Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19869 |
Michele Bachmann Has Solid Coalition in Re-Election Bid in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District:
In an election today for the U.S. House of Representatives from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District, high-profile incumbent Republican congresswoman Michele Bachmann is re-elected, defeating DFL challenger Jim Graves 50% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSTP-TV in the Twin Cities. Bachmann's lead comes entirely from men. Graves leads by 1 point among women. Bachmann leads by 18 points among men. Bachmann holds 86% of the Republican base. Graves holds 85% of the DFL base. Independents split. Bachmann holds 81% of the conservative vote. Graves holds 83% of the liberal vote. Moderates break 58% to 31% to Graves. Bachmann leads among lower-income, middle-income and upper-income voters. Graves and Bachmann tie in union households. Bachmann leads by 12 points in non-union households. Bachmann has a Net Zero Favorability Rating: the same number of voters have a favorable opinion of her (40%) as have an unfavorable opinion of her (40%). Graves has a Plus 1 Net Favorability Rating: 28% have a favorable opinion of him compared to 27% who have a negative opinion.
By 45% to 36%, voters say Bachmann will do more to bring jobs to the district. Republican Mitt Romney carries the district 53% to 36% in an election for President today. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 registered voters from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District 10/09/12 through 10/11/12, using Registration Based (voter list) sample from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 598 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 election. This research was conducted 100% by telephone Respondents reachable on a home telephone were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were called on their cell-phones by live operators, who hand-dialed the calls, qualified the respondent, secured the respondent's cooperation, read the questions, logged the answers, and remained on the line until the interview was completed. |
1 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives from Minnesota's 6th Congressional District were today, would you vote for... (candidate names rotated) Republican Michele Bachmann? Or DFL Candidate Jim Graves? |
598 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Vot | Union | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Michele Bachmann (R) | 50% | 55% | 44% | 45% | 52% | 48% | 52% | 50% | 50% | 39% | 52% | 86% | 12% | 43% | 81% | 31% | 11% | 87% | 3% | 47% | 51% | 59% | 52% | 45% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Jim Graves (DFL) | 41% | 37% | 45% | 38% | 36% | 47% | 42% | 37% | 45% | 35% | 42% | 9% | 85% | 41% | 13% | 58% | 83% | 8% | 91% | 47% | 39% | 36% | 39% | 45% | 40% | 44% | 41% |
Undecided | 9% | 8% | 11% | 17% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 14% | 5% | 25% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 16% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 9% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 46% | 54% | 19% | 81% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 12% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 74% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 17% | 40% | 43% |
2 | Is your opinion of Michele Bachmann ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
598 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Vot | Union | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Favorable | 40% | 44% | 37% | 37% | 39% | 41% | 42% | 39% | 41% | 32% | 42% | 68% | 11% | 35% | 69% | 20% | 13% | 69% | 3% | 39% | 40% | 44% | 44% | 35% | 41% | 41% | 39% |
Unfavorable | 40% | 38% | 43% | 36% | 37% | 45% | 40% | 37% | 43% | 37% | 41% | 10% | 78% | 42% | 13% | 57% | 81% | 8% | 87% | 48% | 38% | 29% | 38% | 46% | 39% | 42% | 40% |
Neutral | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 20% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 20% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 17% |
No Opinion | 5% | 4% | 5% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 46% | 54% | 19% | 81% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 12% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 74% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 17% | 40% | 43% |
3 | Is your opinion of Jim Graves ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
598 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Vot | Union | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Favorable | 28% | 28% | 28% | 21% | 21% | 33% | 36% | 21% | 34% | 19% | 30% | 6% | 64% | 24% | 10% | 36% | 68% | 6% | 64% | 32% | 27% | 25% | 25% | 32% | 32% | 30% | 26% |
Unfavorable | 27% | 32% | 23% | 22% | 30% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 27% | 13% | 31% | 48% | 6% | 24% | 47% | 15% | 3% | 49% | 1% | 24% | 28% | 29% | 31% | 23% | 26% | 29% | 26% |
Neutral | 28% | 25% | 30% | 24% | 31% | 28% | 24% | 29% | 27% | 24% | 29% | 28% | 20% | 33% | 22% | 38% | 16% | 26% | 24% | 27% | 28% | 30% | 28% | 26% | 21% | 29% | 29% |
No Opinion | 17% | 16% | 19% | 33% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 23% | 12% | 44% | 10% | 19% | 10% | 19% | 22% | 11% | 13% | 19% | 11% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 21% | 12% | 18% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 46% | 54% | 19% | 81% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 12% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 74% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 17% | 40% | 43% |
4 | Who will do more to bring jobs to the district? |
598 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Vot | Union | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Michele Bachmann (R) | 45% | 50% | 39% | 39% | 47% | 43% | 48% | 44% | 45% | 36% | 47% | 78% | 12% | 38% | 74% | 27% | 10% | 79% | 3% | 42% | 46% | 54% | 46% | 41% | 48% | 44% | 44% |
Jim Graves (DFL) | 36% | 34% | 39% | 32% | 32% | 41% | 38% | 32% | 40% | 29% | 38% | 8% | 76% | 36% | 11% | 52% | 77% | 6% | 82% | 42% | 35% | 29% | 33% | 42% | 34% | 39% | 36% |
Not Sure | 19% | 16% | 22% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 14% | 24% | 15% | 35% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 26% | 16% | 22% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 19% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 46% | 54% | 19% | 81% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 12% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 74% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 17% | 40% | 43% |
5 | Who do you agree with more on social issues? |
598 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Vot | Union | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Michele Bachmann (R) | 46% | 52% | 41% | 40% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 47% | 46% | 35% | 49% | 80% | 12% | 41% | 78% | 28% | 9% | 81% | 3% | 43% | 48% | 52% | 49% | 43% | 49% | 45% | 48% |
Jim Graves (DFL) | 39% | 37% | 41% | 38% | 32% | 45% | 39% | 34% | 43% | 35% | 40% | 10% | 81% | 37% | 13% | 55% | 80% | 8% | 86% | 43% | 38% | 33% | 37% | 43% | 37% | 41% | 40% |
Not Sure | 15% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 12% | 19% | 11% | 30% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 23% | 10% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 46% | 54% | 19% | 81% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 12% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 74% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 17% | 40% | 43% |
6 | Who do you agree with more on issues like Medicare and Social Security? |
598 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Vot | Union | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Michele Bachmann (R) | 47% | 53% | 42% | 49% | 48% | 45% | 49% | 49% | 46% | 39% | 49% | 81% | 13% | 41% | 78% | 30% | 8% | 84% | 4% | 43% | 49% | 53% | 47% | 46% | 47% | 48% | 47% |
Jim Graves (DFL) | 35% | 34% | 37% | 28% | 31% | 41% | 37% | 30% | 40% | 32% | 36% | 7% | 79% | 33% | 10% | 51% | 80% | 4% | 81% | 41% | 34% | 31% | 35% | 38% | 35% | 37% | 37% |
Not Sure | 17% | 13% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 14% | 21% | 14% | 29% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 26% | 13% | 19% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 16% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 46% | 54% | 19% | 81% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 12% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 74% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 17% | 40% | 43% |
7 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates? |
598 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Presidential Vot | Union | Education | Income | ||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
Mitt Romney (R) | 53% | 57% | 49% | 48% | 61% | 49% | 52% | 56% | 50% | 42% | 56% | 91% | 11% | 47% | 83% | 38% | 12% | 100% | 0% | 45% | 56% | 57% | 54% | 51% | 47% | 52% | 57% |
Barack Obama (D) | 36% | 32% | 41% | 35% | 28% | 43% | 39% | 31% | 41% | 34% | 37% | 5% | 86% | 32% | 10% | 48% | 83% | 0% | 100% | 45% | 34% | 34% | 34% | 40% | 42% | 39% | 34% |
Other | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 3% |
Undecided | 5% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 5% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 16% | 30% | 35% | 19% | 46% | 54% | 19% | 81% | 36% | 27% | 33% | 42% | 40% | 12% | 53% | 36% | 25% | 74% | 16% | 39% | 45% | 17% | 40% | 43% |