Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14548
Iowa, Purple in '00 and '04, is Solidly Blue in '08: In an election for President of the United States held in Iowa today, 10/10/08, 25 days until Election Day, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 54% to 41%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KAAL-TV Mason City and WHO-TV Des Moines. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released three weeks ago, McCain is down two points; Obama is flat.

Among men, Obama today leads by 9 points. Three weeks ago -- before three debates and the $700 billion economic rescue package, and immediately after Lehman Brothers, AIG, and Fannie Mae -- the race was tied among men. Among women, Obama had led by 20, now leads by 17.
6% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; 12% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama. Independents favor Obama by 6 points.

Among the 14% of Iowa voters who say they have already cast their ballot, Obama leads by a 2:1 margin. Among likely voters, Obama leads 5:4.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Iowa adults 10/08/08 and 10/09/08. Interviews were conducted at a time of extraordinary financial turbulence: The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined for the sixth and seventh consecutive days during the field period. Of the adults, 827 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 692 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely voters in the 11/04/08 general election. Iowa has 7 Electoral College votes. George Bush carried Iowa by two-thirds of a point in 2004; Al Gore carried Iowa by one-third of a point in 2000.
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
692 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAlready Voted?College GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionTop Issue For Next PresidentIncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalActual VLikely VYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasSouthwesNorthwes
McCain (R)41%42%39%33%49%38%38%43%38%42%37%41%41%******85%6%42%80%30%4%31%42%45%37%49%31%30%62%23%39%**20%30%83%******35%46%37%42%42%45%
Obama (D)54%51%56%59%46%56%57%51%57%52%57%55%54%******12%90%48%14%64%95%65%52%50%57%46%66%63%33%72%57%**79%60%15%******61%49%58%53%51%48%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%20%31%26%23%51%49%45%13%42%95%2%2%1%32%42%26%30%38%15%14%86%45%55%56%25%19%45%53%66%2%7%6%7%4%2%4%41%59%40%20%22%18%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.