Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #21737 |
Democrat Crist Ahead for 2nd Straight Week in Florida Governor Fight; Medical Marijuana Ever-So-Slowly Rolling Backwards:
Charlie Crist's Net Favorability today is Minus 8. Rick Scott's Net Favorability today is Minus 10. And that 2-point difference is the difference in the race for governor of Florida at this hour, Crist at 44%, Scott at 42%, Libertarian Adrian Wyllie at 6%, according to the latest WFLA-TV tracking poll conducted by SurveyUSA. A week ago, SurveyUSA showed Crist 6 points atop Scott, today 2. Amendment 2, which would legalize medical marijuana, lost a point week-on-week, which puts support in the past 4 surveys at: 56%, 53%, 52% and now 51%. Opposition stayed flat, at 33%. The measure needs 60% to pass. 15% today are not certain how they will vote on Amendment 2. Depending on what those last 15% do, the measure either becomes law, or goes up in smoke. 62% of young voters back the amendment, compared to 34% of seniors. Twice as many Democrats back the amendment as do Republicans. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 750 state of Florida adults 10/02/14 through 10/06/14, with no telephone interviews conducted during the observance of Yom Kippur, which occurred in the middle of the field-period for this survey. Of the adults interviewed, 684 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 594 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before election day 11/04/14. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (72% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (28% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. The ratio of landline to cellphone interviews does not color the Governor's race to any great extent, but does torque the marijuana amendment considerably. Cell respondents back medical marijuana 3:1. Landline respondents back medical marijuana 5:4. You must credit WFLA-TV if you air, cite or publish these results in whole or part. |
594 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cuban | Non-Cuba | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | Hispanic | White | Black | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
Rick Scott (R) | 42% | 44% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 48% | 40% | 44% | 56% | 55% | 46% | 15% | 51% | 78% | 10% | 37% | 77% | 31% | 8% | 38% | 49% | 40% | 43% | 45% | 41% | 41% | 43% | 53% | 35% | 41% | 50% | 37% |
Charlie Crist (D) | 44% | 43% | 46% | 43% | 44% | 47% | 43% | 44% | 45% | 33% | 34% | 40% | 77% | 33% | 12% | 83% | 32% | 12% | 55% | 81% | 48% | 37% | 48% | 40% | 43% | 50% | 44% | 44% | 25% | 59% | 42% | 36% | 53% |
Adrian Wyllie (L) | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 15% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
Other / Undecided | 8% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 17% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 6% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 15% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 35% | 65% | 7% | 9% | 82% | 12% | 5% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 36% | 38% | 21% | 15% | 33% | 52% | 27% | 41% | 32% | 28% | 72% | 7% | 9% | 31% | 23% | 30% |
Florida will also vote on three constitutional amendments. On Amendment 2, the Florida Right to Medical Marijuana Initiative, are you ... Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain? |
594 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cuban | Non-Cuba | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | Hispanic | White | Black | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
Yes | 51% | 54% | 49% | 62% | 61% | 56% | 34% | 61% | 46% | 51% | 50% | 51% | 54% | 47% | 33% | 64% | 62% | 32% | 56% | 77% | 46% | 49% | 54% | 50% | 52% | 51% | 63% | 47% | 59% | 55% | 47% | 46% | 57% |
No | 33% | 36% | 31% | 20% | 26% | 28% | 52% | 23% | 39% | 40% | 33% | 36% | 15% | 36% | 52% | 19% | 25% | 54% | 27% | 10% | 40% | 36% | 31% | 34% | 35% | 32% | 22% | 38% | 33% | 29% | 39% | 36% | 27% |
Not Certain | 15% | 10% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 9% | 17% | 13% | 31% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 8% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 16% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 15% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 35% | 65% | 7% | 9% | 82% | 12% | 5% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 36% | 38% | 21% | 15% | 33% | 52% | 27% | 41% | 32% | 28% | 72% | 7% | 9% | 31% | 23% | 30% |
Is your opinion of Rick Scott ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him? |
594 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cuban | Non-Cuba | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | Hispanic | White | Black | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
Favorable | 36% | 40% | 33% | 41% | 35% | 32% | 39% | 37% | 36% | 52% | 54% | 39% | 15% | 36% | 65% | 9% | 33% | 66% | 27% | 5% | 31% | 39% | 36% | 35% | 39% | 36% | 41% | 34% | 45% | 35% | 32% | 42% | 34% |
Unfavorable | 46% | 46% | 46% | 41% | 42% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 48% | 31% | 17% | 42% | 73% | 37% | 19% | 75% | 44% | 17% | 56% | 77% | 49% | 43% | 47% | 44% | 45% | 49% | 39% | 49% | 27% | 54% | 47% | 45% | 48% |
Neutral | 15% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 21% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 13% | 15% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 24% | 16% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 18% | 14% | 24% | 9% | 17% | 12% | 15% |
No Opinion | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 15% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 35% | 65% | 7% | 9% | 82% | 12% | 5% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 36% | 38% | 21% | 15% | 33% | 52% | 27% | 41% | 32% | 28% | 72% | 7% | 9% | 31% | 23% | 30% |
Is your opinion of Charlie Crist ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of him? |
594 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cuban | Non-Cuba | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | Hispanic | White | Black | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
Favorable | 36% | 33% | 39% | 44% | 39% | 34% | 33% | 41% | 34% | 39% | 35% | 33% | 66% | 23% | 10% | 70% | 22% | 13% | 42% | 65% | 41% | 32% | 38% | 36% | 36% | 38% | 41% | 34% | 17% | 39% | 35% | 28% | 47% |
Unfavorable | 44% | 47% | 40% | 31% | 38% | 46% | 51% | 35% | 48% | 60% | 28% | 48% | 13% | 44% | 71% | 14% | 48% | 73% | 34% | 15% | 41% | 49% | 41% | 46% | 43% | 44% | 36% | 47% | 59% | 28% | 43% | 55% | 36% |
Neutral | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 2% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 21% | 14% | 13% | 26% | 10% | 23% | 15% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 18% | 15% | 19% | 26% | 15% | 14% | 15% |
No Opinion | 4% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 15% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 15% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 35% | 65% | 7% | 9% | 82% | 12% | 5% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 36% | 38% | 21% | 15% | 33% | 52% | 27% | 41% | 32% | 28% | 72% | 7% | 9% | 31% | 23% | 30% |
Is your opinion of Adrian Wyllie ... |
594 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cuban | Non-Cuba | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Education | Income | Cell Phone / Lan | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Yes | Hispanic | White | Black | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Cell Pho | Landline | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
Favorable | 7% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 4% |
Unfavorable | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
Neutral | 54% | 55% | 52% | 43% | 60% | 52% | 56% | 53% | 54% | 65% | 64% | 53% | 56% | 56% | 51% | 56% | 55% | 53% | 58% | 48% | 60% | 54% | 52% | 60% | 49% | 53% | 46% | 57% | 50% | 42% | 46% | 58% | 63% |
No Opinion | 33% | 30% | 36% | 40% | 26% | 34% | 33% | 32% | 33% | 13% | 19% | 32% | 36% | 40% | 34% | 34% | 29% | 29% | 32% | 39% | 22% | 34% | 35% | 26% | 36% | 37% | 35% | 32% | 31% | 41% | 41% | 30% | 25% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 15% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 35% | 65% | 7% | 9% | 82% | 12% | 5% | 40% | 40% | 20% | 36% | 38% | 21% | 15% | 33% | 52% | 27% | 41% | 32% | 28% | 72% | 7% | 9% | 31% | 23% | 30% |