Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19869
 
Michele Bachmann Has Solid Coalition in Re-Election Bid in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District:

In an election today for the U.S. House of Representatives from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, high-profile incumbent Republican congresswoman Michele Bachmann is re-elected, defeating DFL challenger Jim Graves 50% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSTP-TV in the Twin Cities.

Bachmann's lead comes entirely from men. Graves leads by 1 point among women. Bachmann leads by 18 points among men. Bachmann holds 86% of the Republican base. Graves holds 85% of the DFL base. Independents split. Bachmann holds 81% of the conservative vote. Graves holds 83% of the liberal vote. Moderates break 58% to 31% to Graves. Bachmann leads among lower-income, middle-income and upper-income voters. Graves and Bachmann tie in union households. Bachmann leads by 12 points in non-union households.

Bachmann has a Net Zero Favorability Rating: the same number of voters have a favorable opinion of her (40%) as have an unfavorable opinion of her (40%). Graves has a Plus 1 Net Favorability Rating: 28% have a favorable opinion of him compared to 27% who have a negative opinion.

By 45% to 36%, voters say Bachmann will do more to bring jobs to the district.
By 46% to 39%, voters say they agree more with Bachmann on social issues.
By 47% to 35%, voters say they agree with Bachmann more on issues of Medicare and Social Security.

Republican Mitt Romney carries the district 53% to 36% in an election for President today.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 registered voters from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District 10/09/12 through 10/11/12, using Registration Based (voter list) sample from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 598 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 election. This research was conducted 100% by telephone Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were called on their cell-phones by live operators, who hand-dialed the calls, qualified the respondent, secured the respondent's cooperation, read the questions, logged the answers, and remained on the line until the interview was completed.

 
1If the election for U.S. House of Representatives from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Michele Bachmann? Or DFL Candidate Jim Graves?
598 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyPresidential VotUnionEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalMitt RomBarack OYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Michele Bachmann (R)50%55%44%45%52%48%52%50%50%39%52%86%12%43%81%31%11%87%3%47%51%59%52%45%50%50%50%
Jim Graves (DFL)41%37%45%38%36%47%42%37%45%35%42%9%85%41%13%58%83%8%91%47%39%36%39%45%40%44%41%
Undecided9%8%11%17%12%5%6%14%5%25%5%5%3%16%6%10%6%5%6%6%10%6%9%10%11%6%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%16%30%35%19%46%54%19%81%36%27%33%42%40%12%53%36%25%74%16%39%45%17%40%43%
 
2Is your opinion of Michele Bachmann ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
598 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyPresidential VotUnionEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalMitt RomBarack OYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable40%44%37%37%39%41%42%39%41%32%42%68%11%35%69%20%13%69%3%39%40%44%44%35%41%41%39%
Unfavorable40%38%43%36%37%45%40%37%43%37%41%10%78%42%13%57%81%8%87%48%38%29%38%46%39%42%40%
Neutral15%15%15%14%20%10%16%18%12%13%15%19%6%18%13%20%3%20%4%8%17%18%14%13%14%12%17%
No Opinion5%4%5%13%3%4%3%7%3%18%2%3%5%5%5%3%4%3%5%5%5%9%3%5%6%5%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%16%30%35%19%46%54%19%81%36%27%33%42%40%12%53%36%25%74%16%39%45%17%40%43%
 
3Is your opinion of Jim Graves ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other?
598 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyPresidential VotUnionEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalMitt RomBarack OYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Favorable28%28%28%21%21%33%36%21%34%19%30%6%64%24%10%36%68%6%64%32%27%25%25%32%32%30%26%
Unfavorable27%32%23%22%30%26%28%28%27%13%31%48%6%24%47%15%3%49%1%24%28%29%31%23%26%29%26%
Neutral28%25%30%24%31%28%24%29%27%24%29%28%20%33%22%38%16%26%24%27%28%30%28%26%21%29%29%
No Opinion17%16%19%33%17%13%12%23%12%44%10%19%10%19%22%11%13%19%11%17%17%17%16%18%21%12%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%16%30%35%19%46%54%19%81%36%27%33%42%40%12%53%36%25%74%16%39%45%17%40%43%
 
4Who will do more to bring jobs to the district?
598 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyPresidential VotUnionEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalMitt RomBarack OYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Michele Bachmann (R)45%50%39%39%47%43%48%44%45%36%47%78%12%38%74%27%10%79%3%42%46%54%46%41%48%44%44%
Jim Graves (DFL)36%34%39%32%32%41%38%32%40%29%38%8%76%36%11%52%77%6%82%42%35%29%33%42%34%39%36%
Not Sure19%16%22%29%22%15%14%24%15%35%15%14%12%26%16%22%13%15%15%16%20%17%21%17%18%16%19%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%16%30%35%19%46%54%19%81%36%27%33%42%40%12%53%36%25%74%16%39%45%17%40%43%
 
5Who do you agree with more on social issues?
598 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyPresidential VotUnionEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalMitt RomBarack OYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Michele Bachmann (R)46%52%41%40%50%44%50%47%46%35%49%80%12%41%78%28%9%81%3%43%48%52%49%43%49%45%48%
Jim Graves (DFL)39%37%41%38%32%45%39%34%43%35%40%10%81%37%13%55%80%8%86%43%38%33%37%43%37%41%40%
Not Sure15%12%18%21%18%10%12%19%11%30%11%10%7%23%10%17%11%11%11%14%14%15%14%14%14%14%12%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%16%30%35%19%46%54%19%81%36%27%33%42%40%12%53%36%25%74%16%39%45%17%40%43%
 
6Who do you agree with more on issues like Medicare and Social Security?
598 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyPresidential VotUnionEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalMitt RomBarack OYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Michele Bachmann (R)47%53%42%49%48%45%49%49%46%39%49%81%13%41%78%30%8%84%4%43%49%53%47%46%47%48%47%
Jim Graves (DFL)35%34%37%28%31%41%37%30%40%32%36%7%79%33%10%51%80%4%81%41%34%31%35%38%35%37%37%
Not Sure17%13%22%22%21%14%14%21%14%29%15%12%8%26%13%19%12%12%14%16%17%16%18%16%17%15%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%16%30%35%19%46%54%19%81%36%27%33%42%40%12%53%36%25%74%16%39%45%17%40%43%
 
7 If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
598 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Cell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyPresidential VotUnionEducationIncome
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalMitt RomBarack OYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Mitt Romney (R)53%57%49%48%61%49%52%56%50%42%56%91%11%47%83%38%12%100%0%45%56%57%54%51%47%52%57%
Barack Obama (D)36%32%41%35%28%43%39%31%41%34%37%5%86%32%10%48%83%0%100%45%34%34%34%40%42%39%34%
Other5%5%4%7%5%4%4%6%4%6%5%1%1%12%3%6%3%0%0%6%5%3%8%3%4%6%3%
Undecided5%6%5%10%5%4%5%7%4%18%2%3%2%9%4%7%1%0%0%4%6%6%3%7%7%3%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%16%30%35%19%46%54%19%81%36%27%33%42%40%12%53%36%25%74%16%39%45%17%40%43%