| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13882 |
| Six Months Out, Obama Beats McCain in State of Washington: If Washington state voters were filling out their November ballots right now, Democrat Barack Obama would beat Republican John McCain by 12 points, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV in Seattle. Obama defeats McCain 54% to 42% today; if Hillary Clinton is the nominee, she edges McCain, 49% to 45%; the 4-point lead is just outside the survey's margin of sampling error. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released four weeks ago, there is no statistically significant movement; then, Obama lead McCain by 13 and Clinton lead McCain by 3. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Washington adults; of the adults, 795 identified themselves as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 659 identified themselves as being likely to vote in the general election. 37 of Washington's 39 counties vote exclusively by mail; ballots must be postmarked no later than Election Day, November 4. |
 | If you were filling out your ballot for President right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| McCain (R) | 42% | 48% | 37% | 44% | 37% | 43% | 49% | 39% | 45% | 39% | 46% | 44% | 43% | ** | ** | 39% | 81% | 15% | 45% | 78% | 39% | 12% | 40% | 44% | 58% | 36% | 29% | 65% | 28% | 45% | 41% | 38% | 9% | 35% | 22% | 90% | ** | ** | 76% | 41% | 42% | 44% | 49% | 39% |
| Obama (D) | 54% | 50% | 59% | 54% | 60% | 53% | 45% | 58% | 50% | 59% | 48% | 51% | 53% | ** | ** | 59% | 18% | 81% | 50% | 20% | 59% | 86% | 57% | 52% | 38% | 60% | 68% | 31% | 68% | 47% | 57% | 58% | 91% | 62% | 74% | 8% | ** | ** | 23% | 53% | 56% | 52% | 48% | 57% |
| Other | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Undecided | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 46% | 11% | 43% | 88% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 28% | 43% | 22% | 24% | 44% | 18% | 50% | 50% | 38% | 26% | 36% | 35% | 62% | 22% | 76% | 37% | 5% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 29% | 71% | 27% | 19% | 54% |
 | If you were filling out your ballot for President right now, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Hillary Clinton? |
| 659 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
| McCain (R) | 45% | 51% | 39% | 50% | 44% | 44% | 45% | 46% | 45% | 48% | 43% | 43% | 47% | ** | ** | 36% | 89% | 14% | 51% | 86% | 42% | 13% | 48% | 43% | 58% | 41% | 33% | 72% | 29% | 48% | 44% | 43% | 13% | 36% | 24% | 89% | ** | ** | 84% | 39% | 47% | 47% | 49% | 43% |
| Clinton (D) | 49% | 43% | 54% | 47% | 49% | 51% | 45% | 48% | 49% | 47% | 45% | 52% | 47% | ** | ** | 61% | 9% | 80% | 40% | 11% | 53% | 80% | 47% | 50% | 37% | 53% | 59% | 26% | 63% | 43% | 51% | 50% | 83% | 59% | 66% | 9% | ** | ** | 16% | 52% | 48% | 46% | 43% | 52% |
| Other | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | 3% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 1% | ** | ** | 0% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 3% |
| Undecided | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 0% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ** | ** | 0% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 20% | 34% | 28% | 18% | 54% | 46% | 46% | 11% | 43% | 88% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 28% | 43% | 22% | 24% | 44% | 18% | 50% | 50% | 38% | 26% | 36% | 35% | 62% | 22% | 76% | 37% | 5% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 29% | 71% | 27% | 19% | 54% |