38%13%21%24%35%24%23%20%55%31%9%10%21%28%64%27%4%10%22%26%20%20%26%20%19%29%30%18%28%16%20%29%15%20%30%15%22%32%22%18%26%
Not Sure9%10%7%7%9%9%9%8%9%8%7%13%14%7%11%8%7%4%31%8%14%3%7%4%3%5%13%8%12%7%7%8%9%9%9%4%9%9%8%9%8%8%13%6%10%10%5%6%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%48%52%21%14%23%42%35%65%80%7%6%8%66%34%13%31%44%9%87%13%18%19%37%5%16%25%59%23%35%42%65%35%28%57%13%27%29%51%49%7%11%26%12%11%9%12%12%
 
9Due to the spread of the Coronavirus, the state is allowing all voters to vote absentee by mail, and also will open early voting locations from August 22 to August 28. How do you plan to vote in the upcoming primary election? On election day, in person? In person, early? Or by mail?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
In Person On Election Day30%35%26%33%36%34%26%34%28%29%46%29%36%30%32%24%29%29%53%30%34%33%22%28%34%33%39%26%30%29%32%29%33%38%27%31%29%24%31%30%28%31%32%23%38%37%30%24%
In Person, Early13%12%13%8%10%17%14%9%15%12%15%19%14%13%13%21%11%12%10%12%18%13%17%13%7%11%11%14%14%13%13%14%11%15%13%11%11%15%13%13%20%7%13%13%12%20%8%16%
By Mail52%50%55%56%44%43%58%51%53%55%37%52%45%53%51%51%57%53%37%54%39%46%58%56%52%53%45%55%53%51%52%52%52%43%55%55%55%55%52%53%45%59%52%57%42%41%58%59%
Not Sure4%3%6%3%9%6%2%6%4%5%2%0%5%4%5%4%3%7%0%4%8%7%3%3%7%2%5%5%2%7%3%5%4%4%5%3%5%5%5%4%8%3%3%7%8%2%5%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%48%52%21%14%23%42%35%65%80%7%6%8%66%34%13%31%44%9%87%13%18%19%37%5%16%25%59%23%35%42%65%35%28%57%13%27%29%51%49%7%11%26%12%11%9%12%12%
 
10Have you already returned your application to vote by mail?
292 Who Plan To Vote By MailAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyLikelyPresidential Primary VoteEducationIncomeHomeUrbanicitySuburbanCell Phone / LanRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / DemocratUnenrollVery ProProgressModerateConservaCertainProbableSandersWarrenBidenBloomberHigh SchSome Col4-Year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KOwnRentUrbanSuburbanRuralMenWomenCell PhoLandlineBristolEssexMiddleseNorfolkSuffolkWorceste4: Barns4: Berks
Yes65%67%64%38%59%78%74%45%76%66%73%56%58%66%64%74%55%71%67%70%14%63%66%71%67%74%51%68%62%65%66%72%51%68%64%59%65%64%56%74%67%64%71%62%60%67%68%58%
No33%31%35%59%38%22%24%52%23%32%27%44%42%33%33%26%42%28%28%28%82%35%32%28%27%22%49%31%36%33%33%27%46%32%34%36%34%34%44%23%28%33%28%38%40%33%32%38%
Not Sure2%2%1%3%3%0%1%3%1%2%0%0%0%1%3%0%3%1%6%2%4%2%2%1%7%4%0%2%1%2%2%1%3%0%2%5%1%2%1%3%6%3%1%0%0%0%0%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Who Plan To Vote By Mail100%46%54%23%12%19%47%34%66%83%5%5%7%67%33%13%34%44%6%90%10%16%21%39%5%16%22%63%24%34%42%65%35%24%61%14%28%31%50%50%6%12%26%13%9%7%13%14%
 
 All Questions Crosstabbed By All Questions
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of Massachusetts?
1022 AdultsAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 1.8 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Yes91%---100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
No8%-----------------------------------
Not Sure1%-----------------------------------
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%13%42%4%38%3%78%12%6%4%0%64%32%4%42%44%15%18%74%8%72%17%10%69%22%9%30%13%52%4%65%33%2%
 
2Are you registered to vote as a Republican? A Democrat? As a member of the Libertarian Party or some other party? Or as an unenrolled voter, with no party affiliation?
925 Registered VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 3.3 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Republican13%13%0%0%--------------------------------
Democrat 42%42%0%0%-----56%50%35%30%0%---70%61%67%85%62%61%66%71%55%66%69%56%64%67%67%63%68%67%40%
Libertarian / Other4%4%0%0%--------------------------------
Unenrolled / No Affiliation38%38%0%0%-----44%50%65%70%100%100%100%100%30%39%33%15%38%39%34%29%45%34%31%44%36%33%33%38%32%33%60%
Not Sure3%3%0%0%--------------------------------
Total100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%100%0%0%78%12%6%4%0%64%32%4%42%44%15%18%74%8%72%17%10%69%22%9%30%13%52%4%65%33%2%
 
3On September 1, Massachusetts will hold a primary election for Senate, Congress, and for the state legislature. Which best describes you? Are you ... certain to vote? Will you probably vote? Are the chances you will vote about 50/50? Or will you probably not vote?
741 Democratic And Unenrolled VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 3.1 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Certain To Vote78%78%0%0%0%83%0%72%0%-----86%87%62%90%88%77%84%90%73%89%85%81%89%84%79%86%82%90%75%98%76%80%
Will Probably Vote12%12%0%0%0%11%0%13%0%-----14%13%38%10%12%23%16%10%27%11%15%19%11%16%21%14%18%10%25%2%24%20%
50/50 Chance6%6%0%0%0%4%0%8%0%---------------------------
Probably Will Not Vote 4%4%0%0%0%2%0%6%0%---------------------------
Not Sure0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%---------------------------
Total100%100%0%0%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Democratic And Unenrolled Voters100%100%0%0%0%53%0%47%0%64%32%4%42%44%15%18%74%8%72%17%10%69%22%9%30%13%52%4%65%33%2%
 
4In the September 1st primary election, will you vote in the Democratic primary or the Republican primary?
297 Unenrolled VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Democratic64%64%0%0%0%0%0%64%0%64%61%0%0%0%---100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Republican32%32%0%0%0%0%0%32%0%32%27%0%0%0%----------------------
Will Not Vote4%4%0%0%0%0%0%4%0%3%11%0%0%0%----------------------
Total100%100%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Unenrolled Voters100%100%0%0%0%0%0%100%0%85%15%0%0%0%36%49%14%8%83%9%72%15%14%69%20%11%32%13%51%5%64%33%3%
 
5If you were filling out your ballot in the Democratic primary for United States Senate right now, which Democrat would you vote for? (candidate names rotated)
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Joe Kennedy42%42%0%0%0%45%0%36%0%43%32%0%0%0%36%0%0%---35%44%39%44%34%38%45%36%31%45%39%41%38%43%35%60%
Ed Markey44%44%0%0%0%41%0%49%0%44%41%0%0%0%49%0%0%---50%44%30%44%51%29%42%51%35%39%51%45%38%48%40%40%
Undecided15%15%0%0%0%15%0%14%0%13%27%0%0%0%14%0%0%---15%13%32%12%15%33%13%13%33%16%10%14%25%9%25%0%
Total100%100%0%0%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%100%0%0%0%66%0%34%0%87%13%0%0%0%100%0%0%18%74%8%72%17%10%69%22%9%30%13%52%4%65%33%2%
 
6When voting for US Senate and Congress, which is more important to you? A candidate who is uncompromising in their progressive stances, or one who will work to find common ground to make progress?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Stick To Progressive Values18%18%0%0%0%23%0%8%0%17%23%0%0%0%8%0%0%15%20%19%---14%38%12%14%32%15%20%21%16%13%15%19%40%
Work To Find Common Ground74%74%0%0%0%70%0%83%0%76%61%0%0%0%83%0%0%78%74%64%---79%57%66%80%59%65%74%71%75%75%78%71%40%
Not Sure8%8%0%0%0%7%0%9%0%7%17%0%0%0%9%0%0%7%5%17%---6%5%22%6%9%21%6%8%8%13%7%10%20%
Total100%100%0%0%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%100%0%0%0%66%0%34%0%87%13%0%0%0%100%0%0%42%44%15%72%17%10%69%22%9%30%13%52%4%65%33%2%
 
7Which do you identify more with, the Democratic Party of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, or The Democratic Party of new progressive figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and The Squad?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Barack Obama And Joe Biden72%72%0%0%0%73%0%72%0%74%65%0%0%0%72%0%0%76%73%59%57%78%59%---92%30%21%76%67%73%63%76%67%40%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez And The Squad17%17%0%0%0%18%0%15%0%17%20%0%0%0%15%0%0%14%20%17%36%13%11%---5%59%8%15%25%16%21%13%23%40%
Not Sure10%10%0%0%0%9%0%14%0%10%15%0%0%0%14%0%0%9%7%23%7%9%30%---3%11%71%9%8%11%17%11%10%20%
Total100%100%0%0%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%100%0%0%0%66%0%34%0%87%13%0%0%0%100%0%0%42%44%15%18%74%8%69%22%9%30%13%52%4%65%33%2%
 
8Which do you identify more with, the Democratic Party of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, or the Democratic Party of Bernie Sanders?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Barack Obama And Joe Biden69%69%0%0%0%70%0%69%0%71%58%0%0%0%69%0%0%75%67%60%54%75%52%88%21%17%---70%67%70%63%74%65%20%
Bernie Sanders22%22%0%0%0%23%0%20%0%21%28%0%0%0%20%0%0%19%26%20%39%18%25%9%75%24%---20%24%22%29%17%29%80%
Not Sure9%9%0%0%0%7%0%11%0%8%14%0%0%0%11%0%0%6%7%20%7%7%23%2%4%59%---10%10%8%8%8%6%0%
Total100%100%0%0%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%100%0%0%0%66%0%34%0%87%13%0%0%0%100%0%0%42%44%15%18%74%8%72%17%10%30%13%52%4%65%33%2%
 
9Due to the spread of the Coronavirus, the state is allowing all voters to vote absentee by mail, and also will open early voting locations from August 22 to August 28. How do you plan to vote in the upcoming primary election? On election day, in person? In person, early? Or by mail?
558 Likely Democratic VotersAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
In Person On Election Day30%30%0%0%0%30%0%32%0%30%34%0%0%0%32%0%0%33%27%33%34%30%25%32%26%28%31%28%35%-------
In Person, Early13%13%0%0%0%13%0%13%0%12%18%0%0%0%13%0%0%12%15%9%15%12%14%12%19%10%12%14%15%-------
By Mail52%52%0%0%0%53%0%51%0%54%39%0%0%0%51%0%0%51%54%51%48%53%55%52%50%55%53%53%46%----100%100%100%
Not Sure4%4%0%0%0%4%0%5%0%4%8%0%0%0%5%0%0%4%4%7%3%4%7%4%5%7%4%6%4%-------
Total100%100%0%0%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Democratic Voters100%100%0%0%0%66%0%34%0%87%13%0%0%0%100%0%0%42%44%15%18%74%8%72%17%10%69%22%9%65%33%2%
 
10Have you already returned your application to vote by mail?
292 Who Plan To Vote By MailAllRegistered MARegistered AsPrimaryWhich PrimarySenate VoteMore ImportantObama Vs SquadObama Vs SandersPlan To VoteMail Vote
Credibility Interval: ± 5.6 pct pointsYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratLibertarUnenrollNot SureCertain Will Pro50/50 ChProbablyNot SureDemocratRepublicWill NotJoe KennEd MarkeUndecideStick ToWork To Not SureBarack OAlexandrNot SureBarack OBernie SNot SureIn PersoIn PersoBy MailNot SureYesNoNot Sure
Yes65%65%0%0%0%66%0%64%0%70%14%0%0%0%64%0%0%69%69%41%58%68%54%68%50%66%69%51%73%0%0%65%0%---
No33%33%0%0%0%33%0%33%0%28%82%0%0%0%33%0%0%29%30%59%38%31%42%31%46%31%31%43%27%0%0%33%0%---
Not Sure2%2%0%0%0%1%0%3%0%2%4%0%0%0%3%0%0%3%2%0%4%1%4%1%4%3%0%6%0%0%0%2%0%---
Total100%100%0%0%0%100%0%100%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%0%
Composition of Who Plan To Vote By Mail100%100%0%0%0%67%0%33%0%90%10%0%0%0%100%0%0%41%45%14%16%75%8%73%16%11%70%22%8%0%0%100%0%