Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23322
 
With Presidential Finish Line in Sight, Early California Voters Limit Impact of FBI Investigation on Clinton Lead;
Harris Safely Atop Sanchez in Fight for Boxer's Seat; Prop 64 Likely to Pass, Legalizing Recreational Marijuana:


In California, 7 days till votes are counted, Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 29 points among early voters but leads by just 17 points among voters who have not yet returned a ballot, according to SurveyUSA's final pre-election tracking poll conducted for KABC-TV in Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno. This is an indication of what the fallout may be from the FBI's newly announced interest in Anthony Weiner's computer.

In 3 previous tracking polls, Clinton in California had led by 25 points, 26 points and 26 points; today, by 21. Two weeks ago, Clinton had led by 25 points among independent voters, now by just 9. The political seas are choppy; unclear how much water the Clinton ship will take-on in more competitive states.

In an election today for United States Senator from CA, to replace retiring Democrat Barbara Boxer, Democrat Kamala Harris defeats Democrat Loretta Sanchez, 47% to 27%. Harris's 20-point advantage is effectively unchanged from her 21-point advantage 2 weeks ago.

Ballot Measures:

* Proposition 56, which would increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack, is favored to pass 60% to 33%.
* Proposition 62, which would end the death penalty in CA and replace it with life in prison, trails by 11 points today, 39% in favor, 50% against.
* Proposition 63, which outlaws large-capacity magazines and requires background checks on ammo purchases, leads 2:1 and will pass.
* Proposition 64, which would legalize, regulate, and tax recreational marijuana, is backed 54% to 39%, and now appears positioned to become law.

Statewide Favorability Ratings:

* President Barack Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 38% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 26%.
* Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 12% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 52%.
* Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 22% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 33%.
* Governor Jerry Brown is viewed extremely favorably by 15% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 20%.
* Dianne Feinstein is viewed extremely favorably by 17% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 20%.
* Boxer is viewed extremely favorably by 17% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 23%.

Context and Methodology:

SurveyUSA interviewed 900 state of California adults 10/28/16 through 10/31/16. All interviews were completed after FBI director James Comey announced 10/28/16 new interest in emails on a previously unknown electronic device. Of the adults interviewed, 816 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 747 were judged by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the Presidential election or as certain to do so before polls close on 11/08/16. Of registered voters, 2% tell SurveyUSA they almost always vote in a Presidential election but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates. 5% of voters tell SurveyUSA they almost never vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016 because they are particularly drawn to one of the candidates. The survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (56% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (44% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the screen of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.
 
1California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 6 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I have already voted. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Three: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Four: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Five: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Six: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
816 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Already Voted240124116598434631439711612822924002639201926753566641103853584938691673285123816793107103255018613355984512011467157551103319718212731513319392134271968713857716116029179100140568433681312
Always Do / Will This Year469227242128151122682791902232413885046959654959501127212315718471981617456112352531682499516221318722547118344260127187105268190120325124214544022442914329356398185266374031453011301611073355137420926193184102904625
Always Do / Not This Year157875311238340--24412207623551041128555657321362329659463110129641169212411657721378391221
Not Sure Yet 49272223157438111452010--27589100823112141410211361619132218923164834139932225830142593863913311234272034318261016153114272920112110779
Rarely Do / Will This Year381820141210126111321570384667192101412591550112771615917111814383015362251019136103310349257271222133132111913214291919111312212
Don't / Won't This Year5413110412111--000301003111310142114012201410001413031414141414051312041431220110
Total8164074092342681761375023133754726113324050793121839688209111214267320119180255140962075971122974062152683333433678318761142819830315744434922053720436810268449731248509112667323453706912685002152642035581006273674491763111581707049
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%29%33%22%17%62%38%46%6%32%16%32%68%11%15%10%12%11%26%14%26%33%39%15%22%31%17%12%25%73%14%36%50%26%33%41%42%45%10%23%75%58%27%44%23%56%44%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%85%42%58%9%89%35%65%45%55%27%73%13%83%45%55%22%38%19%21%9%6%
 
If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? or Green Party candidate Jill Stein?
747 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Donald Trump (R)259141119626973551311281517703278182828655292501688557910066648717129106125589210992127385919829167321231589410813657873421772411141154120498146152205518576103601802220882177799854272313
Hillary Clinton (D)4161882271161498368265151168281467414726961612316317910722106286294313811086833255313622710312318919517532103306347624513220184783111152104735331368953004934916223641352164232111111992905431919921662160801153219
Gary Johnson (L)281711414821810141853251431433152044147301018391689121115162211841116121216214225225918125141242271961362032314147114612
Jill Stein (G)11376411917130280025310010101423381462623611961225629361929182946283715552883431211
Undecided331914151117268132991024143569251311321971824614131316511183625154831418722818627032627231112132915185910213252597781153
Total747369378202247166133449298352382361212405078911074847719611019923530611416023412894191546922693871852463173123427617656040818629115141331520649418533490630426752254699561929042165632244460199241181516845833274201592801471616039
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%18%60%40%47%5%32%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%15%27%31%41%15%21%31%17%13%26%73%12%36%52%25%33%42%42%46%10%24%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%12%87%6%93%31%65%13%87%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%37%20%21%8%5%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
259 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 5.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Trump169947546474531937688558195211761532723130114513516147425811020648541587066802235133231082479106597192395623141615671783013167921014239116496341116161355711253633716118
Against Clinton874641162127233750612121224632033275020533222738181128609403817323824461523646576445034364318301074183433511712854575156627381962571256325341712116
Not Sure302011112200111001010012001110110110212011112101111011203120320031202021203111000
Total259141119626973551311281517703278182828655292501688557910066648717129106125589210992127385919829167321231589410813657873421772411141154120498146152205518576103601802220882177799854272313
Composition of Trump Voters100%54%46%24%26%28%21%51%49%58%3%27%12%30%70%31%33%21%11%1%2%0%65%33%2%30%39%25%2%1%34%66%11%41%48%23%36%42%35%49%15%23%76%12%70%14%56%63%37%43%54%39%61%14%86%3%96%46%47%17%83%40%60%6%90%23%77%42%58%25%75%9%89%32%68%31%38%21%11%9%5%
 
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
259 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Enthusiastically1801067446415439879391558275512570543219130124523606546226211720709139637864882740138191201687110647596405923150616477772913968991114741122526637128161434913159673717147
With Reservations793544162719164435602126225711322292204333219342041255493634193030273911195910471536483033401728116617638381265304647214632437235266532472130181087
Not Sure000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Total259141119626973551311281517703278182828655292501688557910066648717129106125589210992127385919829167321231589410813657873421772411141154120498146152205518576103601802220882177799854272313
Composition of Trump Voters100%54%46%24%26%28%21%51%49%58%3%27%12%30%70%31%33%21%11%1%2%0%65%33%2%30%39%25%2%1%34%66%11%41%48%23%36%42%35%49%15%23%76%12%70%14%56%63%37%43%54%39%61%14%86%3%96%46%47%17%83%40%60%6%90%23%77%42%58%25%75%9%89%32%68%31%38%21%11%9%5%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
416 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Clinton2751311447495614616810711422100401081673621132126949442202528757270532173778159698112613111024712002414181915211661198701363622923240572043622711414928234102160757556204362111251503611053761913
Against Trump1355482395422219243516463338973101019315113135964314623616281051356663341626162832102102263466641611045708122812236931311848811211459693534408418103706524502437136
Not Sure541310141300214000212003211110232122122301440201422033205141405142312220441202100
Total4161882271161498368265151168281467414726961612316317910722106286294313811086833255313622710312318919517532103306347624513220184783111152104735331368953004934916223641352164232111111992905431919921662160801153219
Composition of Clinton Voters100%45%55%28%36%20%16%64%36%40%7%35%18%35%65%1%4%3%8%15%43%26%5%26%69%7%10%33%26%21%20%78%13%33%55%25%30%46%47%42%8%25%74%91%2%69%4%54%46%19%77%35%65%12%88%8%92%24%75%12%88%41%59%10%89%41%59%50%50%25%75%14%83%48%52%15%38%19%28%8%5%
 
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
416 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Enthusiastically26011814360846254144116104211013496164682635108951443203252371676952205367514965771181261031965191229316881411095419069126342152422453193332161021462622299148697354189371941011593111548662111
With Reservations142667547602114107355774038449808924276310860733176440173110713557431426963681035105108373570702311443741112571303997141225383131205778413442911811185573040304398
Not Sure1449940013060527700012820310233300124558426433910040851739112014311211772108624310013130142610
Total4161882271161498368265151168281467414726961612316317910722106286294313811086833255313622710312318919517532103306347624513220184783111152104735331368953004934916223641352164232111111992905431919921662160801153219
Composition of Clinton Voters100%45%55%28%36%20%16%64%36%40%7%35%18%35%65%1%4%3%8%15%43%26%5%26%69%7%10%33%26%21%20%78%13%33%55%25%30%46%47%42%8%25%74%91%2%69%4%54%46%19%77%35%65%12%88%8%92%24%75%12%88%41%59%10%89%41%59%50%50%25%75%14%83%48%52%15%38%19%28%8%5%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
28 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 18.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Johnson1275371210250611111001010011101452066237336471210521575660621001257111754848443901284343301
Against Trump625033134412015020103121414010330521323304351314342020606150651060624331434131111
Against Clinton871143053401317013310017025100261072334401724144426150726340725073404071626240201
Not Sure211011011100102010010011001100020201011100201011102110202020211021101020211110000
Total281711414821810141853251431433152044147301018391689121115162211841116121216214225225918125141242271961362032314147114612
Composition of Johnson Voters100%62%38%13%51%27%9%64%36%49%4%29%18%12%88%3%14%12%49%10%9%4%17%71%13%14%50%23%10%0%37%63%10%34%57%27%31%42%41%52%3%22%78%39%29%15%38%57%43%43%57%10%90%7%90%7%93%33%67%5%95%53%47%15%85%28%72%32%68%24%76%11%87%49%51%25%40%14%20%4%8%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
11 Stein VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 30.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Stein624331061312015001311005101411151242312400641113315230615151624152404341551220211
Against Clinton413210040301013001210004000112221121211211320112213121303031322021211211222111000
Against Trump000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Not Sure000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000--0000000000000000000000000000
Total11376411917130280025310010101423381462623611961225629361929182946283715552883431211
Composition of Stein Voters100%31%69%53%36%5%6%89%11%66%5%27%3%21%79%0%0%18%51%25%6%0%0%94%6%0%9%42%18%31%25%75%10%35%55%21%58%22%29%60%12%13%87%67%13%21%18%46%54%17%83%36%64%11%89%18%82%13%76%15%85%43%57%17%80%34%66%15%85%54%46%17%78%72%28%35%32%12%22%5%5%
 
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
15 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 25.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Republican8444130535030--232000053034200251341341611622216234322606623535172642531744250110
Democrat5232200401310--000022002200210131212203111440102223031304131432041312221331130101
Split1110100101000--001000001001000010100010010110011001010101101101100101110101100000
Not Sure1111000101000--010100011000100010101011100100000101110101110101010101010101011000
Total1578753112383400024412207623551041128555657321362329659463110129641169212411657721378391221
Composition of Protest Voters100%49%51%47%31%17%4%79%21%51%20%26%3%  17%27%23%5%13%14%1%44%41%15%18%30%33%10%2%27%71%13%51%36%30%31%38%36%45%18%16%84%54%21%29%21%62%38%31%64%41%59%22%78%2%84%60%40%26%74%39%61%17%83%28%72%52%48%49%51%10%90%49%51%23%57%6%14%10%7%
 
In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez?
747 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Kamala Harris (D)350160191751049873179172168328763128223273428194711876619519444539781688126932982218110416615017126872612544819743203140832548217835307213198624036304131205312961232129111382249392751392115614767803118
Loretta Sanchez (D)20211192637141281346983299187912427391919205028665878286465251955145299084507379927627471549958596011084691175966331571517579108371528610420166701186155531323014888114458239371610
Undecided194999664722731136581014504033161363726469286728235424472226551323181825368727095234214555803649999155122459022166618160120221637311213170511304773461351516010094585142431311
Total747369378202247166133449298352382361212405078911074847719611019923530611416023412894191546922693871852463173123427617656040818629115141331520649418533490630426752254699561929042165632244460199241181516845833274201592801471616039
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%18%60%40%47%5%32%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%15%27%31%41%15%21%31%17%13%26%73%12%36%52%25%33%42%42%46%10%24%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%12%87%6%93%31%65%13%87%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%37%20%21%8%5%
 
There are 17 propositions on the California ballot this year. We are going to ask about 4 of them. First ... On Proposition 56, will you vote YES, to increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack? Or will you vote NO, to leave the tax on cigarettes unchanged?
747 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 5644920924012016094752801692002314680157292444434426014182891362235381141917596347441612449614121219719742101345291772096025418598324125215373983440112130656377192240433851702601161321043185834420724282164841183823
No On 5624814310561696751130118135137129731753961383514382110087595572732716891583886124728690941203166179921026587134106961384310046189722897121371958015016204561716896681582319384164729250342215
Undecided4314291716553491511611835552731561011215619917357191712171516232833247164212212291516636241636339152753617251410834339311242010811
Will Not Vote734410252212215001003001312211062324214102410104313240706160734071413160752133000
Total747369378202247166133449298352382361212405078911074847719611019923530611416023412894191546922693871852463173123427617656040818629115141331520649418533490630426752254699561929042165632244460199241181516845833274201592801471616039
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%18%60%40%47%5%32%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%15%27%31%41%15%21%31%17%13%26%73%12%36%52%25%33%42%42%46%10%24%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%12%87%6%93%31%65%13%87%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%37%20%21%8%5%
 
On Proposition 62, will you vote YES, to replace the death penalty in California with life in prison? Or will you vote NO, to leave the death penalty in place?
747 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 6228813915087806160167121131229640111178261817223894704477164373877607254232379016172841331491072581205212291622615912670209761383824626258702094323811516633247105173779174202382231351534711851731213
No On 623711971748612993632151561901211257111260588254442878251401261047110511851161192474014518686133152120196477629014614998116205150114228861544130912337137191403071441992230910423710012885253412871352369412584684223
Undecided78275124351285820294242112665831810201312313361436155156214293522263038353156046830844342150213686947116601165274986831442120215256553251831111843
Will Not Vote1073530282205364021004221604211361445325404550124518262709281946284622080845161220
Total747369378202247166133449298352382361212405078911074847719611019923530611416023412894191546922693871852463173123427617656040818629115141331520649418533490630426752254699561929042165632244460199241181516845833274201592801471616039
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%18%60%40%47%5%32%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%15%27%31%41%15%21%31%17%13%26%73%12%36%52%25%33%42%42%46%10%24%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%12%87%6%93%31%65%13%87%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%37%20%21%8%5%
 
Proposition 63 is known as the Firearms and Ammunition Sales Initiative. A YES vote would require persons who want to buy ammunition to pass a background check with the California Department of Justice. And Proposition 63 would make it against the law to possess large-capacity ammunition containers, known as magazines. Will you vote YES on 63, to require background checks on ammo purchases and to make large-capacity magazines illegal? Or will you vote NO on 63, which would leave the existing system in place?
747 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 634621972651181571018627518721430147721563064049243661155968912125152711509882893685615425211513421320520838112344336592415025619410732812921254389314129634158384195246463931692691151421093205835520925366182931223721
No On 632331508362745840135981196733673160435348421027896100355679661799113928961105195877811437501814911738941349286131459527198721612086331888013915191551627385601572518485148837543312016
Undecided46182818157733131621612113568265126141218791711111355172415151626181133121101272125133211228384427384421433343192510111034139291892110722
Will Not Vote532510050301205000013001300121043214103200410002303141405140524141413140550222010
Total747369378202247166133449298352382361212405078911074847719611019923530611416023412894191546922693871852463173123427617656040818629115141331520649418533490630426752254699561929042165632244460199241181516845833274201592801471616039
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%18%60%40%47%5%32%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%15%27%31%41%15%21%31%17%13%26%73%12%36%52%25%33%42%42%46%10%24%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%12%87%6%93%31%65%13%87%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%37%20%21%8%5%
 
Currently, medical marijuana is legal in California, but recreational marijuana is not. Proposition 64 would legalize and tax the recreational use of marijuana. Will you vote YES on Proposition 64, which would legalize the recreational use of marijuana by adults age 21 and older, and which would license, regulate and tax the marijuana industry? Or, will you vote NO on 64, which would keep state laws as they now are?
747 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 644012031981231388555261140182231405614725532443536521237775123199437110495809530148148205102131168163186421022952685119147208183992829419863323253601162636531915522839340127252108130126253622991982047215493823122
No On 64293149144678672681531401491387458520854613835225426116958066821032512842083310215871961261181343467221107128789817211191182781152226111270991632525311516221244931807510249220212391001937611048592615
Undecided47143372389301718281974035013316781623682471123481722818212819064033621630171728121864144293764119275422224167439240252291442032
Will Not Vote624500151301214001003101400221132223113200500103303140614050615052412140551132000
Total747369378202247166133449298352382361212405078911074847719611019923530611416023412894191546922693871852463173123427617656040818629115141331520649418533490630426752254699561929042165632244460199241181516845833274201592801471616039
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%18%60%40%47%5%32%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%15%27%31%41%15%21%31%17%13%26%73%12%36%52%25%33%42%42%46%10%24%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%12%87%6%93%31%65%13%87%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%37%20%21%8%5%
 
Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable?
762 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable29213415885936451178114113271094310518410128104511493216220727297977756222637911647286134143116247721125011671615512965212731444024226255682103924211117033246109170838479197452211321604612150751411
Favorable18484100547724281315384852405612561613282776172267931323874413371442468924763747988144413713512929105763713554892115671704413217159779916159741014052431282213910876336437512110
Unfavorable754035202120144134442227195111241616420353621226303317579303614283324437126115341423433028371431667466333916572746665224915312051762354017272012113
Extremely Unfavorable20211389485857401059711445628571426561402814012669465834043781222283975170816610033441561013817106117798011146702417031908688271637611112166381476477451401216555146657341231514
Not Sure963233154401436011412016203320082344416101843302617263627360945085312270954241211
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
762 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable9456372127262048465343163261403013413170184313619333658143743232843374314197515641543583337542233177438739451672424668126601739216697530642637201186
Favorable167947452444031967190448254711737493926310287691248624735511161759913668645882254612029912573102627382385323140715675723112961961213840117536343113161356410457613316136
Unfavorable9446482936161365284432522266361672192410223734141746882465143644282838503841873531939145240266325411379783286312793259783306131252863117752421233212796
Extremely Unfavorable3931732201031408268243150165311326513025771517306416197221112582047123114787931045138209961231731671803494294312102141720118069298102210373402435185287363401532224233014922497117922734929918420963153711063220
Not Sure1477444286803359131411146143420583656355603105526957634410211674107721249624911168443212
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
762 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable169789139583536977163126826729545041768728201401721463148401262745964953678459174312414321045887142115427525134211374011629129659316142649447423711729119631052773294089
Favorable22110112067754534142799518674160159613101838100361965136162085653339178277711753631051059617551601844131912494371736711426190820840176162019212423191891265664531592118112110031824365218
Unfavorable1025052383320117131473312126701217112115232294724122044178227911335820344837604237857173510534933632247109149538621784406110894161263332671680614119382521118
Extremely Unfavorable2521421105875665213411814966630691776977563944014699471101599495156261091175995998412640521981916317125148969714052953021372331111103420391143182074918373103601721820478174809151292212
Not Sure18613891117252831261214450395135701173124864870513122748103126931311551131378014682359111117541703
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Is your opinion of Jerry Brown...
762 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable1165957133931325264569292253632215174246324898112733333086172574292661534714377910329257044209231631698121012785189645695108447034342684188927891944134196
Favorable2711261457785604916210811416102387219420261919379947467514627509356425421331931476199110105133256620119533135191461146718572121302281224570187282301051522622899156717869181362011341374610173512513
Unfavorable14981685157192210841786432158871833282063395154422339611964799205871364568696710321146245374784634694406018125101344890261166676141264992385234106181188564334929381410
Extremely Unfavorable1519061364250247774815422339108494325224609252752533162529818637041555549732735116181011477836161822558211225137685818121518611118311064555389981253411751652213119
Not Sure762155322986611431522171855310419141871336258112616101460838302225284228296336817538381851203876937021559672946116426491727215476255211430122022
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Is your opinion of Dianne Feinstein ...
762 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable130587224413332656562943166168442319445292497121527373635941540753332655756144683112199577492310241621810413110368418104428161164379413637832494329823472238105
Favorable2361221144692504713997105177540591768261720289342336513520408253384518733711325583981091071659174178251381812510667156561072320611218561713219696131222028713858725116931177115121399652502014
Unfavorable14073684941272390507554119508618362118132675453321938581584199125870334266566712211176146283676574387325819113912147821411659711811149802850359411112756628503230166
Extremely Unfavorable156926439484623877084645214011057363222360935765855334253103196473376059507728341221810479297576685256319134314771642412659891112828119536437110913343113545825191410
Not Sure9931685129128801933435273067512621152991742388174019102274144342313335454181976451322247511274355114846912473128640581087425524252868118069301938162614
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Is your opinion of Barbara Boxer ...
762 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable128596921403333616665104211547224131941566239871127404132951935743334615257164581114210627648249934661510615106338517103457641164277423329892092299820462537136
Favorable238126112579247421498995177848691681422161431104343661138264280533447186248213263769911697196017518619141131241095816865110262068224581733120196135272019713247775517032183122116409250561711
Unfavorable11556593837231775406853210407212311416823943383217235511633811545552737514853917965233193162493472274918921010036711890545415932978324536691291635224432522139
Extremely Unfavorable177103744449493592849565025521195546372549010265957753434641132170853965735394294313421117910110962749128692214741618071241436010412143361286063431211214746131566629261510
Not Sure104317349341668322373372825769101027162011195331111343229208114454628393848476138641181975153217436461391697277599340621091455623292574108375302240192243
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Here are 6 issues important to some voters but not to others. In deciding who to support for President, please tell me if a particular issue is ... extremely important, important, unimportant, or extremely unimportant. First, immigration. In deciding who you support for President, is immigration ...
762 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important35317717698989463196157168141224810923869693928287044137961148493964129109241541221779911314115415241962501451291141042091351162141081204529519320117202622721441882529810921910510684241432701292248613671602820
Important31714916874124635719711915119866010520720403140379950591081482960111664472241331161685711514512615526652482095313441173134792186715934270132869320725278124180372641121917710383214262571511665812158802812
Unimportant70393126241095119326248165045714121712832293102418131355630332419273033512574373572939956124786066220467611947362155021281452115242281524141665
Extremely Unimportant1811785141356175890112110413141243721515127296554141309210851311261241431551371121611707613612108363601
Not Sure514411041311132000112102300211041413200311440202313131505140523131413140532112101
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Next, terrorism. In deciding who you support for President, if terrorism is ...
762 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important4622182431181481148226619622027145701393167285514833107621571321708612315052371353226718620912415618219520752107350207158149117255195152278121176553892242215826258379185251363901382941351451103154935718028111417295813830
Important234120114668844361548011410753581147172223303369393986108233673584349183216714746731159411517521771612611035128994517854128252001320960164252018813729193801436179611622319112111437983762208
Unimportant39221716118327121529121126022781552172011131578305112312111617164831272212231523592873033510278291226235211751273053022177991441
Extremely Unimportant181267318109519351333003446387221611717115777741091411001451183541441531681171111871009910710910277200
Not Sure935311445512145022013123303131250534334311651503625341817260935082732161736330301
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Next, Supreme Court appointments. In deciding who you support for President, if Supreme Court appointments are...
762 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important4162062107512011710419522022427109551532587062483540837713212416082979961681242904213823594139183152198601063052161361721112431611202758619746351253721342416233114824339343118269109150872914531411530110015872863223
Important2691281409410642262006910311103526819317392442308526569711125531135220602043710512773891071311161757209160451003514411776174811043422611245781792923011314522234104153677782174322151651034410664562513
Unimportant5330222915814492231810113831145520514142561220103942623239192524261104126619525289381528944349183384523303481537221316377453716101991543
Extremely Unimportant116554029220813810020321361154111043452383038713156374411029011011743855323801183331300
Not Sure14596611122802441022003603363123311047281435129501149394731101331111359112772411211195632301
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
The environment. If the environment is...
762 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important35916519496117707621314616120117601232333622153856106825910918946501047278802744313717995116148165141408526825538189311901588225410316347297253188625342302147195353061272139510496236482721572016913870812423
Important28713415381957437176111138158944841953457422720762791891034769994915772064010813871951211041522766217137779168161120921745813035244142611001624223310317023239861857610569202312261371506311059552911
Unimportant8452312425211449344742311245716261517180423381635255127569215415313829477255913595435230275421339714773738870304857123552330176166924602530141465
Extremely Unimportant2523361333196111857185643161118667830817161846151672223712910178718513223025717719151042111148671812414112941021
Not Sure825211335312234131002041214200331524303121513112543220706340616062522060525321100
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Treatment of racial minorities. If the treatment of racial minorities is... ?
762 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important35314720698118746321613714631122541162313228182444122846086206505298747377273471251819111414815815135892602483517729179161842448716946289223138324642293125207372921242069010889236562521571966214574712116
Important2801371447096654916611415057550911863550393431642585103893669994819781983210814062881301031413052222136939976171104821818111229245162559117445226123148212469417570997219321233133147649456672615
Unimportant91632827282512543744428152563152716202914239102328336128629275521383238466266523441439533735531441117828745338783353575206633322165778325929321416118
Extremely Unimportant2219359431571117331854561109121696117142613588984715412381295163132192191110317129416615104416218715592651
Not Sure161068106106907051045100209123830051031121024923410442169594651111331211531301441022213015511382300
Total762376386209252168133461301359412401222405079211478857819811020624130811716523912994195556942763921892503233173487817857341418929415442232021150318934093642426882344759962929543067644248471205246188523865963354271632881481636240
Composition of Likely And Early Voters100%49%51%27%33%22%17%60%40%47%5%31%16%32%68%12%15%10%11%10%26%14%27%32%40%15%22%31%17%12%26%73%12%36%51%25%33%42%42%46%10%23%75%60%27%46%24%57%43%28%68%36%64%13%87%6%93%32%65%14%86%41%59%9%89%35%65%45%55%26%74%12%85%44%56%21%38%19%21%8%5%
 
Treatment of gays, lesbians, and transgender persons. If the treatment of the GLBT community is ... ?
762 Likely And Early VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own a MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattoosParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important2471021458075464615591122128032841592015817328269355815126315957695219329881297181951161032466175172261301912411843189641343320521218611732621284152272098814664767315844178124122431034952912
Important304134170751156649189115136199752107193324238343389357410512432711125923812184010715768961401231393464237184651186217012280205841283026115273871953824912416329255100186