| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16466 |
| Democratic Runoff Likely in NC Senate Primary; Burr Coasts to Victory in GOP Contest: In a Democratic Primary for United States Senator from North Carolina held today, 04/26/10, 8 days until votes are counted, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall and former State Senator Cal Cunningham advance to a June runoff election, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WRAL-TV Raleigh.
Today, Marshall gets 23% of the vote; Cunningham gets 19%. Attorney Ken Lewis gets 10%; Accountant Susan Harris gets 7%. 2 other candidates, 2008 candidate Marcus Williams and minister Ann Worthy each get 4%. 1 in 3 voters are undecided. Any outcome remains possible. Today, Cunningham edges Marshall by 4 points among men; among women, Marshall leads by 10. Among whites, Marshall leads by 6; among blacks, the contest is tied. Marshall holds a clear lead in Charlotte and Western NC; Cunningham is ahead in Greensboro; neither candidate has a clear advantage elsewhere. Early voting began on April 15; among the 11% included here who have already cast their ballots, Marshall leads by 9 points, 25% to 16%. Susan Harris gets 14% among early voters, effectively tied with Cunningham ... but Harris takes 6% among those likely voters who have not yet cast ballots, compared to Cunningham's 19%. |
| Burr Opposition Stuck In Single Digits: Incumbent Republican Richard Burr wins a Republican primary for US Senator from North Carolina today, 04/26/10, with 59% of the vote. Opponents Larry Linney and Brad Jones each receive 6% of the vote; Eddie Burks gets 3%. 1 in 5 voters are undecided. Linney, who is African American, leads 2:1 among the small number of African American likely voters in the Republican primary. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,600 North Carolina adults 04/23/10 through 04/25/10. Of them, 2,277 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 520 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 05/04/10 Republican Primary; 511 were determined to have already voted or to be likely to vote in the 05/04/10 Democratic primary. Early voting began 04/15/10. Incumbent Republican Richard Burr is seeking a second term. |
| 1 | If the Republican Primary for US Senate were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Richard Burr? Eddie Burks? Brad Jones? Or Larry Linney? |
| 520 Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Burr | 59% | 62% | 57% | 56% | 54% | 65% | 64% | 55% | 64% | 63% | 23% | ** | ** | 51% | 61% | 61% | ** | 43% | 59% | 65% | 55% | 59% | 60% | 58% | 58% | 68% | 63% | 52% | 61% | 53% | 54% | 62% | 56% | 62% | 63% | 59% |
| Burks | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | ** | ** | 0% | 3% | 3% | ** | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Jones | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ** | ** | 9% | 5% | 6% | ** | 7% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 2% | 8% |
| Linney | 6% | 9% | 2% | 20% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 47% | ** | ** | 29% | 2% | 6% | ** | 3% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 15% | 5% |
| Undecided | 26% | 19% | 34% | 16% | 33% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 22% | ** | ** | 10% | 29% | 24% | ** | 45% | 24% | 24% | 38% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 32% | 22% | 21% | 34% | 23% | 32% | 29% | 24% | 33% | 23% | 18% | 26% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual GOP Primary Voters | 100% | 53% | 47% | 19% | 33% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 88% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 15% | 85% | 91% | 0% | 9% | 68% | 23% | 5% | 53% | 47% | 63% | 24% | 13% | 67% | 31% | 69% | 27% | 34% | 66% | 35% | 19% | 27% | 19% |
| 2 | If the Democratic Primary for US Senate were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Cal Cunningham? Susan Harris? Ken Lewis? Elaine Marshall? Marcus Williams? Or Ann Worthy? |
| 511 Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Charlott | Greensbo | Raleigh | Southern | |
| Cunningham | 19% | 24% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 16% | 22% | 22% | 14% | ** | ** | 16% | 19% | ** | 19% | 22% | 18% | 26% | 13% | 24% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 29% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 10% | 23% | 23% | 22% |
| Harris | 7% | 5% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 9% | ** | ** | 14% | 6% | ** | 7% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 9% |
| Lewis | 10% | 13% | 6% | 21% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 7% | ** | ** | 9% | 10% | ** | 10% | 6% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 6% | 9% | 10% |
| Marshall | 23% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 15% | ** | ** | 25% | 22% | ** | 22% | 30% | 17% | 23% | 33% | 28% | 18% | 25% | 16% | 24% | 23% | 25% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 30% | 26% | 15% | 25% | 19% |
| Williams | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 6% | ** | ** | 4% | 4% | ** | 3% | 12% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Worthy | 4% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 9% | ** | ** | 11% | 3% | ** | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% |
| Undecided | 34% | 34% | 33% | 29% | 40% | 34% | 29% | 36% | 31% | 32% | 41% | ** | ** | 20% | 35% | ** | 35% | 11% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 29% | 36% | 31% | 48% | 20% | 37% | 26% | 33% | 30% | 34% | 30% | 37% | 37% | 28% | 36% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 16% | 31% | 29% | 24% | 47% | 53% | 63% | 30% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 89% | 0% | 93% | 7% | 27% | 41% | 24% | 48% | 52% | 60% | 22% | 18% | 37% | 57% | 45% | 52% | 49% | 51% | 31% | 16% | 37% | 17% |