Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10578
Republican Reichert Hangs On In WA8, But Early Voting Favors Burner: In an election in Washington's 8th Congressional District today, 10/31/06, Republican incumbent Dave Reichert appears to edge Democrat Darcy Burner, 51% to 45%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA KING-TV poll released 10/18/06, Reichert has gained 1 point and Burner has lost 2 points. Reichert had led by 3, now leads by 6. But: 25% of those judged to be "likely" voters in WA8 have already voted, and among those who have already voted, the Democrat Burner is up by 8 points. Reichert leads by 11 points among those who have not yet voted but who tell SurveyUSA they are "absolutely certain" to vote. If Reichert succeeds at getting his supporters to mail ballots or go to the polls, he wins. If the Republican Get-Out-The-Vote operation falters, Burner is within striking distance. Reichert leads by 9 points among men and by 3 points among women. Reichert gets 91% of Republican votes. Burner gets 83% of Democrat votes. Independents favor Reichert 5:4. Those who approve of President George W. Bush's performance in office support Reichert, 98% to 2%. Those who disapprove of Bush support Burner, 73% to 22%. President Bush's Job Approval, among likely voters in Washington's 8th Congressional District, is 36%. Reichert was first elected to Congresss in 2004.
Filtering: 900 adults from Washington's 8th Congressional District were interviewed 10/28/06 - 10/30/06. Of them, 791 were registered to vote. Of them, 598 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
In the election for U.S. House of Representatives, does your vote go to... Republican Dave Reichert? Or Democrat Darcy Burner?
598 Likely VotersAllAlready Voted?GenderAgeRacePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeBush Job ApprovaGeneration *
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsNoYesMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo ColleSome ColCollege Grad Sch< $40K$40K - $> $80KApproveDisapproGen YGen XJonesBoomersMature
Reichert (R)51%53%45%53%49%54%54%47%45%52%39%91%14%50%89%43%16%48%53%51%48%45%47%56%98%22%58%51%56%44%45%
Burner (D)45%42%53%44%46%41%42%47%53%43%59%8%83%40%10%51%80%48%43%44%46%52%47%40%2%73%38%44%39%51%53%
Composition of Likely Voters100%75%25%50%50%19%39%27%15%85%10%36%37%25%28%48%16%8%37%30%26%14%34%46%36%60%9%27%30%19%15%