Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14529
VA-5: Perriello Gains Ground, but Incumbent Goode Holds Significant Lead in Re-Election Bid: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 5th Congressional District held today, 10/08/08, incumbent Republican Virgil Goode defeats Democratic attorney Tom Perriello 55% to 42%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV Roanoke and WJLA-TV Washington DC. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll conducted two months ago, Goode is down 9 points; Perriello is up 12. While Perriello has momentum, he faces a six-term incumbent, which makes the race a very uphill slog for any Democrat, even in the most favorable possible climate for any Democrat to run in.

Goode today leads by 17 points among men, by 11 points among women.
Among voters age 18 to 49, Goode leads by 4 points, down from 33 points two months ago. Among voters age 50+, Goode leads by 21.
Perriello today takes 85% of Democratic votes, up from 67% two months ago. Goode today takes 89% of Republican votes, essentially unchanged from the previous poll. Independents break for Goode by a 2:1 margin.

Goode was first elected to Congress as a Democrat in 1996. Four years later, he switched parties and became an independent; in 2007, he switched to the Republican party, making him the first Republican to represent Virginia's 5th Congressional district since John Brown, elected in 1886. Goode is seeking his seventh term.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Virginia's 5th Congressional District 10/6/08 through 10/07/08. Of them, 822 identified themselves as being registered to vote; of them, 680 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/04/08 general election.
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Virgil Goode? Or Democrat Tom Perriello?
680 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your Mind
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind Mad
Virgil Goode (R)55%57%54%45%54%58%60%50%59%64%18%****89%13%60%85%40%16%61%50%43%76%33%51%56%
Tom Perriello (D)42%40%43%51%42%39%38%46%38%34%75%****9%85%35%14%57%79%36%47%52%22%64%38%42%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%17%29%30%24%46%54%81%17%1%1%38%34%21%40%31%13%57%25%18%51%45%11%88%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.