| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #22798 |
|
In City of Portland, Oregon: Ted Wheeler Is Overwhelming Favorite to Win Mayoral Primary; But Will He Avoid an 11/08/16 Runoff?
4 weeks till voting begins in the open contest for Mayor of Portland, Oregon State Treasurer Ted Wheeler is an overwhelming favorite to win the city's 05/17/16 mail-in non-partisan primary, according to newly completed SurveyUSA research conducted exclusively for KATU-TV. But there is drama as to whether Wheeler will get more than 50% of the votes cast, which is what he would need to avoid a runoff election with the 2nd-place finisher. Incumbent Charlie Hales is not seeking re-election. Here are the 15 candidates for Portland Mayor, in order of finish (this is not the order the names were read to respondents): * Ted Wheeler = 38%. * Jules Bailey = 8%. * David Ackerman = 4% * Patty Burkett = 4%. * Bruce Broussard = 3%. * Deborah Harris = 2% * Sean Davis = 2%. * Sarah Iannarone = 2%. * Lew Humble = 2%. * Eric Alexander Calhoun = 1%. * Bim Ditson = 1%. * David Schor = 1%. * Steven J Entwisle Sr = 0% * Trevor Manning = 0%. * Jessie Sponberg = 0%. * Undecided = 31%. Wheeler dominates among Republicans, Democrats and Independents, among conservatives, moderates and liberals, among men and women. Wheeler runs away with the contest among city of Portland Hillary Clinton supporters, Bernie Sanders supporters, Donald Trump supporters, Ted Cruz supporters and John Kasich supporters. Wheeler leads overwhelmingly among voters who say the most important issue in the campaign is affordable housing, among those who say the most important issue is homelessness, among those who say the most important issue is taxes, and among those who say the most important issue is traffic. If Wheeler receives more than 50% of the vote in the Primary, he wins. Even with 14 other candidates on the ballot, this is possible given that 31% of the likely voters interviewed by SurveyUSA are undecided at this hour. If undecided voters break proportionately across all candidates, Wheeler will approach the cutoff. If undecided voters break for other candidates and not for Wheeler, he will fall short. The fierce battle in Portland will be for 2nd place, in the event of a runoff. Also on the primary ballot is Measure #26-173, the Temporary Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax for Street Repair, which would create a 4-year 10-cent a gallon fuel tax. At this hour, voters are divided: approximately 1/3 support the measure, 1/3 oppose the measure and 1/3 are not sure how they will vote on the measure. Support is strongest among the youngest voters and among the most liberal voters. Opposition to ballot measures typically increases as Election Day approaches (having nothing to do with Oregon, the city of Portland or with this specific measure). Every vote will be needed for Measure #26-173 to pass. About SurveyUSA interviewed 700 city of Portland adults 03/28/16 through 04/01/16. Of the adults 630 were registered to vote. Of the registered, SurveyUSA identified 576 who were likely to vote in the Mayoral primary. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their tablet, smartphone, or other electronic device. |
| 1 | There are 15 candidates on the ballot for mayor. Please let us read you the list of candidates, in alphabetical order, and then you can tell us which one candidate you will vote for. If you were filling out your ballot for Portland Mayor today, who would you vote for? David "The Ack" Ackerman? Jules Bailey? Bruce Broussard? Patty Burkett? Eric Alexander Calhoun? Sean Davis? Bim Ditson? Steven J. Entwisle Sr.? Deborah Harris? Lew Humble? Sarah Iannarone? Trevor Manning? David Schor? Jessie Sponberg? Or Ted Wheeler? |
| 576 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Support | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Affordab | Climate | Earthqua | Homeless | Traffic | Taxes | Crime | Economy | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Clinton | Sanders | Trump | Cruz | Kasich | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Ackerman | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Bailey | 8% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 0% | 5% | 14% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 7% | 17% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 9% |
| Broussard | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 15% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 25% | 6% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 20% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 6% | 8% | 18% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% |
| Burkett | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 14% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 5% |
| Calhoun | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Davis | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Ditson | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Entwisle | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Harris | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Humble | 2% | 3% | 1% | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| Iannarone | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 10% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
| Manning | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Schor | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
| Sponberg | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Wheeler | 38% | 42% | 34% | 29% | 35% | 39% | 47% | 33% | 42% | 38% | 59% | 16% | 35% | 38% | 48% | 46% | 43% | 38% | 38% | 25% | 36% | 40% | 19% | 42% | 28% | 50% | 40% | 39% | 22% | 47% | 44% | 33% | 48% | 35% | 24% | 27% | 41% | 20% | 35% | 42% | 30% | 35% | 48% | 32% | 39% |
| Undecided | 31% | 23% | 38% | 37% | 30% | 33% | 23% | 33% | 30% | 32% | 18% | 40% | 27% | 40% | 35% | 17% | 33% | 22% | 43% | 39% | 12% | 38% | 44% | 27% | 34% | 24% | 33% | 19% | 44% | 24% | 30% | 34% | 20% | 36% | 27% | 46% | 22% | 16% | 38% | 30% | 38% | 32% | 24% | 43% | 28% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 26% | 36% | 21% | 43% | 57% | 81% | 5% | 9% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 24% | 27% | 37% | 36% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 34% | 56% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 18% | 82% |
| 2 | On Measure #26-173, the Temporary Motor Vehicle Fuel Tax for Street Repair, which would create a four year, 10 cents per gallon fuel tax dedicated to street repair and safety, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain? |
| 576 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Support | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Affordab | Climate | Earthqua | Homeless | Traffic | Taxes | Crime | Economy | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Clinton | Sanders | Trump | Cruz | Kasich | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Yes | 38% | 37% | 38% | 54% | 36% | 32% | 36% | 43% | 33% | 37% | 23% | 45% | 46% | 51% | 49% | 37% | 16% | 24% | 42% | 26% | 8% | 32% | 33% | 17% | 35% | 46% | 51% | 15% | 26% | 24% | 46% | 53% | 49% | 42% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 40% | 28% | 42% | 34% | 43% | 35% | 50% | 35% |
| No | 34% | 36% | 32% | 21% | 35% | 40% | 32% | 29% | 37% | 33% | 55% | 27% | 26% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 54% | 55% | 39% | 49% | 80% | 48% | 52% | 48% | 27% | 26% | 16% | 75% | 56% | 42% | 22% | 16% | 18% | 28% | 66% | 75% | 63% | 38% | 48% | 25% | 39% | 30% | 34% | 24% | 36% |
| Not Certain | 29% | 27% | 30% | 25% | 29% | 28% | 32% | 27% | 29% | 30% | 23% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 26% | 37% | 30% | 21% | 20% | 25% | 12% | 20% | 15% | 35% | 38% | 28% | 34% | 10% | 18% | 35% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 30% | 22% | 7% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 33% | 26% | 27% | 31% | 25% | 29% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 26% | 36% | 21% | 43% | 57% | 81% | 5% | 9% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 24% | 27% | 37% | 36% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 34% | 56% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 18% | 82% |
| 3 | Which one of these issues will be most important in your vote for mayor? Affordable housing? Climate change? Earthquake preparedness? Homelessness? Parking? Traffic? Taxes? Crime? The economy? Or something else? |
| 576 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Support | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Affordab | Climate | Earthqua | Homeless | Traffic | Taxes | Crime | Economy | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Clinton | Sanders | Trump | Cruz | Kasich | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Affordable Housing | 29% | 25% | 33% | 31% | 27% | 32% | 24% | 29% | 29% | 28% | 20% | 28% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 22% | 37% | 27% | 44% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 23% | 39% | 31% | 33% | 26% | 29% | 11% | 35% | 28% | 29% | 39% | 33% | 16% | 35% | 28% |
| Climate Change | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Earthquake Preparedness | 6% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 5% |
| Homelessness | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 8% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 16% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 21% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 13% | 12% | 23% | 13% | 17% |
| Parking | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Traffic | 8% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 23% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 22% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 9% |
| Taxes | 12% | 15% | 10% | 21% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 27% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 32% | 31% | 27% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 13% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 2% | 28% | 18% | 29% | 23% | 18% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 11% |
| Crime | 6% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 12% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Economy | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 8% | 5% |
| Something Else | 11% | 11% | 10% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 24% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 2% | 11% | 4% | 20% | 9% | 12% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 12% | 2% | 13% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 26% | 36% | 21% | 43% | 57% | 81% | 5% | 9% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 24% | 27% | 37% | 36% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 34% | 56% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 18% | 82% |
| 4 | If a debate for Portland Mayor were held on TV, would you want to see all 15 candidates included? Or fewer than all 15? |
| 576 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Support | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Affordab | Climate | Earthqua | Homeless | Traffic | Taxes | Crime | Economy | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Clinton | Sanders | Trump | Cruz | Kasich | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| All 15 | 42% | 38% | 46% | 31% | 45% | 49% | 36% | 39% | 44% | 40% | 33% | 73% | 46% | 56% | 35% | 34% | 38% | 45% | 48% | 45% | 46% | 46% | 61% | 48% | 50% | 31% | 34% | 57% | 47% | 36% | 37% | 44% | 32% | 44% | 61% | 70% | 24% | 64% | 48% | 35% | 53% | 46% | 28% | 32% | 44% |
| Fewer | 51% | 55% | 47% | 56% | 52% | 46% | 54% | 54% | 49% | 53% | 57% | 23% | 43% | 37% | 62% | 60% | 60% | 52% | 50% | 46% | 52% | 47% | 37% | 44% | 42% | 63% | 57% | 40% | 46% | 54% | 53% | 55% | 59% | 50% | 38% | 24% | 70% | 29% | 40% | 61% | 36% | 49% | 69% | 52% | 51% |
| Not Sure | 7% | 6% | 7% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 1% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 16% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 26% | 36% | 21% | 43% | 57% | 81% | 5% | 9% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 8% | 14% | 23% | 24% | 27% | 37% | 36% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 34% | 56% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 18% | 82% |
| 5 | About how many candidates should a televised debate for Portland Mayor include? Two? Four? Six? Eight? Or ten or more? |
| 333 Who Say Not All 15 Should Be Included | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Support | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 5.5 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Affordab | Climate | Earthqua | Homeless | Traffic | Taxes | Crime | Economy | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Clinton | Sanders | Trump | Cruz | Kasich | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Two | 4% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 0% | ** | 4% | ** | 2% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 18% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ** | 17% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Four | 33% | 43% | 23% | 17% | 38% | 39% | 32% | 29% | 36% | 34% | 14% | ** | 34% | ** | 14% | 30% | 46% | 32% | 17% | 24% | 33% | 29% | 24% | 23% | 32% | 35% | 36% | 38% | 26% | 22% | 27% | 47% | 42% | 22% | 31% | ** | 27% | 45% | 19% | 38% | 20% | 33% | 39% | 6% | 40% |
| Six | 39% | 38% | 40% | 36% | 39% | 38% | 42% | 38% | 40% | 37% | 56% | ** | 45% | ** | 21% | 46% | 44% | 42% | 30% | 37% | 46% | 31% | 20% | 64% | 40% | 41% | 35% | 51% | 27% | 48% | 40% | 36% | 39% | 41% | 27% | ** | 46% | 42% | 32% | 43% | 39% | 31% | 47% | 49% | 36% |
| Eight | 15% | 10% | 21% | 20% | 13% | 17% | 10% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 5% | ** | 6% | ** | 50% | 12% | 6% | 10% | 44% | 32% | 17% | 14% | 46% | 4% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 6% | 38% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 24% | 38% | ** | 8% | 5% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 22% | 7% | 22% | 13% |
| Ten Or More | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | ** | 0% | ** | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 5% | 0% | ** | 0% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% |
| Not Sure | 8% | 7% | 10% | 19% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 25% | ** | 10% | ** | 14% | 7% | 1% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ** | 3% | 6% | 22% | 2% | 15% | 11% | 2% | 18% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Who Say Not All 15 Should Be Included | 100% | 51% | 49% | 20% | 25% | 32% | 23% | 45% | 55% | 85% | 6% | 4% | 27% | 4% | 6% | 18% | 9% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 15% | 29% | 26% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 26% | 27% | 43% | 35% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 31% | 63% | 27% | 31% | 41% | 22% | 78% |
| 6 | Which candidate for President do you most support? Hillary Clinton? Bernie Sanders? Donald Trump? Ted Cruz? Or Ted Kasich? |
| 630 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Top Issue | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Support | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Hispanic | Asian / | Affordab | Climate | Earthqua | Homeless | Traffic | Taxes | Crime | Economy | Strong R | Republic | Indy Lea | Independ | Indy Lea | Democrat | Strong D | Very Con | Somewhat | Moderate | Somewhat | Very Lib | Clinton | Sanders | Trump | Cruz | Kasich | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | |
| Clinton | 37% | 40% | 34% | 48% | 30% | 33% | 43% | 37% | 37% | 34% | 45% | 45% | 39% | 26% | 39% | 44% | 40% | 42% | 14% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 16% | 35% | 27% | 57% | 54% | 17% | 11% | 44% | 46% | 42% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 28% | 41% | 34% | 36% | 39% | 43% | 36% |
| Sanders | 36% | 32% | 40% | 41% | 44% | 36% | 21% | 42% | 31% | 37% | 45% | 25% | 41% | 67% | 55% | 39% | 15% | 5% | 52% | 31% | 5% | 7% | 18% | 34% | 65% | 36% | 43% | 10% | 23% | 26% | 42% | 55% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 37% | 37% | 35% | 39% | 35% | 45% | 34% |
| Trump | 9% | 9% | 9% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 12% | 10% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 19% | 10% | 16% | 33% | 26% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 23% | 23% | 11% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 10% |
| Cruz | 6% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 35% | 21% | 14% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 35% | 17% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 2% | 7% |
| Kasich | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 16% | 5% | 3% | 19% | 30% | 14% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 3% | 8% |
| Not Sure | 5% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 0% | 10% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 17% | 26% | 36% | 21% | 44% | 56% | 80% | 6% | 9% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 16% | 8% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 12% | 10% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 37% | 36% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 11% | 34% | 55% | 34% | 34% | 32% | 18% | 82% |