Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15880
Independent Daggett Complicates GOP Effort to Take NJ Statehouse Away from Democrat Corzine: In an election for New Jersey governor today, 10/08/09, 26 days until votes are counted, Democratic incumbent Jon Corzine is toe-to-toe with Republican challenger Chris Christie, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV in New York City. Within the margin of sampling error, it's Christie 43%, Corzine 40%. 1 in 7 voters reject both the Democrat and the Republican.

Who is independent Daggett hurting more? Of those who voted for Corzine in 2005, 67% stick with Corzine in 2009. 17% of 2005 Corzine voters crossover to Republican Christie in 2009; 13% vote Daggett. Of those who voted for Corzine's 2005 Republican opponent, Doug Forrester, 82% vote for Republican Christie in 2009; 4% defect to Corzine; 14% vote Daggett.

Among men, Christie leads by 13. Among women, Corzine leads by 9. A 22-point gender gap. Among whites, Christie leads 3:2. Among blacks, Corzine leads 6:1. Christie, who became the Republican nominee after defeating a more conservative Republican, Steve Lonegan, in the primary, leads 4:1 among Conservatives. Corzine leads 4:1 among liberals. Moderates split. Corzine carries Northern Jersey. Christie carries Central Jersey and South Jersey.

40% of voters say property taxes are the most important issue; Christie carries this group 2:1. Among the 21% who say the economy is tops, Corzine, former chairman of Goldman Sachs, wins 5:3. Christie runs strongly among the 9% who say corruption is the top issue.

Christie leads among Jets fans, Giants fans and Eagles fans. Corzine leads among Springsteen fans, even though Christie has been to 120 Springsteen concerts.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 New Jersey adults 10/05/09 through 10/07/09. Of them, 889 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 639 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/3 general election.
If the election for governor were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Chris Christie? Democrat Jon Corzine? Or Independent Chris Daggett?
639 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyBiggest IssueCollege GradIncomeEnthusiastic2008 Vote2005 VoteNFL TeamSpringsteen Fan?Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalPropertyJobsEconomyHealth CCorruptiYesNo< $50K$50K - $$100K +No ReserReservatObamaMcCainCorzineForresteGiantsJetsEaglesYesNoNorthernCentral Southern
Christie (R)43%48%37%44%46%42%39%45%41%50%13%32%30%72%18%44%67%38%16%58%29%35%21%53%45%40%34%42%47%47%40%17%75%17%82%43%44%51%37%49%37%48%46%
Corzine (D)40%35%46%40%36%41%45%37%43%32%80%48%48%12%68%32%18%44%71%25%63%53%61%17%38%44%49%39%38%43%42%67%10%67%4%37%38%36%49%33%46%36%37%
Daggett (I)14%16%13%15%15%14%14%15%14%15%6%19%18%15%12%19%13%16%12%16%7%9%16%28%15%13%14%16%13%9%18%13%13%13%14%17%13%13%12%17%15%13%15%
Composition of Likely Voters100%51%49%20%30%27%23%51%49%73%12%9%6%38%42%18%31%46%18%40%12%21%10%9%57%43%23%38%39%42%54%53%42%53%28%39%9%15%48%49%41%32%27%