Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13737 |
Gregoire Starts Off Slightly Ahead in 2004 Washington Governor Rematch: Incumbent Washington state Governor Christine Gregoire takes 50% of the vote in an election held today, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle and KATU-TV Portland Oregon. Republican Dino Rossi, who ran against Gregoire four years ago, takes 46% of the vote today. Rossi leads by 11 points among men; Gregoire leads by 20 among women -- a 31 point gender gap. Voters under age 50 narrowly break for Rossi; Gregoire leads by 9 among voters 50+. 16% of Democrats cross over to vote for Rossi; 7% of Republicans vote for Gregoire. Independents split 5:4 for the incumbent. Gregoire wins by 13 points in metro Seattle; Rossi leads by 2 points in the rest of Western Washington and by 12 points in the eastern part of the state. |
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Washington adults; of the adults, 766 identified themselves as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 634 identified themselves as being likely to vote in the general election, run exclusively by mail in most of the state; ballots must be postmarked no later than Election Day, November 4. |
If you were filling out your ballot for Governor right now, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Dino Rossi? Or, Democrat Christine Gregoire? |
634 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Eastern | Metro Se | |
Rossi (R) | 46% | 54% | 38% | 46% | 50% | 43% | 45% | 49% | 44% | 48% | 45% | 45% | 45% | ** | ** | 49% | 91% | 16% | 43% | 90% | 37% | 14% | 44% | 49% | 57% | 46% | 36% | 76% | 30% | 52% | 46% | 49% | 18% | 30% | 30% | 90% | ** | ** | 88% | 42% | 49% | 49% | 54% | 42% |
Gregoire (D) | 50% | 43% | 58% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 53% | 48% | 53% | 48% | 52% | 52% | 51% | ** | ** | 48% | 7% | 81% | 51% | 8% | 60% | 83% | 52% | 48% | 40% | 51% | 60% | 22% | 66% | 44% | 52% | 47% | 79% | 65% | 68% | 10% | ** | ** | 9% | 55% | 48% | 47% | 42% | 55% |
Other | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Undecided | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | ** | ** | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 19% | 52% | 48% | 43% | 12% | 45% | 85% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 28% | 41% | 24% | 26% | 41% | 20% | 48% | 52% | 39% | 23% | 38% | 35% | 62% | 21% | 77% | 36% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 8% | 31% | 69% | 29% | 18% | 53% |